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  1. Home
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  3. Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat
Tue 7:30 PM ET
Milwaukee Bucks logo
Milwaukee
Bucks131
12-5
versus
Miami Heat logo
Miami
Heat124
10-7
Final
Team1234T
Milwaukee Bucks31283438131
Miami Heat22403527124
NBA · Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat

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Miami Heat Look to Continue Their Dominance Over the Milwaukee Bucks

Game time: November 28, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Kaseya Center — Miami, FL

Article updated Nov 28, 9:14 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat, two prominent Eastern Conference teams, will meet on Tuesday night with the Bucks entering with the second-best record in the East at

Game outlook

The Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat, two prominent Eastern Conference teams, will meet on Tuesday night with the Bucks entering with the second-best record in the East at 12-5, while the Heat have dropped their last two games to sit at 10-7. The game is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM EST with the Bucks as the betting favorite at -3.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bucks -150 | Heat +130

Spread: Bucks -3 (-110) | Heat +3 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 226.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Milwaukee will win straight-up is 60%.

Milwaukee Bucks

Key injuries, include PF Jae Crowder being out, and F Khris Middleton being day-to-day. The Milwaukee Bucks have bounced back from a slow start to the season, currently sitting at 12-5 and third overall in the East, just back of Boston. On Sunday, the Bucks overcame a 26-point deficit to beat the Portland Trail Blazers 108-102, with Giannis Antetokounmpo leading the way with 33 points, 16 rebounds and 6 assists. With a power ranking of 17 the Bucks rank 3rd in offensive efficiency, averaging 121.13 points per game and 24th in defensive efficiency, allowing 118.44 points per game per game. They hit 49.54% of their field goals, 76.56% of their free throws and 37.65% of their three pointers, while giving up 47.26% field goal, 84.05% free throws and 35.60% three pointers respectively. They average 24.69 assists and 13.00 turnovers per game on offense and 26.25 assists and 12.00 turnovers per game on defense. Jae Crowder is out and Khris Middleton is day-to-day with injuries.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Miami Heat Analysis

The Miami Heat have returned home after a disappointing road trip that saw them lose three out of five games. In their last game, they were without All-Stars Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler due to rest and Duncan Robinson due to a thumb sprain. Their offense is ranked 24th in the NBA in scoring (109.82 pts/g) and 5th in 3-point shooting (37.72%), while defensively they are ranked 6th in points allowed (107.82 pts/g) and 5th in free throw percentage (75.15%). They are also ranked 10th in turnovers per game (12.59). They will now face the red-hot Milwaukee Bucks and are 10-7 (8-9 ATS).

Heat Expected to Dominate Bucks Again, Even Without Jrue Holiday

The Milwaukee Bucks have had difficulty against the Heat, going 2-2 last season during the regular season and losing in five games during the playoffs. The Bucks are currently 0-3 in their last four games in Miami, with the Heat winning each by an average of 12.5 points. With Jrue Holiday's absence, Milwaukee is unable to leverage defensive matchups; Damian Lillard is an inferior defender compared to Holiday. It is expected that the Heat will take advantage of these matchup advantages and win the game, with the very aggressive taking Miami on the money line rather than +3.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MilwaukeeBucks#MiamiHeat

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bucks vs Heat archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bucks vs Heat matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Milwaukee Bucks-150 → -180Moved
  • Moneyline · Miami Heat+130 → +157Moved
  • Spread · Milwaukee Bucks-3 (-110) → -4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Miami Heat+3 (-110) → +4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over225.5 (-110) → 230.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under225.5 (-110) → 230.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Milwaukee Bucks
12-5 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Miami Heat
10-7 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-28T14:14:24.082Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Key injuries, include PF Jae Crowder being out, and F Khris Middleton being day-to-day. The Milwaukee Bucks have bounced back from a slow start to the season, currently sitting at 12-5 and third overall in the East, just back of Boston. On Sunday, the Bucks overcame a 26-point deficit to beat the Portland Trail Blazers 108-102, with Giannis Antetokounmpo leading the way with 33 points, 16 rebounds and 6 assists. With a power ranking of 17 the Bucks rank 3rd in offensive efficiency, averaging 121.13 points per game and 24th in defensive efficiency, allowing 118.44 points per game per game. They hit 49.54% of their field goals, 76.56% of their free throws and 37.65% of their three pointers, while giving up 47.26% field goal, 84.05% free throws and 35.60% three pointers respectively. They average 24.69 assists and 13.00 turnovers per game on offense and 26.25 assists and 12.00 turnovers per game on defense. Jae Crowder is out and Khris Middleton is day-to-day with injuries.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-10-30Miami Heat 114 · Milwaukee Bucks 122
  • 2023-04-26Miami Heat 128 · Milwaukee Bucks 126
  • 2023-04-16Miami Heat 130 · Milwaukee Bucks 117
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Milwaukee Bucks defeated Miami Heat 131-124

Milwaukee Bucks defeated Miami Heat 131-124 on November 28, 2023, a 7-point decision in the series. Milwaukee Bucks' strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 38-27. Against SportsJaw's recorded Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 (-110) spread, Milwaukee Bucks covered, while the 255 combined points finished over the recorded total of 230.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Philly267Spread · Miami Heat +3 (-110)Loss
  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Over 225.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnmiznerSpread · Milwaukee Bucks -3 (-110)Win
  • JohnmiznerTotal · Under 225.5 (-110)Loss
  • MbcSpread · Milwaukee Bucks -3 (-110)Win
  • 1707662905Spread · Miami Heat +3 (-110)Loss
  • RainmanTotal · Under 225.5 (-110)Loss
  • CovergirlSpread · Milwaukee Bucks -3 (-110)Win
  • MiamimikeTotal · Under 226.5 (-110)Loss
  • 1735203231Total · Under 226.5 (-110)Loss
  • DerekFisherSpread · Milwaukee Bucks -3 (-110)Win
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Milwaukee Bucks -3 (-110)
Win
  • CoolioSpread · Milwaukee Bucks -4 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 228.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Milwaukee Bucks -4 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 228.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Milwaukee Bucks -4 (-110)Win