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  1. Home
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  3. Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat
Fri 8:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers logo
Cleveland
Cavaliers115
42-26
versus
Miami Heat logo
Miami
Heat119
35-31
Final
Team1234T
Cleveland Cavaliers26333026115
Miami Heat27233237119
NBA · Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat

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Cavaliers vs Heat Predictions & Best Bets

Game time: March 10, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Miami-Dade Arena — Miami, FL

Article updated Mar 9, 2:14 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Cleveland Cavaliers are traveling to play the Miami Heat at the Miami-Dade Arena stadium on Friday, 3/10/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. Cleveland is the betting favorite opening at

Game outlook

The Cleveland Cavaliers are traveling to play the Miami Heat at the Miami-Dade Arena stadium on Friday, 3/10/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. Cleveland is the betting favorite opening at -1.5 and the current line is Miami -3.5.

Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Heat to win tonight's game by 5 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Miami Heat to cover the 3.5 point spread and the total to go over 212 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Cleveland 105 to Miami 110

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

The SportsJaw community predicts Cleveland Cavaliers to cover the spread (54%)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Cleveland will win straight-up is 57%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be CLE 102.5, MIA 109.5.

OddsShark predicts Cleveland will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

Cleveland Key Betting Stats

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With a power ranking of 2, Cleveland is ranked #25 in offense (scoring an average of 112.06 per game), #1 in defense (allowing an average of 106.55 points to be scored against them per game) and are 42-26 (36-29-3 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Cavaliers hit an average of 48.77% of their field goals (ranked #6) and 77.71% of their free throws (ranked #19) and makes an average of 36.40% of their three pointers ranked #13 in the NBA). They average 41.97 rebounds per game (ranked # 23) and average 24.96 offensive assists and 12.76 turnovers per game (ranked # 18 and 7 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Cleveland allows an average of 46.47% field goals (ranked #5) and 77.73% free throws (ranked #11 in the NBA) The Cavaliers allow an average of 36.98% of the three pointers (ranked #22) and averages 40.67 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 40.67) Finally, the Cavaliers average 22.94 defensive assists and 14.34 turnovers per game (ranked # 4 and 8 respectively).

Miami Key Betting Stats

Miami Heat has a power ranking of 21 and are #30 for offense (scoring an average of 108.45 per game), #2 for defense (giving up an average of 109.14 points per game) and 35-32 (23-41-3 ATS) overall. Cleveland went 1-2 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Miami.

For offense, the Heat hit an average of 45.22% of their field goals (ranked #30) and 82.96% of their free throws (ranked #2) and makes an average of 33.65% of their three pointers (ranked #27 in the NBA). They average 41.06 rebounds per game (ranked # 27) and average 23.44 offensive assists and 12.67 turnovers per game (ranked # 24) and 5 respectively).

On defense, Miami allows an average of 47.88% field goals (ranked #22) and 77.83% free throws (ranked #12 in the NBA) The Heat allow an average of 36.67% of the three pointers (ranked #21) and averages 42.15 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 42.15) Finally, the Heat average 25.02 defensive assists and 15.35 turnovers per game (ranked # 12 and 3 respectively).

Betting Summary

Miami has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Miami Heat to cover the 3.5 point spread and the total to go over 212 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NBA experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NBA Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#ClevelandCavaliers#MiamiHeat

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Cavaliers vs Heat archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Cavaliers vs Heat matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Cleveland Cavaliers-119 → +130Moved
  • Moneyline · Miami Heat+104 → -150Moved
  • Spread · Cleveland Cavaliers-1.5 (-110) → +3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Miami Heat+1.5 (-110) → -3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over213.5 (-110) → 212 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under213.5 (-110) → 212 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Cleveland Cavaliers
42-26 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Miami Heat
35-31 matchup record · 3-6-1 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-03-09T19:14:07.791Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-03-08Cleveland Cavaliers 104 · Miami Heat 100
  • 2023-01-31Miami Heat 100 · Cleveland Cavaliers 97
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Miami Heat defeated Cleveland Cavaliers 119-115

Miami Heat defeated Cleveland Cavaliers 119-115 on March 10, 2023, a 4-point decision in the series. Miami Heat's strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 37-26. Against SportsJaw's recorded Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 (-110) spread, Miami Heat covered, while the 234 combined points finished over the recorded total of 212.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • StevedSpread · Miami Heat +1.5 (-110)Win
  • MauriceJonesSpread · Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 (-110)Loss
  • JtphamSpread · Miami Heat +1.5 (-110)Win
  • SimonsaysSpread · Miami Heat +1.5 (-110)Win
  • KrockpicksTotal · Over 213.5 (-110)Win
  • Jmontes562Moneyline · Cleveland Cavaliers -120Loss
  • Jmontes562Spread · Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 (-110)Loss
  • RcollinsTotal · Under 214 (-110)Loss
  • Teddy718Spread · Miami Heat +1.5 (-110)Win
  • Iamthe334Spread · Miami Heat +1.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Cleveland Cavaliers +2 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 212.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Cleveland Cavaliers +2 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 212.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Cleveland Cavaliers +2 (-110)Loss
  • MrshinySpread · Cleveland Cavaliers +2 (-110)
Loss
  • MrshinyMoneyline · Cleveland Cavaliers +114Loss
  • GtpixSpread · Miami Heat -2 (-110)Win