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  3. New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz
Fri 9:30 PM ET
New Orleans Pelicans logo
New Orleans
Pelicans119
0-1
versus
Utah Jazz logo
Utah
Jazz120
0-1
Final
Team1234T
New Orleans Pelicans28243829119
Utah Jazz31312434120
NBA · New Orleans Pelicans at Utah Jazz

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New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz prediction and odds for Oct. 23, 2026

Game time: October 23, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET

Venue: Delta Center — Salt Lake City, UT

Article updated Oct 23, 8:08 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The New Orleans Pelicans will beat the Utah Jazz, with a projected score of Pelicans 120, Jazz 116. Last season’s three-game sweep and Utah’s current frontcourt absences give New Orleans a slight matchup edge for October 23. Confidence is low, and neither Pelicans +2.5 (-115) nor the 238.5 total offers a persuasive enough advantage for an official wager. The recommendation is Pass.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz prediction and best bet

New Orleans gets the nod because its recent results against Utah are favorable and the Jazz enter with Jusuf Nurkic out and Tony Bradley questionable. Those circumstances make another Pelicans win a reasonable forecast, although last season’s sweep deserves less weight than current performance.

The current sample is one game apiece. New Orleans lost narrowly to Indiana, while Utah suffered a larger defeat at Memphis. Different opponents make that comparison imperfect, and neither result tells us how reliably these teams will score or defend over a full season.

The best betting decision is Pass. A slight preference for New Orleans does not make the +2.5 spread an automatic purchase at -115.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Schedule: Friday, October 23, 2026, at 9:30 p.m. ET. This is a 2026-27 NBA matchup.

Venue: Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah.

Records and rest: Both teams are 0-1, with one day of rest after their openers.

SportsJaw moneyline: New Orleans +114; Utah -131.

SportsJaw odds: New Orleans Pelicans +1.5 (-114); Utah Jazz -1.5 (-106). Moneyline: New Orleans Pelicans -105; Utah Jazz -115. Total: Over 239 (-110); Under 239 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw total: Over 238.5 (-110); Under 238.5 (-110). Expected starting groups are detailed below; neither group is confirmed.

New Orleans Pelicans outlook

The Pelicans scored 120 points in their opening home loss to Indiana but allowed 123. That offers an encouraging scoring result alongside an immediate defensive concern. The three-point final margin says the result was close; it tells us nothing about how long New Orleans led, how it executed late or where its offense found success.

Last season’s Utah results offer a broader matchup reference. New Orleans won 129-118 and 115-105 in late February, then 156-137 on April 7. The winning margins were 11, 10 and 19 points. Those outcomes favor the Pelicans historically, but the range of scores also cautions against assuming this meeting will follow one familiar script.

The expected starting five is Dejounte Murray, Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi and Jeremiah Fears. The official NBA injury report at 7:45 a.m. ET lists Malik Dia, Jaron Pierre Jr. and Julian Reese as out on G League two-way assignments. None of the expected starters appears on that report.

That gives New Orleans fewer listed availability concerns among its expected starters. Translating that into an advantage still requires execution: another 120-point performance would leave little room for defensive slippage if Utah improves on its opener.

Utah Jazz outlook

Utah returns home after a 123-103 loss at Memphis. The 20-point margin is a poor opening result, but it is too early to treat 103 points as the Jazz’s normal offensive output. The forecast allows for a scoring improvement without assuming that a change of venue guarantees one.

Lauri Markkanen, Darryn Peterson, Keyonte George, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jaxson Hayes form the expected starting group. These are projected starters, so the lineup remains a pregame consideration rather than a settled fact. Their individual opening-game production is not part of the evidence behind this forecast.

The latest supplied official NBA report lists Nurkic out with a right second plantar-plate tear and Bradley questionable with a left quadriceps strain. Trey Alexander and Harrison Ingram are out on G League two-way assignments. Alexander’s absence should therefore be described as an assignment, rather than the knee injury attributed to him elsewhere.

Nurkic’s absence reduces Utah’s frontcourt options, and Bradley’s status could narrow them further. That is a concern rather than proof of a particular rebounding or defensive disadvantage. Utah’s route to overturning the prediction is straightforward: improve its scoring while keeping New Orleans below the level it reached against Indiana.

Key matchup factors

Rest is even, with both teams having one day off after their openers. The more useful distinction is availability: Utah has a confirmed frontcourt injury absence and another unresolved status. How its available players handle those minutes matters more than assuming last season’s sweep will repeat.

The consensus is divided. At the October 23 update of 11:56 a.m. UTC, the blended spread reading favored New Orleans +2.5 (-115) at 53%. SportsJaw members and qualified handicappers each favored Utah -2.5 (-105) at 60%. These are separate groups, and none of those percentages is a win probability. Their disagreement reinforces the close forecast without supplying a reason to bet against either group.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz spread prediction

Pass on New Orleans +2.5 (-115) and Utah -2.5 (-105). The Pelicans are the preferred forecast side, but the supporting case rests heavily on last season’s meetings and Utah’s availability concerns. Neither measures the current gap precisely enough to justify paying -115 for the points.

Utah must win by at least three to cover its supplied spread. New Orleans can cover with an outright win or a loss by one or two. Those mechanics favor taking points when expecting a close game, but they do not settle whether this particular price is worthwhile.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz total prediction

Pass on Over 238.5 (-110) and Under 238.5 (-110). The projected 236 points lean below the line, but a 2.5-point difference is a fragile basis for a wager.

Both teams allowed 123 points in their openers. Last season’s meetings produced totals of 247, 220 and 293, with two exceeding this line. That variation leaves room for very different scoring outcomes. The blended consensus favors Under at 56%, while the community is evenly divided at 50%. The scoring evidence remains mixed, even with an Under-leaning projection.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Pelicans 120, Jazz 116. New Orleans’ recent success in this series and Utah’s frontcourt availability concerns are enough to select the Pelicans as the winner. The projection allows Utah to improve substantially from its 103-point opener while New Orleans matches its opening scoring output.

The strongest counterargument is that Utah is home and favored, while most of the Pelicans’ matchup advantage comes from a previous season. One game per team leaves considerable uncertainty about current quality.

Confidence is low. The official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass, with separate passes on the spread and total. New Orleans remains the predicted winner; the supplied prices demand more conviction than this matchup offers.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Pelicans120

Jazz116

Projected winner New Orleans PelicansConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • Hoops NightlyPelicans at Jazz Friday, October 23: TV, time, how to watch
  • NBA OfficialInjury Report: 10/23/26 06:00 AM
  • NBA OfficialInjury Report: 10/23/26 07:45 AM
#NewOrleansPelicans#UtahJazz

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Pelicans vs Jazz game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Pelicans vs Jazz matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New Orleans Pelicans+164 → -105Moved
  • Moneyline · Utah Jazz-196 → -115Moved
  • Spread · New Orleans Pelicans+5.5 (-113) → +1.5 (-114)Moved
  • Spread · Utah Jazz-5.5 (-108) → -1.5 (-106)Moved
  • Total · Over242.5 (-113) → 239 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under242.5 (-108) → 239 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

New Orleans Pelicans
0-1 matchup record · 6-2-2 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Utah Jazz
0-1 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-23T12:08:55.858Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

New Orleans gets the nod because its recent results against Utah are favorable and the Jazz enter with Jusuf Nurkic out and Tony Bradley questionable. Those circumstances make another Pelicans win a reasonable forecast, although last season’s sweep deserves less weight than current performance.

The expected starting five is Dejounte Murray, Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi and Jeremiah Fears. The official NBA injury report at 7:45 a.m. ET lists Malik Dia, Jaron Pierre Jr. and Julian Reese as out on G League two-way assignments. None of the expected starters appears on that report.

The latest supplied official NBA report lists Nurkic out with a right second plantar-plate tear and Bradley questionable with a left quadriceps strain. Trey Alexander and Harrison Ingram are out on G League two-way assignments. Alexander’s absence should therefore be described as an assignment, rather than the knee injury attributed to him elsewhere.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2026-02-28New Orleans Pelicans 115 · Utah Jazz 105
  • 2026-02-26New Orleans Pelicans 129 · Utah Jazz 118
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Utah Jazz defeated New Orleans Pelicans 120-119

Utah Jazz defeated New Orleans Pelicans 120-119 on October 23, 2026, a 1-point decision in the series. Utah Jazz's strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 31-24. Against SportsJaw's recorded New Orleans Pelicans +1.5 (-114) spread, New Orleans Pelicans covered, while the 239 total pushed.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNew Orleans PelicansLoss
  • SpreadPass on New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 (-115) and Utah Jazz -2.5 (-105).Pass
  • TotalPass on Over 238.5 (-110) and Under 238.5 (-110).Pass

Tipster picks

  • JtmcentireTotal · Under 242.5 (-108)Win
  • Novacek84Spread · New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 (-108)Win
  • Tbone91Spread · Utah Jazz -5.5 (-108)Loss
  • RoycejacobsTotal · Over 242.5 (-113)Loss
  • JamescashiolaSpread · New Orleans Pelicans +3 (-111)Win
  • DemarcusBryantSpread · Utah Jazz -3 (-101)Loss
  • AdrianMariucciSpread · New Orleans Pelicans +3 (-111)Win