| Â | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 35 | 34 | 22 | 26 | 117 | 239.5 |
| DEN | 34 | 36 | 35 | 29 | 134 | -7.5 |
Warriors vs Nuggets Predictions & Best Bets
Golden State is on the road playing Denver at the Ball Arena stadium on Thursday, 2/2/2023 @ 9:00pm EST. Denver is the betting favorite opening at -10 and the current line is Denver -7.5.
Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight's Game
Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Warriors to win tonight's game by 12 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts Warriors to cover the 7.5 point spread and the total to go over 239 points.
PREDICTED SCORE: Golden State 128 to Denver 116
Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.
Curated Picks & Predictions
- From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be GS 112.25, DEN 127.25.
- Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Denver will win straight-up is 74%.
- The SportsJaw community predicts Golden State Warriors to cover (60%)
- OddsShark predicts Denver will win, golden state will cover, and the total will go under.
- split down the middle on Covers.com
Golden State Highlights
With a power ranking of 9, Golden State is ranked #2 in offense (scoring an average of 118.10 per game), #26 in defense (allowing an average of 118.02 points to be scored against them per game) and are 26-25 (24-26-1 ATS) this season.
Denver Highlights
Denver Nuggets has a power ranking of 17 and are #8 for offense (scoring an average of 116.65 per game), #13 for defense (giving up an average of 112.73 points per game) and 35-16 (26-24-1 ATS) overall. Golden State went 2-1 (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Denver.
Golden State Offensive Stats
- The Warriors are ranked #2 in offense scoring an average of 118.10 per game.
- The Warriors hit an average of 47.40% of their field goals (ranked #13 in the NBA) and 79.37% of their free throws (ranked #9 in the NBA) per game.
- Golden State makes an average of 38.02% of their three pointers (ranked #5 in the NBA).
- Golden State averages 44.12 rebounds per game (ranked # 10 in the NBA).
- The Warriors average 29.64 offensive assists and 15.96 turnovers per game (ranked # 1 and 29 respectively).
Denver Offensive Stats
- The Nuggets are ranked #2 in offense scoring an average of 118.10 per game.
- The Nuggets hit an average of 50.76% of their field goals (ranked #2 in the NBA) and 74.63% of their free throws (ranked #26 in the NBA) per game.
- Denver makes an average of 39.68% of their three pointers (ranked #1 in the NBA).
- Denver averages 42.76 rebounds per game (ranked # 17 in the NBA).
- The Nuggets average 28.65 offensive assists and 14.31 turnovers per game (ranked # 1 and 21 respectively).
Golden State Defensive Stats
- The Warriors are ranked #2 in defense allowing an average of 118.10 points to be scored on them per game.
- The Warriors allow an average of 46.94% field goals (ranked #12 in the NBA) and 77.44% free throws (ranked #10 in the NBA) per game.
- Golden State allows an average of 36.32% of the three pointers (ranked #20 in the NBA).
- Golden State averages 44.14 rebounds per game (ranked # 44.14 in the NBA).
- The Warriors average 25.58 defensive assists and 14.08 turnovers per game (ranked # 19 and 11 respectively).
Denver Defensive Stats
- The Nuggets are ranked #2 in defense allowing an average of 118.10 points to be scored on them per game.
- The Nuggets allow an average of 47.89% field goals (ranked #23 in the NBA) and 76.44% of the free throws (ranked #3 in the NBA) per game.
- Denver allows an average of 34.94% of their three pointers (ranked #6 in the NBA).
- Denver averages 40.35 rebounds per game (ranked # 40.35 in the NBA).
- The Nuggets average 25.67 defensive assists and 13.25 turnovers per game (ranked # 19 and 20 respectively).
Betting Summary
- Nuggets has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).
- The Scorecaster model predicts Warriors to cover the 7.5 point spread and the total to go over 239 points.
- For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NBA experts.
Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NBA Predictions
Current Odds[ - ]
Track your picks and showcase your betting acumen.
Power Rankings[ - ]
Last 10 Games Stats[ + ]
Warriors
Nuggets
Betting Trends[ + ]
Golden State Warriors
- Golden State are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
- Golden State are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games against Denver.
- Golden State are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Denver.
- The total has gone OVER in 14 of Golden State's last 16 games on the road.
- Golden State are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver.
- Golden State are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
- Golden State are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Northwest Division division.
- Golden State are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played in February.
Denver Nuggets
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 12 games.
- Denver are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games against Golden State.
- Denver are 17-1 SU in their last 18 games at home.
- Denver are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
- Denver are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division division.
- Denver are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played in February.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 9 games played on a Thursday.
Injuries[ - ]
Warriors
- SFAndre Iguodala (Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Denver, Hip)
- PGStephen Curry (Is upgraded to probable Thursday vs Denver, Possible Rest)
- SGKlay Thompson (Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Denver, Rest)
- PFDraymond Green (Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Denver, Calf)
- SFAndrew Wiggins (Is upgraded to probable Thursday vs Denver, Possible Rest)
Nuggets
- PFAaron Gordon (Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Golden State, Ankle)
- PGCollin Gillespie (Is out indefinitely, Leg)
- PFJack White (Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Golden State, Leg)
Infographics & Predictions[ - ]
1 MO
The Warriors play at the fastest pace in the league, recording 102.5 possessions per 48 minutes. They’ll pick up the pace even on the second day of a back-to-back set, so I’m backing the over on the totals. On the other side, the Nuggets, who register 98.4 possessions per 48 minutes (21st in the NBA), have surpassed a 120-point mark in 11 of their previous 13 home games. Neither side has impressed on the defensive side of the ball. The Warriors are taking the most 3-point attempts per 100 possessions in the league (42.0), while the Nuggets pace the NBA in 3-point percentage (39.7%). Expect to see a lot of points with these two high powered offenses.
Total Pick
Bet
Win
1 MO
Both teams have a compariable offense and the Nuggets have a slightly better defense. The Nuggets won more games straight up and against the spread over their last 3 matchups. Adjusted score predictions based on power rankings and strength of schedule: Warriors 117 to Nuggets 120.
1 MO
Warriors Injuries
- SF Andre Iguodala Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Denver, Hip
- PG Stephen Curry Is upgraded to probable Thursday vs Denver, Possible Rest
- SG Klay Thompson Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Denver, Rest
- PF Draymond Green Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Denver, Calf
- SF Andrew Wiggins Is upgraded to probable Thursday vs Denver, Possible Rest
1 MO
Nuggets Injuries
- PF Aaron Gordon Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Golden State, Ankle
- PG Collin Gillespie Is out indefinitely, Leg
- PF Jack White Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Golden State, Leg
1 MO