Back to NBA Matchups

Golden State vs Denver

Thu Feb 2 9:00PM
117
Final
134
 1234TODDS
GS35342226117239.5
DEN34363529134-7.5

Warriors vs Nuggets Predictions & Best Bets

Published on

Golden State is on the road playing Denver at the Ball Arena stadium on Thursday, 2/2/2023 @ 9:00pm EST. Denver is the betting favorite opening at -10 and the current line is Denver -7.5.

Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Warriors to win tonight's game by 12 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts Warriors to cover the 7.5 point spread and the total to go over 239 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Golden State 128 to Denver 116

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

  • From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be GS 112.25, DEN 127.25.
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Denver will win straight-up is 74%.
  • The SportsJaw community predicts Golden State Warriors to cover (60%)
  • OddsShark predicts Denver will win, golden state will cover, and the total will go under.
  • split down the middle on Covers.com

Golden State Highlights

With a power ranking of 9, Golden State is ranked #2 in offense (scoring an average of 118.10 per game), #26 in defense (allowing an average of 118.02 points to be scored against them per game) and are 26-25 (24-26-1 ATS) this season.

Denver Highlights

Denver Nuggets has a power ranking of 17 and are #8 for offense (scoring an average of 116.65 per game), #13 for defense (giving up an average of 112.73 points per game) and 35-16 (26-24-1 ATS) overall. Golden State went 2-1 (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Denver.

Golden State Offensive Stats

  • The Warriors are ranked #2 in offense scoring an average of 118.10 per game.
  • The Warriors hit an average of 47.40% of their field goals (ranked #13 in the NBA) and 79.37% of their free throws (ranked #9 in the NBA) per game.
  • Golden State makes an average of 38.02% of their three pointers (ranked #5 in the NBA).
  • Golden State averages 44.12 rebounds per game (ranked # 10 in the NBA).
  • The Warriors average 29.64 offensive assists and 15.96 turnovers per game (ranked # 1 and 29 respectively).

Denver Offensive Stats

  • The Nuggets are ranked #2 in offense scoring an average of 118.10 per game.
  • The Nuggets hit an average of 50.76% of their field goals (ranked #2 in the NBA) and 74.63% of their free throws (ranked #26 in the NBA) per game.
  • Denver makes an average of 39.68% of their three pointers (ranked #1 in the NBA).
  • Denver averages 42.76 rebounds per game (ranked # 17 in the NBA).
  • The Nuggets average 28.65 offensive assists and 14.31 turnovers per game (ranked # 1 and 21 respectively).

Golden State Defensive Stats

  • The Warriors are ranked #2 in defense allowing an average of 118.10 points to be scored on them per game.
  • The Warriors allow an average of 46.94% field goals (ranked #12 in the NBA) and 77.44% free throws (ranked #10 in the NBA) per game.
  • Golden State allows an average of 36.32% of the three pointers (ranked #20 in the NBA).
  • Golden State averages 44.14 rebounds per game (ranked # 44.14 in the NBA).
  • The Warriors average 25.58 defensive assists and 14.08 turnovers per game (ranked # 19 and 11 respectively).

Denver Defensive Stats

  • The Nuggets are ranked #2 in defense allowing an average of 118.10 points to be scored on them per game.
  • The Nuggets allow an average of 47.89% field goals (ranked #23 in the NBA) and 76.44% of the free throws (ranked #3 in the NBA) per game.
  • Denver allows an average of 34.94% of their three pointers (ranked #6 in the NBA).
  • Denver averages 40.35 rebounds per game (ranked # 40.35 in the NBA).
  • The Nuggets average 25.67 defensive assists and 13.25 turnovers per game (ranked # 19 and 20 respectively).

Betting Summary

  • Nuggets has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).
  • The Scorecaster model predicts Warriors to cover the 7.5 point spread and the total to go over 239 points.
  • For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NBA experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NBA Predictions

+ Full Preview

Current Odds[ - ]

 
GS
DEN
Open
Side
+7.5
-7.5
-10
Moneyline
+238
-280
-875
Total
Over 239.5
Under 239.5
N/A

Track your picks and showcase your betting acumen.

Power Rankings[ - ]

Golden State Warriors
HIGHLIGHTS
Denver Nuggets
2nd
OFFENSE
8th
13th
FG %
2nd
5th
3 PT %
1st
10th
Rebounds
17th
26th
DEFENSE
13th
12th
FG %
23rd
20th
3 PT %
6th
22nd
Rebounds
1st

Last 10 Games Stats[ + ]

Golden State WarriorsWarriors

vs MINL 114-119
41.76FG %
79.41FT %
113 PT %
vs OKCW 128-120
51.11FG %
80FT %
203 PT %
vs TORW 129-117
55.56FG %
73.33FT %
183 PT %
vs MEMW 122-120
50.59FG %
78.57FT %
143 PT %
vs BKNL 116-120
45.56FG %
77.78FT %
133 PT %
vs CLEW 120-114
48.84FG %
68.42FT %
233 PT %
vs BOSL 118-121
40FG %
86.96FT %
183 PT %
vs WASW 127-118
49.45FG %
90.48FT %
183 PT %
vs CHIL 118-132
49.4FG %
68.18FT %
213 PT %
vs SANW 144-113
54.46FG %
80FT %
183 PT %

Denver NuggetsNuggets

vs NOPW 122-113
49.43FG %
83.33FT %
163 PT %
vs PHIL 119-126
54.32FG %
85FT %
143 PT %
vs MILL 99-107
39.18FG %
75FT %
113 PT %
vs NOPW 99-98
48.75FG %
76.92FT %
113 PT %
vs OKCL 99-101
43.9FG %
51.52FT %
103 PT %
vs INDW 134-111
61.45FG %
69.23FT %
143 PT %
vs MINW 122-118
52.94FG %
75FT %
83 PT %
vs PORW 122-113
50FG %
82.14FT %
113 PT %
vs ORLW 119-116
53.93FG %
52.63FT %
133 PT %
vs LACW 115-103
50FG %
76FT %
143 PT %

Injuries[ - ]

Golden State WarriorsWarriors

  • SFAndre Iguodala (Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Denver, Hip)
  • PGStephen Curry (Is upgraded to probable Thursday vs Denver, Possible Rest)
  • SGKlay Thompson (Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Denver, Rest)
  • PFDraymond Green (Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Denver, Calf)
  • SFAndrew Wiggins (Is upgraded to probable Thursday vs Denver, Possible Rest)

Denver NuggetsNuggets

  • PFAaron Gordon (Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Golden State, Ankle)
  • PGCollin Gillespie (Is out indefinitely, Leg)
  • PFJack White (Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Golden State, Leg)

Infographics & Predictions[ - ]

Gs

GS +12 (-110)

Spread Pick

$100

Bet

$91

Win

Over 232 (-110)

Total Pick

$100

Bet

$91

Win

Reply
#5 in NBA L.365 (+$10,753)

The Warriors play at the fastest pace in the league, recording 102.5 possessions per 48 minutes. They’ll pick up the pace even on the second day of a back-to-back set, so I’m backing the over on the totals. On the other side, the Nuggets, who register 98.4 possessions per 48 minutes (21st in the NBA), have surpassed a 120-point mark in 11 of their previous 13 home games. Neither side has impressed on the defensive side of the ball. The Warriors are taking the most 3-point attempts per 100 possessions in the league (42.0), while the Nuggets pace the NBA in 3-point percentage (39.7%). Expect to see a lot of points with these two high powered offenses.

Over 234 (-110)

Total Pick

$500

Bet

$455

Win

Reply
Won 70% of last 10 NBA predictions
Golden State vs Denver prediction and stats

Both teams have a compariable offense and the Nuggets have a slightly better defense. The Nuggets won more games straight up and against the spread over their last 3 matchups. Adjusted score predictions based on power rankings and strength of schedule: Warriors 117 to Nuggets 120.

Reply

Warriors Injuries

  • SF Andre Iguodala Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Denver, Hip
  • PG Stephen Curry Is upgraded to probable Thursday vs Denver, Possible Rest
  • SG Klay Thompson Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Denver, Rest
  • PF Draymond Green Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Denver, Calf
  • SF Andrew Wiggins Is upgraded to probable Thursday vs Denver, Possible Rest

Nuggets Injuries

  • PF Aaron Gordon Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Golden State, Ankle
  • PG Collin Gillespie Is out indefinitely, Leg
  • PF Jack White Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Golden State, Leg

Golden State vs Denver infographic

After crunching 8 data points, our relative predictions model has elected to not make a prediction on this game - view the Golden State vs Denver infographic for details.

Reply
Upcoming NBA
More NBA picks
Thu, 7:00 PM2 Posts
New York Knicks
NY
New York
-2.5
Orlando Magic
ORL
Orlando
+2.5
Thu, 7:30 PM2 Posts
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLE
Cleveland
-4
Brooklyn Nets
BKN
Brooklyn
+4
Thu, 8:00 PM2 Posts
Charlotte Hornets
CHR
Charlotte
+7.5
New Orleans Pelicans
NOP
NOP
-7.5
Thu, 10:30 PM2 Posts
Oklahoma City Thunder
OKC
OKC
+3
Los Angeles Clippers
LAC
LAC
-3
© 2023 SportsJaw.
SportsJaw.com is not affiliated with the teams or leagues listed on this site and makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein.