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  3. Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans
Sat 7:00 PM ET
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Denver
Nuggets
6-4
versus
New Orleans Pelicans logo
New Orleans
Pelicans
4-9
NBA · Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans

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Denver vs New Orleans consensus picks

Denver Nuggets66%
34%New Orleans Pelicans
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Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for Nov. 14, 2026

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Smoothie King Center — New Orleans, LA

Article updated Nov 14, 10:14 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Denver Nuggets will beat the New Orleans Pelicans, with a projected score of Nuggets 120, Pelicans 110. Denver’s better record and victory in the previous meeting provide the strongest matchup support. Neither Denver -11.5 nor the 234.5 total offers a convincing betting edge here, so the official SportsJaw recommendation is Pass, with low confidence in the projected margin.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction and best bet

Denver is the winner pick, but the best betting decision is Pass. The Associated Press reports a 6-4 Nuggets team facing the 4-9 Pelicans, with Denver having won their previous meeting 104-91. Those results favor the visitors without making another double-digit victory automatic.

The distinction matters at Denver -11.5 (-115). Our projection gives the Nuggets a 10-point win, which would leave New Orleans inside the spread. That small cushion is too fragile to turn the projected score into an official Pelicans wager, especially with their availability unsettled.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 7 p.m. EST, according to the Associated Press.

Matchup: Denver visits New Orleans in this 2026-27 NBA game. AP identifies it as the teams’ third meeting of the season.

Records and streaks: Denver is 6-4. New Orleans is 4-9 and has lost three consecutive home games.

SportsJaw odds: Denver Nuggets -12.5 (-109); New Orleans Pelicans +12.5 (-111). Moneyline: Denver Nuggets -650; New Orleans Pelicans +475. Total: Over 236 (-110); Under 236 (-110).

SportsJaw total: Over 234.5 (-115); Under 234.5 (-105).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw moneyline: Denver -575; New Orleans +435.

Denver Nuggets outlook

Denver’s most useful matchup result is its 104-91 victory in the prior meeting. AP reports that Jamal Murray scored 23 points. The Nuggets have already produced a winning performance against this opponent, although that final score alone tells us little about the pace or possession-by-possession quality of the rematch.

The NBA’s November 14 report, labeled 7 a.m., lists Julian Strawther out with a left knee sprain. DaRon Holmes II and Cam Whitmore are listed out on G League assignments, while Ryan Nembhard is out on a two-way designation. Those are distinct availability circumstances; they should not all be described as injuries.

New Orleans Pelicans outlook

The Pelicans’ 4-9 record and three-game home losing streak make an outright upset the harder forecast to defend. Their spread proposition is different: New Orleans +11.5 (-105) can succeed even if Denver remains the better team throughout much of the game.

Availability is the biggest unresolved team detail. New Orleans had not submitted its player list for the cited NBA report. Sports Mole describes Trey Murphy III’s status as unconfirmed after citing a possible November 14 return. That is another publication’s assessment, not official clearance, and this forecast assumes neither his participation nor his absence.

Key matchup factors

Three accepted analysts favor Denver outright, but their agreement is opinion rather than proof of value. Dimers projects Nuggets 122, Pelicans 112 and assigns Denver an 81.6% win probability. Sports Mole also selects Denver, citing a rest advantage. Bang The Book backs Denver’s moneyline at its quoted -556, a different price from SportsJaw’s -575.

The important disagreement concerns the winning margin. Dimers selects New Orleans +11.5, while SportsJaw’s blended spread consensus favors Denver -12.5 (-108) at 66%. As of November 14 at 15:08 UTC, that blend represents 432 Denver selections and 223 New Orleans selections in a modeled equivalent sample of 655, not observed betting tickets.

SportsJaw members favor Denver at 56%, and qualified handicappers favor Denver at 58%, both at the consensus line. These percentages describe selection preferences, not Denver’s chance of winning or covering.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Denver -11.5 (-115) and New Orleans +11.5 (-105). Dimers gives New Orleans a 55.3% cover probability at +11.5, which is a price-specific argument for the underdog. It remains that publisher’s model estimate, rather than a SportsJaw probability.

Our 10-point projected margin also falls on the Pelicans’ side, but only by 1.5 points. Denver’s previous 13-point victory is a clear counterargument. The consensus favors Denver at a different handicap and price, while the incomplete Pelicans availability picture adds uncertainty. Neither side earns an official wager.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 234.5 (-115) and Under 234.5 (-105). Our projection totals 230 points, giving the forecast an Under direction without enough conviction to bet it. The previous meeting totaled 195, but repeating that scoring environment would be an assumption.

The total consensus is divided at 235.5 (-110): external selections favor Over at 59%, producing a 55% blended Over preference. SportsJaw members favor Under at 62%, and qualified handicappers favor Under at 60%. Those opinions concern a total one point above the supplied betting line and should not be treated as a unified signal.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Nuggets 120, Pelicans 110. Denver’s superior record and prior matchup victory support the winner selection. The strongest counterargument to the projected margin is that Denver already won the previous meeting by more than the current spread.

Confidence is low because the margin and scoring forecast remain sensitive to New Orleans’ unresolved availability. The official SportsJaw wager is Pass. Denver is the projected winner; neither the spread nor the total offers a sufficiently clear edge.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Nuggets120

Pelicans110

Projected winner Denver NuggetsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • NBAInjury Report: 11/14/26 07:00 AM
  • DimersNuggets vs. Pelicans prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026
  • Sports MoleBest bets and predictions for every game | 14 November 2026
#DenverNuggets#NewOrleansPelicans

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Nuggets vs Pelicans game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Nuggets vs Pelicans matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Denver Nuggets-525 → -650Moved
  • Moneyline · New Orleans Pelicans+488 → +475Moved
  • Spread · Denver Nuggets-10 (-110) → -12.5 (-109)Moved
  • Spread · New Orleans Pelicans+10 (-110) → +12.5 (-111)Moved
  • Total · Over237 (-110) → 236 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under237 (-110) → 236 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Denver Nuggets
6-4 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New Orleans Pelicans
4-9 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-14T15:14:55.707Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The NBA’s November 14 report, labeled 7 a.m., lists Julian Strawther out with a left knee sprain. DaRon Holmes II and Cam Whitmore are listed out on G League assignments, while Ryan Nembhard is out on a two-way designation. Those are distinct availability circumstances; they should not all be described as injuries.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2026-10-28Denver Nuggets 104 · New Orleans Pelicans 91
  • 2026-10-24New Orleans Pelicans 135 · Denver Nuggets 141
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