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Tue Feb 13 8:00PM

Miami Heat vs
Milwaukee BucksPredictions & Preview

Bucks Look to Extend Winning Streak Against Heat in Crucial Playoff Implications Matchup

In a matchup with playoff implications, two opponents are set to face off in Milwaukee in search of a victory. The Miami Heat, coming off a close loss against the Boston Celtics, look to bounce back on the road. Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks, fresh off a dominating win against the Charlotte Hornets, hope to continue their winning streak. Despite being historically behind in the regular season series, the Bucks have won their last four matchups against the Heat. However, it's important to note that this article was published before the conclusion of the Bucks' previous game. Currently, sportsbooks have Milwaukee as the favored team, opening with an -8 point line that has not changed.

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Heat +260 | Bucks -325
  • Spread: Heat +8 (-110) | Bucks -8 (-110)
  • Total: Over/Under 227 (-110)
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Milwaukee will win straight-up is 76%.

Miami vs Milwaukee Stats

Heat vs Bucks prediction infographic
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Miami Heat

The Miami Heat faced a tough loss at home against the Boston Celtics in their previous game. Despite their efforts, Miami was unable to catch up after a 7-0 run by Boston in the first quarter. The Heat shot 41.2% from the field and allowed the Celtics to shoot 50.6%. Tyler Herro led Miami with 24 points in the game.

Overall, the Heat currently have a record of 28-25 and are ranked second in the Southeast Division, one game behind the Magic. They are eighth in the Eastern Conference playoff picture, 12 games behind the Celtics. Despite their offensive struggles, Miami is ranked fourth in the league in scoring defense, allowing 110.8 points per game. Jimmy Butler leads the team in points, rebounds, and assists, while Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo also contribute significantly.

In terms of statistics, Miami ranks 27th in scoring offense, averaging 110.4 points per game this season. They are also ranked 25th in field goal percentage and 13th in three-point shooting. Defensively, the Heat rank 16th in opponents' field goal percentage and 14th in three-point defense. They also average 42.1 rebounds and 25.8 assists per game.

In terms of injuries, Jimmy Butler is out indefinitely due to personal reasons, while Josh Richardson and Terry Rozier are considered questionable for the upcoming game.

Overall, the Miami Heat have had a decent season so far, but they will need to continue improving their offensive efficiency in order to climb in the rankings.

Milwaukee Bucks Analysis

The Milwaukee Bucks are playing the second game of a back-to-back situation at home against the Denver Nuggets. The Bucks currently have a record of 34-19 and are second in the Central Division, trailing the Cleveland Cavaliers by two games for the top spot. In the Eastern Conference, they are placed third, seven games behind the Boston Celtics for first place and five games ahead of the Orlando Magic to secure a guaranteed playoff spot.

In second games of back-to-back situations this season, Milwaukee has a record of 7-2 with a scoring margin of +8 points per game. At home, the Bucks hold a record of 22-6 with a scoring differential of +6.4 points per game. Against Eastern Conference opponents, they have a record of 25-12 with a scoring differential of +4.8 points per game.

Offensively, the Bucks rank second in the league in scoring, averaging 122.9 points per game. They are also ranked 11th in rebounding (44 rebounds per game) and 14th in assists (26.8 assists per game). However, they struggle defensively, ranking 23rd in the league, allowing an average of 119.3 points per game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the Bucks in scoring with 30.7 points per game, along with 11.2 rebounds and 6.3 assists. Brook Lopez contributes 13.2 points and 5.5 rebounds per game, while Damian Lillard, Bobby Portis, Khris Middleton, and Malik Beasley provide additional scoring options. The Bucks shoot 49.5% from the field as a team, ranking them fifth in the league. They also excel at three-point shooting, making 14.2 triples per game (ranked fifth) at a 37.7% rate (ranked ninth).

Middleton has missed the last three games due to an ankle injury and is unlikely to play. Antetokounmpo and Lillard were probable for Monday's game but may need to be monitored for any potential injuries for Tuesday's game.

Overall, the Milwaukee Bucks have a power ranking of 11 and a record of 35-19 (21-33 ATS). They have a strong offense, ranking second in scoring, but struggle on defense, ranking 23rd in points allowed.

Miami Faces Injuries and Fatigue as Milwaukee Bucks Hold Home Court Advantage

Miami is currently dealing with several injuries, as Butler is expected to be absent and Richardson and Rozier's availability for this game is uncertain. However, the Heat do benefit from having more rest compared to the Bucks, who are playing a back-to-back set. It is worth noting that Milwaukee has the advantage of playing on their home court, which eliminates travel-related fatigue. Despite Miami's decent record of 13-12 on the road this season, their offensive capabilities may be compromised due to the key players' potential absence. Additionally, while the Heat may have a stronger defensive game, they have struggled to keep up with the offensive prowess of the Bucks in their previous matchups this season. Hence, it is reasonable to give Milwaukee the advantage in this situation, even considering the back-to-back condition.

Sources: [ 3 ] [ 5 ] [ 6 ] [ 7 ]

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