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MLB PicksThu 7:40 PM ET
Arizona Diamondbacks logo
Arizona
Diamondbacks6
R. Nelson RHP
versus
CH
Chicago2
J. Assad RHP
Final
Team123456789T
ARI1020000216
CHC0000100012
MLB · ARI at CHC

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Predictions September 7, 2023: R. Nelson vs J. Assad

Game time: September 7, 2023 at 7:40 PM ET

Venue: Wrigley Field — Chicago, Illinois

Article updated Sep 7, 2:14 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

This Thursday, the National League Wildcard race takes center stage as the Arizona Diamondbacks travel to Chicago to face the Cubs in a highly important matchup. The two

Game outlook

This Thursday, the National League Wildcard race takes center stage as the Arizona Diamondbacks travel to Chicago to face the Cubs in a highly important matchup. The two teams, alongside the Reds, Marlins and Giants, are currently battling for two of the final three wildcard spots with under a month left in the season. Ryne Nelson (6-7, 5.47 ERA) will take the mound for the Diamondbacks while Javier Assad (3-2, 2.69 ERA) will start for the Cubs. Chicago is the betting favorite, opening at -174 and the line has not changed. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 ET.

Game Info

When: Thursday, 9/7/2023 @ 7:40pm EST

Where: Wrigley Field Stadium Diamondbacks vs Cubs Betting Odds Moneyline: Diamondbacks +154 | Cubs -174

Spread: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-131) | Cubs -1.5 (+112)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Chicago will win straight-up is 64%.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Despite losing four of five games prior to heading to Colorado last week, the Arizona Diamondbacks remain in the thick of the NL wildcard race. They began the week on the right foot, taking two of three games from the last-place Rockies at home. As they start a critical series against the Cubs, Ryne Nelson will get the start. He is 6-7 in 24 starts this season with a 5.47 ERA. On the road he has been better with a 6-4 record and ERA of 3.30. The Diamondbacks are currently 72-68 with a power ranking of 15. The offense averages 4.64 points per game, offense #20 with 4.82 points allowed per game. Crushed by C-Walk. pic.twitter.com/JIRTqZZ2RV

Chicago Cubs Analysis

The Chicago Cubs have battled back since the All-Star break and have made things interesting in the NL Central Division race and the Wildcard picture. After splitting a four-game series in Cincinnati, they pulled off a critical sweep of the Giants outscoring them 24-10 in the three-games. The Cubs have a power ranking of 11, with #6 offense and #16 defense, while they are 76-64 overall. Javier Assad will open the series and has a 2.69 ERA in 87 innings pitched with 6.9 K/9 rate. He has two wins in his last five appearances with a 1.62 ERA, allowing 23 hits in 33.1 innings pitched with 24 strikeouts.   Sunday candy 🍬 @jeimer24C pic.twitter.com/SuK4sSzlsp

Cubs' Rotation Shines with Assad on the Mound, Nelson Struggles for the Diamondbacks

Assad has been performing impressively since joining the Cubs' rotation. In his past five starts, he has gone at least six innings in four of these games, reaching a high of eight innings against the Reds in his last outing while allowing a total of six runs. The Cubs have had success since the trade deadline with an 18-9 record in August. In contrast, the Diamondbacks struggled this month with a 12-15 record. This matchup favors the Cubs with Assad on the mound and Nelson, who recently got called-up from the minor leagues, having allowed 15 hits and 12 runs in his last two starts before being sent down.

Prediction on the total: OVER 8.5

Written by Jtpham Published on 09/07/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: I apply several statistical and situational models to find the best probable winners with the highest percentage odds of winning and that offers the best chance of making a profit.

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SportsJaw Diamondbacks vs Chicago archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.