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  1. Home
  2. NBA Picks
  3. Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors
Thu 10:00 PM ET
Miami Heat logo
Miami
Heat114
18-12
versus
Golden State Warriors logo
Golden State
Warriors102
15-15
Final
Team1234T
Miami Heat22363323114
Golden State Warriors25262526102
NBA · Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors

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Warriors Favourites to Take Down Miami Heat in Intriguing Matchup

Game time: December 28, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Chase Center — San Francisco, CA

Article updated Dec 28, 1:14 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Thursday will host a must-see matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Miami Heat as the Heat come in with a winning record of 18-12 and three straight wins while

Game outlook

Thursday will host a must-see matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Miami Heat as the Heat come in with a winning record of 18-12 and three straight wins while the Warriors are looking to break even after a recent loss. This matchup features teams with recent NBA Finals appearances and split a pair of matchups last season with each winning the home game. Fans will want to stay tuned for this game as well as other matchups on Thursday and our NBA predictions.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Heat +115 | Warriors -140

Spread: Heat +2.5 (-110) | Warriors -2.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 226.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Golden State will win straight-up is 58%.

Miami Heat

Miami has won 4 out of their past 5 games and 6 out of 8 while on the road and has 9-6 record, showing they can find success regardless of where they play. Josh Richardson and Caleb Martin are both doubtful, and starters Jimmy Butler, Goran Dragic, and Derrick Jones Jr. are all questionable. Miami has seven double-digit scorers, though Butler's 21.5 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 4.6 apg and defensive prowess could be difficult to replace if he does not play. Miami’s offense plays slow but their precise three-point accuracy helps keep them in games. Despite the injury report, the Heat have had success and can build on that while on their road trip, aiming to move up in the Eastern Conference standings.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Golden State Warriors Analysis

The Golden State Warriors have had inconsistent results this season but have put together a five-game winning streak that was broken in their last outing. With a 9-6 home record, they will be looking to make it four wins in a row at home when they take on the Miami Heat. Golden State are currently ranked #9 for offense, (scoring an average of 117.24 per game) and #20 for defense (giving up an average of 115.76 points per game) which have both been aided by the return to health of their players and Steph Curry and Klay Thompson's stellar performances. However, the Warriors will be missing two players on game day and the support cast to the two shooters has not been consistently performing as needed. The Heat will likely also have some key players out of contention and this could allow the Warriors to take advantage.

Golden State Favourites to Triumph Over Struggling Miami Heat in Difficult Challenge

Golden State are favourites to triumph in this clash, with their impressive offensive players and healthy roster. Miami may struggle due to their various absences, including their star player Jimmy Butler. Travelling across the country to play one of the NBA's most successful teams in recent years is a difficult challenge which Miami must overcome. The Warriors will be boosted by the return of Curry and Thompson, while their young frontcourt develops. Miami's ability to shoot from three-point range risks being nullified in this game. Furthermore, Golden State's success in two of the last three games against the Heat, and three of their last four overall, suggests a trend which is likely to be continued in this match.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MiamiHeat#GoldenStateWarriors

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Heat vs Warriors archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Heat vs Warriors matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Miami Heat+110 → +215Moved
  • Moneyline · Golden State Warriors-130 → -255Moved
  • Spread · Miami Heat+2 (-110) → +6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Golden State Warriors-2 (-110) → -6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over225 (-110) → 232 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under225 (-110) → 232 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Miami Heat
18-12 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Golden State Warriors
15-15 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-12-28T06:14:41.517Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Miami has won 4 out of their past 5 games and 6 out of 8 while on the road and has 9-6 record, showing they can find success regardless of where they play. Josh Richardson and Caleb Martin are both doubtful, and starters Jimmy Butler, Goran Dragic, and Derrick Jones Jr. are all questionable. Miami has seven double-digit scorers, though Butler's 21.5 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 4.6 apg and defensive prowess could be difficult to replace if he does not play. Miami’s offense plays slow but their precise three-point accuracy helps keep them in games. Despite the injury report, the Heat have had success and can build on that while on their road trip, aiming to move up in the Eastern Conference standings.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Miami Heat defeated Golden State Warriors 114-102

Miami Heat defeated Golden State Warriors 114-102 on December 28, 2023, a 12-point decision in the series. Miami Heat's strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 36-26. Against SportsJaw's recorded Miami Heat +6.5 (-110) spread, Miami Heat covered, while the 216 combined points finished under the recorded total of 232.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • VfernandezTotal · Over 226.5 (-110)Loss
  • TphamTotal · Over 226.5 (-110)Loss
  • RcTotal · Under 226.5 (-110)Win
  • RcSpread · Miami Heat +2.5 (-110)Win
  • Barry713Total · Under 226.5 (-110)Win
  • KingjamesSpread · Miami Heat +2.5 (-110)Win
  • Hustle$Spread · Miami Heat +2.5 (-110)Win
  • SwamipicksSpread · Golden State Warriors -2.5 (-110)Loss
  • Fisher49Spread · Golden State Warriors -3 (-110)Loss
  • Mickey619Spread · Miami Heat +3 (-110)Win
  • MoneymouthSpread · Golden State Warriors -3 (-110)Loss
  • GeorgewSpread · Golden State Warriors -3 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 228.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Golden State Warriors -5.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 229 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Golden State Warriors -5.5 (-110)
Loss
  • KryptonMoneyline · Golden State Warriors -210Loss
  • CoversSpread · Golden State Warriors -6.5 (-110)Loss