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  1. Home
  2. NBA Picks
  3. Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors
Tue 7:30 PM ET
Miami Heat logo
Miami
Heat92
40-34
versus
Toronto Raptors logo
Toronto
Raptors106
37-38
Final
Team1234T
Miami Heat2324202592
Toronto Raptors24293122106
NBA · Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors

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Heat vs Raptors Predictions

Game time: March 28, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Scotiabank Arena — Toronto, ON

Article updated Mar 27, 2:14 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Miami Heat are traveling to play the Toronto Raptors at the Scotiabank Arena stadium on Tuesday, 3/28/2023 @ 7:30pm EST. Toronto is the betting favorite opening at -3 and

Game outlook

The Miami Heat are traveling to play the Toronto Raptors at the Scotiabank Arena stadium on Tuesday, 3/28/2023 @ 7:30pm EST. Toronto is the betting favorite opening at -3 and the current line is Toronto -6.

Heat vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Raptors to win tonight's game by 8 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Toronto Raptors to cover the 6 point spread and the total to go under 218.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Miami 103 to Toronto 111

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

54% of SportsJaw predicts Toronto Raptors to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Toronto will win straight-up is 69%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be MIA 103.25, TOR 115.25.

OddsShark predicts Toronto will win, miami will cover, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

Miami Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 23, Miami is ranked #30 in offense (scoring an average of 109.15 per game), #2 in defense (allowing an average of 109.92 points to be scored against them per game) and are 40-35 (27-45-3 ATS) this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Offensively, the Heat hit an average of 45.72% of their field goals (ranked #26) and 83.20% of their free throws (ranked #2) and makes an average of 34.15% of their three pointers ranked #26 in the NBA). They average 40.64 rebounds per game (ranked # 28) and average 23.59 offensive assists and 12.83 turnovers per game (ranked # 24 and 9 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Miami allows an average of 48.07% field goals (ranked #22) and 78.31% free throws (ranked #20 in the NBA) The Heat allow an average of 37.08% of the three pointers (ranked #22) and averages 41.96 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 41.96) Finally, the Heat average 25.53 defensive assists and 15.12 turnovers per game (ranked # 15 and 3 respectively).

Toronto Key Betting Stats

Toronto Raptors has a power ranking of 5 and are #21 for offense (scoring an average of 112.97 per game), #6 for defense (giving up an average of 112.01 points per game) and 37-38 (37-36-2 ATS) overall. Miami went 2-1 (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Toronto.

For offense, the Raptors hit an average of 45.66% of their field goals (ranked #27) and 78.19% of their free throws (ranked #18) and makes an average of 33.85% of their three pointers (ranked #28 in the NBA). They average 42.95 rebounds per game (ranked # 17) and average 23.59 offensive assists and 11.45 turnovers per game (ranked # 23) and 1 respectively).

On defense, Toronto allows an average of 49.22% field goals (ranked #28) and 79.85% free throws (ranked #26 in the NBA) The Raptors allow an average of 37.45% of the three pointers (ranked #27) and averages 42.22 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 42.22) Finally, the Raptors average 26.20 defensive assists and 15.85 turnovers per game (ranked # 25 and 2 respectively).

Betting Summary

Toronto has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Toronto Raptors to cover the 6 point spread and the total to go under 218.5 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NBA experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NBA Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MiamiHeat#TorontoRaptors

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Heat vs Raptors archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Heat vs Raptors matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Miami Heat+134 → +188Moved
  • Moneyline · Toronto Raptors-149 → -227Moved
  • Spread · Miami Heat+3 (-110) → +6 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Toronto Raptors-3 (-110) → -6 (-110)Moved
  • Total · OverN/A (-110) → 218.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · UnderN/A (-110) → 218.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Miami Heat
40-34 matchup record · 4-5-1 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Toronto Raptors
37-38 matchup record · 5-4-1 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-03-27T18:14:08.398Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Toronto Raptors defeated Miami Heat 106-92

Toronto Raptors defeated Miami Heat 106-92 on March 28, 2023, a 14-point decision in the series. Toronto Raptors' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 31-20. Against SportsJaw's recorded Miami Heat +6 (-110) spread, Toronto Raptors covered, while the 198 combined points finished under the recorded total of 218.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MackintoshSpread · Toronto Raptors -3 (-110)Win
  • RcSpread · Toronto Raptors -3 (-110)Win
  • 1735203231Spread · Miami Heat +2.5 (-110)Loss
  • BadmanTotal · Under 219 (-110)Win
  • LeBronStopperSpread · Miami Heat +2.5 (-110)Loss
  • LeBronStopperTotal · Over 219 (-110)Loss
  • LeBronStopperMoneyline · Miami Heat +125Loss
  • TropMoneyline · Toronto Raptors -150Win
  • TropSpread · Toronto Raptors -3 (-110)Win
  • JtmcentireTotal · Under 219.5 (-110)Win
  • JeffjacksonSpread · Miami Heat +3 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Toronto Raptors -4.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 219.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Toronto Raptors -4.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 219.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Toronto Raptors -4.5 (-110)Win