Miami Heat vs
Washington WizardsPredictions & Preview

Miami Heat Set to Face Off Against Struggling Washington Wizards, Heat Favored by -8.5

In a March 31, 2025 matchup at Capital One Arena, the Miami Heat (33-41) are set to take on the Washington Wizards (16-58). The Heat, comfortably holding onto the final play-in spot in the Eastern Conference, are heading in a positive direction, while the Wizards have struggled throughout the season and currently sit last in the conference. In their last meeting, Miami secured a convincing 106-90 victory over Washington. Miami opens as the betting favorite at -8, with the current line at Miami -8.5. Stay tuned for our Heat vs Wizards prediction.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Heat -350 | Wizards +280
• Spread: Heat -8.5 (-110) | Wizards +8.5 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 220.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Miami will win straight-up is 78%.

Miami vs Washington Stats

Miami Heat

Miami Heat currently holds the 10th spot in the Eastern Conference standings, fighting to secure their place in the play-in tournament. Despite trading Jimmy Butler earlier in the season, the team has shown signs of improvement, winning four consecutive games after a brutal 10-game losing streak. Tyler Herro has been a key player, averaging 28.8 points per game in the last four games. The team has had to deal with key injuries to Andrew Wiggins and Duncan Robinson, impacting their roster depth. Offensively, Miami averages 109.5 points per game while defensively holding opponents to 110.1 points per game. They have covered the spread in their last six games and their power ranking is currently 23. Offensively, the Heat rank 26th in scoring, 19th in field goal percentage, and 10th in free-throw percentage. Defensively, they rank 7th in points allowed, 13th in field goal percentage allowed, and 16th in free-throw percentage allowed. The team averages 42.82 rebounds per game and has an average of 26.14 offensive assists and 12.90 turnovers per game. On the defensive end, Miami allows an average of 46.59% shooting from the field, 35.96% from three-point range, and averages 44.82 defensive rebounds per game.

Washington Wizards Analysis

The Washington Wizards are currently facing one of the most challenging seasons in franchise history, currently holding a poor record of 16-58 and sitting at the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings. They have struggled in their recent games, losing seven out of their last eight, including a significant defeat against Indiana and a close loss to the Brooklyn Nets. The team ranks near the bottom of the league in various statistical categories, with their offense averaging 108.8 points per game (27th) and their defense allowing 120.9 points per game (last). Additionally, they have a power ranking of 25 and rank 27th in offense and 30th in defense. Overall, their performance has been subpar, and they are currently 30-43-1 Against The Spread (ATS).

Miami Heat Showing Strong Form, Wizards Struggling in Recent Games

Backing the Wizards in their current form may not be prudent. Washington has suffered six consecutive home losses, failing to cover the spread each time, with a particularly notable defeat to Indiana. The team appears to be lacking motivation and cohesion. Conversely, the Heat have shown improvement, securing six consecutive close covers as they gear up for the playoffs. Led by Tyler Herro on offense and considering the ongoing defensive challenges faced by Washington, it is likely that Miami will emerge victorious by a comfortable margin.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]