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  1. Home
  2. NBA Picks
  3. Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans
Fri 8:00 PM ET
Minnesota Timberwolves logo
Minnesota
Timberwolves
6-3
versus
New Orleans Pelicans logo
New Orleans
Pelicans
4-4
NBA · Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans

Your Picks on Timberwolves vs Pelicans

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
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Sportsbook lines for this game

Current lines

MatchupBest availableDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsCircaBet105BetOnlineBovadaHard RockHeritageIntertopsLowvigPinnacleSportsbettingUnibetYouWagertheScore Bet
Nov 6, 8:00 PM ETMinnesota TimberwolvesNew Orleans Pelicans
Best available-162Unibet+160Intertops
DraftKings-184+154
FanDuel-178+150
BetMGM-175+145
Caesars-178+150
Circa-180+155
Bet105-173+152
BetOnline-180+157
Bovada-175+150
Hard Rock-175+145
Heritage-188+154
Intertops-180+160BEST
Lowvig-180+158
Pinnacle-173+152
Sportsbetting-180+157
Unibet-162BEST+130
YouWager——
theScore Bet-185+155

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds and Best Bet

Game time: November 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Smoothie King Center — New Orleans, LA

Article updated Nov 5, 11:17 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Minnesota Timberwolves will beat the New Orleans Pelicans, with a projected score of Timberwolves 114, Pelicans 111. Minnesota’s 6-3 start and recent win over Houston give it the narrow advantage, but missing guards Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo complicate the matchup against a surging opponent. Neither Minnesota -4.5 (-110) nor the 229.5 total offers a compelling wager. The official pick is Pass.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction and best bet

Minnesota is the pick to win this NBA Cup group-stage matchup, with low confidence. Its better early record earns it a slight preference, while New Orleans’ four-game winning streak makes a comfortable road victory a tougher call. The forecast is Timberwolves 114, Pelicans 111.

Statz NBA also selects Minnesota and assigns it a 63% win probability, against 37% for New Orleans. Those are that analyst’s model estimates, not SportsJaw probabilities or community picks. We agree on the winner but take a cautious view of the margin because of Minnesota’s absences. The strongest official betting decision is Pass.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans, Friday, November 6, 2026, during the 2026-27 NBA season. The Associated Press identifies this as NBA Cup group play.

Tipoff: 8 p.m. EST, equivalent to 7 p.m. CT.

Venue: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, as identified in the Canis Hoopus preview.

Records and streaks: Minnesota is 6-3. New Orleans is 4-4 after winning four straight following an 0-4 opening.

SportsJaw moneylines: Minnesota -175; New Orleans +148.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw odds: Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 (-110); New Orleans Pelicans +4.5 (-110). Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves -180; New Orleans Pelicans +155. Total: Over 230 (-110); Under 230 (-110).

Minnesota Timberwolves outlook

Canis Hoopus reports that Minnesota enters after beating Houston. That result and the Timberwolves’ 6-3 record support keeping them ahead in the forecast, although neither tells us how reliably this available lineup can produce a five-point victory.

The Associated Press lists Edwards out with a knee injury and DiVincenzo out with an Achilles injury. Terrence Shannon Jr. is day to day with a hip issue. Having two guards ruled out, with another carrying an uncertain designation, is the clearest reason to temper expectations for Minnesota’s offense.

The practical question is how much separation Minnesota can create with those personnel limitations. A narrow victory remains plausible, but backing the favorite against the spread would require more conviction than its overall record alone warrants.

New Orleans Pelicans outlook

New Orleans’ 4-4 record contains two sharply different stretches. Canis Hoopus reports four opening losses followed by four wins, including victories over Memphis and Atlanta. That recovery gives the Pelicans a stronger recent-form argument than a glance at their .500 record suggests.

The same preview reports that Zion Williamson averages 28.5 career points against Minnesota, compared with 23.8 overall. Saddiq Bey’s corresponding averages are 19.5 and 14.8. These are career scoring comparisons, not projections for Friday, and no sample sizes accompany them. They identify potential threats without promising repeat performances.

The Associated Press lists Trey Murphy III as day to day with a patellar issue and Yves Missi as day to day with a knee issue. Neither designation should be treated as a confirmed absence or an assurance that the player will appear.

Key matchup factors

The central tension is Minnesota’s stronger overall start against New Orleans’ recent recovery. Nine games for the Timberwolves and eight for the Pelicans leave room for both records to misrepresent their longer-term level. Minnesota gets the slight preference, but the gap should remain modest.

Availability also matters more than a simple comparison of records. Minnesota’s confirmed absences and New Orleans’ unresolved designations make the possible lineup combinations an important source of uncertainty. Williamson’s career matchup scoring adds to the upset case, though it is too narrow a measure to settle either betting market.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on both Minnesota -4.5 (-110) and New Orleans +4.5 (-110). The projected three-point Minnesota win favors the Pelicans against the number on paper, but that is a fragile distinction.

A projected score is an estimate, not a precise margin forecast. New Orleans’ streak and Minnesota’s missing guards make taking the points understandable, while the Timberwolves’ better start keeps a larger road win credible. There is not enough separation between those cases to pay -110 on either side.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 229.5 (-110) and Under 229.5 (-110). The forecast totals 225 points, giving the Under a numerical preference without making it an official wager.

Minnesota’s missing guards encourage a restrained scoring projection, while Williamson’s career production against this opponent supplies a counterweight. Neither factor measures the likely possession count or combined shooting efficiency. With those central ingredients uncertain, the 4.5-point difference between the projection and total is too delicate to back.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Minnesota Timberwolves 114, New Orleans Pelicans 111. Minnesota’s stronger start and recent Houston win earn the final nod. The strongest counterargument is New Orleans’ four-game streak against a visiting team missing Edwards and DiVincenzo.

Confidence is low. This is an editorial forecast of a close Minnesota win, with substantial room for an upset or a different scoring pattern. Both the spread and total remain passes, and the single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Timberwolves114

Pelicans111

Projected winner Minnesota TimberwolvesConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 (-110) and New Orleans Pelicans +4.5 (-110).

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • ABC News / Associated PressTimberwolves visit Pelicans Friday in NBA Cup group stage
  • Canis HoopusGame Preview #10: Wolves at Pelicans Game Thread
  • Statz NBATimberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 6
#MinnesotaTimberwolves#NewOrleansPelicans

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Timberwolves vs Pelicans game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Timberwolves vs Pelicans matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Minnesota Timberwolves-188 → -180Moved
  • Moneyline · New Orleans Pelicans+157 → +155Moved
  • Spread · Minnesota Timberwolves-5 (-115) → -4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · New Orleans Pelicans+5 (-105) → +4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over229.5 (-110) → 230 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under229.5 (-110) → 230 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Minnesota Timberwolves
6-3 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New Orleans Pelicans
4-4 matchup record · 6-3-1 ATS · 6-3-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-06T04:17:28.005Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Associated Press lists Edwards out with a knee injury and DiVincenzo out with an Achilles injury. Terrence Shannon Jr. is day to day with a hip issue. Having two guards ruled out, with another carrying an uncertain designation, is the clearest reason to temper expectations for Minnesota’s offense.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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