Miami Heat vs
Golden State WarriorsPredictions & Preview

Golden State Warriors Favored to Win Against Miami Heat in First Matchup of the Season

On Tuesday, January 7, 2025, the NBA action includes a match between the Miami Heat and the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center in San Francisco, California. The two teams are meeting for the first time this season, following a split in their series last year. Golden State is currently favored to win, with an opening line of -7 that has since moved to -9.5. To learn more about this Heat vs. Warriors prediction, continue reading.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Heat +330 | Warriors -410
• Spread: Heat +9.5 (-110) | Warriors -9.5 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 218 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Golden State will win straight-up is 80%.

Miami vs Golden State Stats

Miami Heat

The Miami Heat faced the Sacramento Kings after two consecutive losses, hoping to end their losing streak. Despite shooting well against the Indiana Pacers, turnovers plagued the Heat in their previous games. Jimmy Butler has been suspended and is likely to be traded soon, putting pressure on Bam Adebayo to step up. Miami's second unit has struggled, contributing to their lackluster performance so far this season. In terms of statistics, the Heat ranks 21st in offense and 7th in defense, with a record of 17-16. Offensively, they shoot decent percentages but need improvement in rebounding and turnovers. Defensively, they allow higher shooting percentages and need to reduce their opponents' scoring. Overall, the Heat are looking to bounce back and improve their performance moving forward.

Golden State Warriors Analysis

The Golden State Warriors suffered a 129-99 loss to the Sacramento Kings after consecutive home wins against the Philadelphia 76ers and Memphis Grizzlies. The Warriors struggled defensively, shooting 45.7% from the field and committing 22 turnovers in the game. Stephen Curry led the team with 26 points, but the offense has been a disappointment this season, ranking 18th in the NBA in points scored per 100 possessions. The Warriors have a power ranking of 20 and are ranked 12th in offense and 9th in defense, with a record of 18-17 overall. They average 44.96% field goals and 36.99% three-pointers on offense, while allowing 45.23% field goals and 34.47% three-pointers on defense. The team ranks highly in rebounds and assists, but turnovers remain an area for improvement.

Heat Face Tough Challenge Against Warriors After Grueling Schedule

The Miami Heat are facing a challenging schedule, with their third game in four days following a tough road game against the Kings. Recent inconsistencies in their performance suggest a potential advantage for the Golden State Warriors, who are likely to rebound from their recent loss. While the Warriors have faced offensive struggles, their defense has remained strong this season, with notable statistics in points allowed and 3-point shooting percentages. The Heat, on the other hand, have shown comparative statistics in points scored and allowed, in addition to their success in 3-point shooting. Given the Warriors' historical challenges against teams with a strong inside game, the matchup presents favorable odds for the Heat.

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