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  1. Home
  2. NBA Picks
  3. Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies
Wed 8:00 PM ET
Indiana Pacers logo
Indiana
Pacers
2-6
versus
Memphis Grizzlies logo
Memphis
Grizzlies
6-1
NBA · Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies

Your Picks on Pacers vs Grizzlies

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Indiana vs Memphis consensus picks

Indiana Pacers31%
69%Memphis Grizzlies
Odds comparison

Sportsbook lines for this game

Current lines

MatchupBest availableDraftKingsBetMGMCaesarsCircaBet105BetOnlineBovadaHard RockHeritageLowvigPinnacleSportsbettingUnibettheScore Bet
Nov 4, 8:00 PM ETIndiana PacersMemphis Grizzlies
Best available+225BetMGM-245Unibet
DraftKings+212-258
BetMGM+225BEST-285
Caesars+210-260
Circa+215-250
Bet105+221-253
BetOnline——
Bovada+215-260
Hard Rock+200-250
Heritage+213-269
Lowvig——
Pinnacle+221-253
Sportsbetting——
Unibet+195-245BEST
theScore Bet+210-250

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for Nov. 4, 2026

Game time: November 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: FedExForum — Memphis, TN

Article updated Nov 3, 10:44 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Memphis Grizzlies will beat the Indiana Pacers, with a projected score of Memphis 119, Indiana 114. Memphis's stronger early scoring and rebounding numbers provide the clearest matchup advantage, but Indiana's expected returning starters could narrow the gap. Neither Memphis -6.5 (-110) nor the total of 230.5 (-110) offers a convincing betting edge. The official recommendation is Pass.

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction and best bet

Memphis is the winner pick, with medium confidence in the game forecast. The Grizzlies' early production favors them against an Indiana team dealing with several confirmed absences. The question for bettors is how much separation Memphis can create against a potentially improved Pacers lineup.

The best betting decision is Pass. Indiana's expected returns complicate laying 6.5 points, while the Pacers' remaining absences make backing the underdog uncomfortable. A favorable team outlook alone is not enough to make the favorite worth its price.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies, NBA, 2026-27 season.

Time: Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at 8 p.m. ET, according to the official Pacers preview.

Venue: FedExForum.

Records and form: Indiana enters 2-6 with five consecutive losses. Memphis is 6-1.

Projected starters, per the Pacers preview: Indiana lists Andrew Nembhard, Quenton Jackson, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam and Jay Huff. Memphis lists Ty Jerome, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Cameron Boozer and Zach Edey.

SportsJaw odds: Indiana Pacers +6.5 (-110); Memphis Grizzlies -6.5 (-110). Moneyline: Indiana Pacers +215; Memphis Grizzlies -250. Total: Over 230.5 (-110); Under 230.5 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Indiana Pacers outlook

The official Pacers preview says Nembhard, Nesmith and Siakam were set to return after injury-management absences on the second night of a back-to-back. Nembhard's availability still carries uncertainty: iHeart Sports' November 4 report lists him as day-to-day. His 18.5 points and 7.3 assists per game make that distinction meaningful for Indiana's offensive outlook.

Both reports list Tyrese Haliburton, T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy and Ivica Zubac out. The team preview lists Kelly Oubre Jr., Larry Nance Jr. and Obi Toppin as questionable; iHeart describes Nance and Toppin as day-to-day. Indiana could regain important starters while still having limited options elsewhere.

According to iHeart, the Pacers average 111.8 points and allow 115.6. The expected returns offer a reason to anticipate improvement, but that remains a projection. Indiana's results so far leave a substantial gap to close against Memphis.

Memphis Grizzlies outlook

Jerome is the central scoring threat. The official preview reports averages of 28.2 points and 5.7 assists through Memphis's first seven games. He scored 40 points in the November 2 overtime loss to New Orleans, shooting 14-for-22 overall and 5-for-6 from three.

Boozer adds production across several areas, averaging 17.4 points, 10.3 rebounds and 5.6 assists. That combination gives the forecast a second foundation beyond Jerome's scoring. Memphis's 123.0 points scored and 110.1 allowed per game, reported by iHeart, also favor the home team.

There are qualifications. Memphis lost 135-134 to New Orleans despite Jerome's big night, a reminder that his individual scoring cannot settle the outcome. iHeart also lists Scotty Pippen Jr. as day-to-day with a back issue and Quinten Post as day-to-day with an ankle issue.

Key matchup factors

Rebounding is the clearest statistical separation: iHeart reports 49.7 rebounds per game for Memphis and 41.6 for Indiana. That favors Memphis in the possession battle, although overall rebounding averages do not tell us how many extra offensive chances the Grizzlies will create in this game.

The other key is how much Indiana's lineup changes its recent level of play. Getting the expected starters back could make the season averages less representative of this particular matchup. Nembhard's differing availability descriptions add uncertainty to that adjustment.

SportsJaw's blended spread consensus favors Memphis -6.5 (-110) at 76%, matching the external consensus percentage, as of November 4 at 03:29 UTC. The combined modeled equivalent sample contains 456 Memphis selections out of 600. Those are estimates, not observed betting tickets or a count of SportsJaw member picks. The percentage measures selection preference, not Memphis's probability of covering.

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies spread prediction

Pass on Memphis -6.5 (-110) and Indiana +6.5 (-110). Our projected five-point Memphis win falls inside the spread, but the margin is too close to justify an Indiana wager given its absences and uncertain lineup.

Other analysts also favor Memphis to win without clearly favoring a cover. Statz projects Memphis 120.3, Indiana 114.4, with a 67% win probability. HoopVantage projects Memphis 116, Indiana 113, at 60%. Both projected margins fall below 6.5 points.

Sports Edge Model puts Memphis at 69%, but says its output mirrors the market consensus after removing bookmaker margin. That is not an independent endorsement of value. These winner picks support the general forecast; they do not turn Memphis -6.5 into the best bet.

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies total prediction

Pass on Over 230.5 (-110) and Under 230.5 (-110). Our forecast totals 233 points, a modest lean above the line that is too sensitive to Indiana's personnel to warrant a wager.

The outside projections differ here: Statz's score totals 234.7, while HoopVantage's totals 229. Memphis's scoring offers an Over argument, but Indiana's offensive output and uncertain availability temper it. The spread and total both remain passes for separate reasons.

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Memphis Grizzlies 119, Indiana Pacers 114. Memphis's scoring production and rebounding advantage make it the likelier winner. Indiana's expected returning starters are the strongest counterargument to a comfortable home victory.

Confidence is medium in the winner forecast. The projected score is an editorial estimate, not a betting guarantee. Spread recommendation: Pass. Total recommendation: Pass. The single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Pacers114

Grizzlies119

Projected winner Memphis GrizzliesConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Memphis Grizzlies -6.5 (-110) and Indiana Pacers +6.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 230.5 (-110) and Under 230.5 (-110)

Sources

  • Indiana Pacers / NBA.comGame Preview: Pacers at Grizzlies
  • iHeart SportsPacers vs. Grizzlies Injury Report – Nov. 4
  • StatzIndiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 4
#IndianaPacers#MemphisGrizzlies

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Pacers vs Grizzlies game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Pacers vs Grizzlies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Indiana Pacers+221 → +215Moved
  • Moneyline · Memphis Grizzlies-253 → -250Moved
  • Spread · Indiana Pacers+6.5 (-110) → +6.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Memphis Grizzlies-6.5 (-110) → -6.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over230.5 (-110) → 230.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under230.5 (-110) → 230.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Indiana Pacers
2-6 matchup record · 5-4-1 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Memphis Grizzlies
6-1 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-04T03:44:25.050Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The official Pacers preview says Nembhard, Nesmith and Siakam were set to return after injury-management absences on the second night of a back-to-back. Nembhard's availability still carries uncertainty: iHeart Sports' November 4 report lists him as day-to-day. His 18.5 points and 7.3 assists per game make that distinction meaningful for Indiana's offensive outlook.

Both reports list Tyrese Haliburton, T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy and Ivica Zubac out. The team preview lists Kelly Oubre Jr., Larry Nance Jr. and Obi Toppin as questionable; iHeart describes Nance and Toppin as day-to-day. Indiana could regain important starters while still having limited options elsewhere.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2026-03-01Memphis Grizzlies 125 · Indiana Pacers 106
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