SportsJaw
LeaderboardToday's GamesBest BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksMake Picks
Login / Sign In
Today's GamesLatest PredictionsToday’s Best BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksTeam PredictionsHead-to-Head MatchupsSJ CoinsAbout SportsJawContact UsLogin / Sign In
HomeMatchupsMake PicksLeaders
SportsJaw

The social platform for sports bettors.

Explore SportsJaw

  • Today’s Picks
  • Predictions
  • Best Bets
  • Leaderboard
  • Make Picks
  • Odds Comparison
  • Consensus Picks
  • Team Predictions
  • Head-to-Head
  • Game Briefing

Picks by Sport

  • NFL Picks
  • NCAAF Picks
  • NBA Picks
  • NCAAB Picks
  • MLB Picks
  • NHL Picks

About SportsJaw

  • How It Works
  • SJ Coins
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact Us

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

© 2026 SportsJaw. For entertainment purposes only. SportsJaw does not accept or place wagers.

  1. Home
  2. NBA Picks
  3. Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies
Fri 8:00 PM ET
Oklahoma City Thunder logo
Oklahoma City
Thunder
6-2
versus
Memphis Grizzlies logo
Memphis
Grizzlies
6-2
NBA · Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies

Your Picks on Thunder vs Grizzlies

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
Spread
Moneyline
Total
Odds comparison

Sportsbook lines for this game

Current lines

MatchupBest availableDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsCircaBet105BetOnlineBovadaHard RockHeritageIntertopsLowvigPinnacleSportsbettingUnibetYouWagertheScore Bet
Nov 6, 8:00 PM ETOklahoma City ThunderMemphis Grizzlies
Best available-150Intertops+145Unibet
DraftKings-152+128
FanDuel-172+144
BetMGM-175+145BEST
Caesars-165+140
Circa-150BEST+130
Bet105-155+137
BetOnline-157+137
Bovada-160+135
Hard Rock-165+135
Heritage-160+132
Intertops-150BEST+130
Lowvig-157+138
Pinnacle-154+136
Sportsbetting-157+137
Unibet-177+145BEST
YouWager——
theScore Bet-150BEST+130

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction, odds and best bet for Nov. 6

Game time: November 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: FedExForum — Memphis, TN

Article updated Nov 5, 11:24 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Oklahoma City Thunder will beat the Memphis Grizzlies, Oklahoma City 114, Memphis 111, in our forecast for November 6. The strongest support is the narrow Thunder advantage in the Statz and Dimers projections, although those estimates leave little room at the supplied prices. Neither Oklahoma City -4 (-110) nor the total of 226 (-110) offers a persuasive betting edge. The official recommendation is Pass.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction and best bet

Oklahoma City is our winner, with low confidence in a three-point victory. Statz, Dimers and Sports Mole all favor the Thunder, but agreement among forecasts is still opinion. Statz projects a 2.9-point margin and Dimers projects four points, putting their expectations close to the SportsJaw spread.

The best betting decision is Pass. A likely winner is not automatically an attractive favorite, and the total offers similarly limited separation. Our projected 225 points sits just one point below 226, too small a cushion to make Under 226 (-110) the official wager.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies, NBA, 2026-27 season.

Tipoff: Friday, November 6, 2026, at 8 p.m. ET, as identified by Covers.

Venue: Dimers lists FedExForum for this matchup.

SportsJaw moneyline: Oklahoma City -170; Memphis +149.

SportsJaw odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 (-105); Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 (-115). Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder -157; Memphis Grizzlies +137. Total: Over 225 (-110); Under 225 (-110).

SportsJaw total: Over 226 (-110); Under 226 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Oklahoma City Thunder outlook

The Thunder's clearest support comes from the numerical forecasts. Statz assigns Oklahoma City a 59% win probability and projects a 114.4-111.5 victory. Dimers is more favorable at 62.8%, with a 114-110 projection. Both describe a favorite with a meaningful chance of losing, rather than an overwhelming advantage.

Statz's analysis also emphasizes concerns about Oklahoma City's frontcourt size and secondary creation. Those are the analyst's assessments, not a separately confirmed lineup report here. They help explain the caution within its forecast: backing Oklahoma City to finish ahead requires less conviction than expecting it to win beyond the four-point spread.

Memphis Grizzlies outlook

Memphis remains competitive in both published score projections. Statz expects 111.5 Grizzlies points, while Dimers expects 110. Neither forecast gives Oklahoma City much breathing room, which makes Memphis a credible threat to our winner selection even though neither model picks the Grizzlies outright.

The strongest case for Memphis at the supplied handicap comes from Statz's projected deficit of 2.9 points. That would put the Grizzlies inside +4. Dimers, however, lands exactly on a four-point deficit. This is a modest difference with a direct betting consequence: one estimate favors the underdog against the number, while the other points to a push.

Key matchup factors

The important distinction is between predicting the winner and predicting the margin. Sports Mole adds another Oklahoma City winner selection, but that does not turn the Statz and Dimers margins into stronger evidence of a cover. Their numerical expectations remain close to the price bettors must beat.

SportsJaw's November 6 consensus update at 04:17 UTC shows Oklahoma City -4 (-110) leading the blended spread consensus at 60%. The modeled equivalent sample contains 360 Oklahoma City selections and 240 Memphis selections, 600 combined. These are estimated selections, not observed sportsbook tickets.

That 60% describes spread-selection preference. It is separate from Statz's 59% and Dimers' 62.8% outright win probabilities and from our low forecast confidence. The consensus supplies useful context for the favorite's popularity, but it adds no scoring margin to either projection.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies spread prediction

Pass on Oklahoma City Thunder -4 (-110) and Memphis Grizzlies +4 (-110). Our three-point forecast falls short of a Thunder cover, while Dimers' four-point forecast would return a push at this spread.

Memphis +4 deserves consideration because it offers a small cushion beyond our expected margin. Still, a one-point difference between an editorial projection and the handicap is a fragile reason to pay -110. Neither side earns an actionable recommendation.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies total prediction

Pass on Over 226 (-110) and Under 226 (-110). Dimers projects 224 combined points, while Statz projects 225.9. Those estimates suggest a slight downward lean, with Statz essentially on the supplied total.

Sports Mole recommends Under 229.5, a different threshold with 3.5 more points of protection than Under 226. Its selection should not be carried across unchanged. Our 225-point forecast also falls below 226, but the small differences among these estimates leave too little room for a confident wager.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Projected Score & Betting Picks

Projected final: Oklahoma City Thunder 114, Memphis Grizzlies 111. The narrow Oklahoma City advantages in Statz and Dimers support the winner call. The strongest counterargument is their limited projected separation, especially Statz's more restrained win probability.

Confidence is low. This is an editorial forecast of a close Thunder win, with both betting markets passed independently. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Thunder114

Grizzlies111

Projected winner Oklahoma City ThunderConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • Sports MolePreview: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies: Player props, injury report and prediction
  • StatzThunder vs Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 6
  • DimersThunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks & Odds [11/6/2026]
#OklahomaCityThunder#MemphisGrizzlies

Share this preview

Facebook X Reddit Email
SportsJaw logo
Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Thunder vs Grizzlies game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Thunder vs Grizzlies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Oklahoma City Thunder-170 → -157Moved
  • Moneyline · Memphis Grizzlies+163 → +137Moved
  • Spread · Oklahoma City Thunder-4.5 (-115) → -3.5 (-105)Moved
  • Spread · Memphis Grizzlies+4.5 (-105) → +3.5 (-115)Moved
  • Total · Over225 (-110) → 225 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under225 (-110) → 225 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Oklahoma City Thunder
6-2 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Memphis Grizzlies
6-2 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-06T04:24:16.019Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Keep browsing

More NBA matchups

Compare predictions, consensus picks and recorded odds for other NBA games on this slate.

View all NBA games
NBAFri 7:00 PM
BOS-8.5 (-110)
CHR+8.5 (-110)
O/U210.5
NBAFri 7:00 PM
WAS+6.5 (-110)
ATL-6.5 (-110)
O/U230.5
NBAFri 7:30 PM
PHI-2.5 (-110)
CLE+2.5 (-110)
O/U229.5
NBAFri 8:00 PM
MIN-4.5 (-110)
NOP+4.5 (-110)
O/U230
NBAFri 8:00 PM
UTA+7.5 (-106)
DAL-7.5 (-106)
O/U226.5
NBAFri 8:00 PM
TOR-7.5 (-105)
MIL+7.5 (-115)
O/U231
NBAFri 10:00 PM
POR+2.5 (-105)
LAL-2.5 (-115)
O/U232.5
NBAFri 10:00 PM
SAN-15 (-110)
SAC+15 (-110)
O/U229.5