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  3. Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors
Sat 8:30 PM ET
Dallas Mavericks logo
Dallas
Mavericks132
18-14
versus
Golden State Warriors logo
Golden State
Warriors122
15-16
Final
Team1234T
Dallas Mavericks34293831132
Golden State Warriors26283533122
NBA · Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors

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Golden State Warriors Heavily Favored Over Mavericks Ahead of Saturday's Showdown Despite Injury Troubles

Game time: December 30, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET

Venue: Chase Center — San Francisco, CA

Article updated Dec 30, 9:14 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Dallas Mavericks and the Golden State Warriors face off in the Western Conference showdown at Chase Center in San Francisco, California on Saturday at 8:30 PM ET, with

Game outlook

The Dallas Mavericks and the Golden State Warriors face off in the Western Conference showdown at Chase Center in San Francisco, California on Saturday at 8:30 PM ET, with the Warriors entering as the betting favorite. The teams have faced off eight times before, with the Warriors having won six, aiming for their third consecutive victory. The current betting line is Golden State -4.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mavericks +145 | Warriors -165

Spread: Mavericks +4 (-110) | Warriors -4 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 241.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Golden State will win straight-up is 62%.

Dallas Mavericks

Despite having injury issues and dropping two straight, the Dallas Mavericks remain a competitive team in the lineup and an even more threatening opposition presuming Luka Doncic is able to compound his formidable offensive stats with a full lineup. The Dallas Mavericks currently have an 18-14 record and are 17-15 ATS. They are ranked 7th in offense with an average of 118.75 points per game, 21st in defense allowing an average of 117.63 points per game, and 15th in three point makes with 36.7%. However, they are missing their star player, Luka Doncic, due to a quad injury and Kyrie Irving (heel) has been sidelined since December 9. Doncic has been an unstoppable offensive force, averaging 37.3 points, 10.5 assists, and 8.3 rebounds through the last 10 games. The Mavericks remain competitive in the lineup despite their injury issues and will be a threatening opposition if Doncic is able to play.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Golden State Warriors Analysis

The Golden State Warriors have a power ranking of 10 and are 15-16 (15-16 ATS) overall. They have a #9 ranking for offense (averaging 116.65 points per game) and #19 ranking for defense (giving up an average of 115.84 points per game). They have recently gone 2-1 (0-3 ATS) in their last 3 matchups. On offense, the Warriors have averages of 45.91% (ranked #25) field goals, 79.70% (ranked #10) free throws, and 36.75% (ranked #14) 3-pointers. Defensively, they average 46.32% (ranked #12) field goals, 79.59% (ranked #21) free throws, and 34.66% (ranked #7) 3-pointers. They average 47.29 (ranked #1) rebounds, 28.00 offensive assists, 14.71 turnovers (ranked #6 and 27 respectively) offensively, 43.19 defensive rebounds, 25.19 defensive assists, and 12.19 turnovers (ranked #9 and 23 respectively) defensively.

Warriors Could Outperform Mavericks Thanks to Luka Doncic Injury and Poor Defensive Performance by Dallas

If Luka Doncic remains out, the Warriors are a likely candidate to outperform Dallas. Thursday's result brought an abysmal 13 points from Golden State's highest scorer, but the Mavericks are limited in their abilities to exploit the Warriors' interior defense. Dallas' record this season sees them 21st in the NBA at both points allowed per 100 possessions and field goal percentage; the Warriors follow at 15th and 10th respectively.

SportsJawGame Predictions
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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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#DallasMavericks#GoldenStateWarriors

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mavericks vs Warriors archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mavericks vs Warriors matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Dallas Mavericks+145 → +145Unchanged
  • Moneyline · Golden State Warriors-170 → -167Moved
  • Spread · Dallas Mavericks+4.5 (-110) → +4 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Golden State Warriors-4.5 (-110) → -4 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over240.5 (-110) → 243 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under240.5 (-110) → 243 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Dallas Mavericks
18-14 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 3-6-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Golden State Warriors
15-16 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-12-30T14:14:56.452Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Despite having injury issues and dropping two straight, the Dallas Mavericks remain a competitive team in the lineup and an even more threatening opposition presuming Luka Doncic is able to compound his formidable offensive stats with a full lineup. The Dallas Mavericks currently have an 18-14 record and are 17-15 ATS. They are ranked 7th in offense with an average of 118.75 points per game, 21st in defense allowing an average of 117.63 points per game, and 15th in three point makes with 36.7%. However, they are missing their star player, Luka Doncic, due to a quad injury and Kyrie Irving (heel) has been sidelined since December 9. Doncic has been an unstoppable offensive force, averaging 37.3 points, 10.5 assists, and 8.3 rebounds through the last 10 games. The Mavericks remain competitive in the lineup despite their injury issues and will be a threatening opposition if Doncic is able to play.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Dallas Mavericks defeated Golden State Warriors 132-122

Dallas Mavericks defeated Golden State Warriors 132-122 on December 30, 2023, a 10-point decision in the series. Dallas Mavericks' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 34-26. Against SportsJaw's recorded Dallas Mavericks +4 (-110) spread, Dallas Mavericks covered, while the 254 combined points finished over the recorded total of 243.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • PremierPicksTotal · Over 240.5 (-110)Win
  • ThehitmanSpread · Dallas Mavericks +4.5 (-110)Win
  • Joem81Spread · Golden State Warriors -4 (-110)Loss
  • ThetotalerSpread · Dallas Mavericks +4 (-110)Win
  • GeauxtigersSpread · Dallas Mavericks +4 (-110)Win
  • Altuve27Spread · Golden State Warriors -4 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Golden State Warriors -4.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 242 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Golden State Warriors -4.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Golden State Warriors -4.5 (-110)Loss
  • TjwinsSpread · Dallas Mavericks +4.5 (-110)Win