Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers prediction and best bet
The Indiana Pacers will beat the Dallas Mavericks, with a projected score of Pacers 123, Mavericks 115. Indiana's opening-game transition production matches up favorably with Dallas' turnover problems, while confirmed Mavericks absences strengthen the home side's case. Pacers -6 (-111) is the strongest wager at the supplied price, with medium confidence. The total of 238 is a Pass.
Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers prediction and best bet
Indiana -6 (-111) is the best bet because the clearest matchup advantage involves how these teams handled transition opportunities in their openers. The Pacers outscored New Orleans 27-10 on the break. Dallas surrendered 29 fast-break points to Houston and committed 21 turnovers that produced 32 opponent points.
Those results suggest a route for Indiana to build separation without relying entirely on difficult shots against a set defense. Tyrese Haliburton's productive return strengthens that forecast, while Dallas will be without Dereck Lively II and Santi Aldama. One game is a small sample, and improved Dallas ball security could narrow the margin considerably. The pick carries medium confidence.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: Dallas visits Indiana on Friday, October 23, 2026, in the 2026-27 NBA season. Tipoff is 7 p.m. ET.
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis.
Records: Dallas Mavericks 0-1; Indiana Pacers 1-0.
SportsJaw odds: Dallas Mavericks +7 (-105); Indiana Pacers -7 (-115). Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks +215; Indiana Pacers -255. Total: Over 242.5 (-110); Under 242.5 (-110).
SportsJaw moneyline: Dallas +190; Indiana -225.