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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Seattle Mariners vs Cincinnati Reds
Wed 6:40 PM ET
Seattle Mariners logo
Seattle
Mariners8
L. Gilbert RHP
versus
Cincinnati Reds logo
Cincinnati
Reds4
L. Richardson RHP
Final
Team123456789T
Seattle Mariners0205001008
Cincinnati Reds10001100

Mariners and Reds Battle for Wildcard Spot with Major Injuries to Both Teams

Game time: September 6, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: Great American Ball Park — Cincinnati, Ohio

Article updated Sep 6, 2:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Seattle Mariners (77-60, T-1st AL West) will play the Cincinnati Reds (72-68, 3rd NL Central) on Wednesday in the third and final game of their three-game series. The

Game outlook

The Seattle Mariners (77-60, T-1st AL West) will play the Cincinnati Reds (72-68, 3rd NL Central) on Wednesday in the third and final game of their three-game series. The Mariners lost the opening game of the series 6-3 on Monday and have since lost three of their last four, leaving them tied for first in the American League West with the Houston Astros. While the Reds have won three of their last four, they are 5 ½ games back in the National League Central, tied with the Arizona Diamondbacks for the third and final NL wildcard qualifying spot. Seattle will go into the game without several pitchers and position players, while the Reds will also be without 11 pitchers and a few position players. Logan Gilbert (ERA: 3.56) will take the mound for Seattle, while Lyon Richardson (ERA: 6.75) will pitch for the Reds. Seattle is the betting favorite opening at -160 and the current line is Seattle -165.

Game Info

When: Wednesday, 9/6/2023 @ 6:40pm EST

Where: Great American Ball Park Stadium Mariners vs Reds Betting Odds Moneyline: Mariners -165 | Reds +150

Spread: Mariners -1.5 (-110) | Reds +1.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Seattle will win straight-up is 62%.

Seattle Mariners

Seattle is currently tied for first place in the American League West and in the running for a division title. The Mariners' pitching staff is a major contributor with 66 Quality Starts, a team ERA of 3.69, a WHIP of 1.18, and an opposing team batting average of .237 (4th in baseball). Leading the pitching staff, Logan Gilbert has 12 wins and an ERA of 3.56, while Luis Castillo leads in strikeouts (183). On the offensive side, Seattle is 11th in runs (655), 12th in on-base percentage (.324), and 13th in slugging percentage (.419). Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodriquez lead the team in home runs (25), Rodriguez in RBI (89), and Teoscar Hernandez with a close third (24). They are ranked 10th in offense (4.78 per game), 2nd in defense (4.04 ppg) and have a season record of 77-61.

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MLB · Seattle Mariners at Cincinnati Reds

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Cincinnati Reds Analysis

The Cincinnati Reds have been performing below average in the MLB this season with a ranking of 20. On offense, the Reds rank #11 with an average of 4.72 points per game, and #23 for defense with 4.96 points per game given up. With a current overall record of 73-68, they have faced challenging teams such as Seattle, who has won the last 3 matchups. With the absence of players like Jonathan India, Matt McLain, Joey Votto and Kevin Newman, Spencer Steer has taken the lead in batting, MS leading the Reds in doubles, home runs and RBI. Andrew Abbott is leading in victories for Cincinnati with 8 and Hunter Green is the team leader in strikeouts with 114. Lyon Richardson is set to make their start on Wednesday. Cincinnati Reds rank 20 in the MLB Leadoff hitter Spencer Steer is the team leader in doubles, home runs and RBI Andrew Abbott leads in wins and Hunter Green leads in strikeouts Reds have a #11 ranking for offense and #23 ranking for defense Lyon Richardson is set to start Wednesday What a moment for the kid. Congrats, @MarteNoelvi ‼️ pic.twitter.com/uFv04yejwp

Seattle Dominates Cincinnati Despite Struggling Reds Pitching

Seattle have been successful in their matchups against Cincinnati, winning 12 of the last 15 and 8 of the last 10 on the road. Cincinnati's pitching has seen difficulty this season, placing 24th in multiple categories, including ERA and WHIP. Struggling with injuries, the Reds are missing 11 pitchers and a few position players and have applied a thin bullpen mainly consisting of talented minors. While Seattle's starter Logan Gilbert has had three successful outings, allowing only 17 hits and 3 runs in 19 ⅔ innings, Cincinnati's Lyon Richardson has struggled significantly with 9 runs, 10 hits and 11 walks in 12 innings with 9 strikeouts.

Prediction on the total: OVER 9.5

Written by Georgew Published on 09/06/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: I employ a variety of handicapping techniques and fundamentals to spot value in betting odds. These methods are tried and true and my records back it up.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#SeattleMariners#CincinnatiReds

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mariners vs Reds archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mariners vs Reds matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Seattle Mariners-160 → -172Moved
  • Moneyline · Cincinnati Reds+146 → +153Moved
  • Spread · Seattle Mariners-1.5 (-108) → -1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Cincinnati Reds+1.5 (-110) → +1.5 (-109)Moved
  • Total · Over10.5 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under10.5 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Seattle Mariners
77-60 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cincinnati Reds
73-68 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-06T06:35:11.787Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Seattle have been successful in their matchups against Cincinnati, winning 12 of the last 15 and 8 of the last 10 on the road. Cincinnati's pitching has seen difficulty this season, placing 24th in multiple categories, including ERA and WHIP. Struggling with injuries, the Reds are missing 11 pitchers and a few position players and have applied a thin bullpen mainly consisting of talented minors. While Seattle's starter Logan Gilbert has had three successful outings, allowing only 17 hits and 3 runs in 19 ⅔ innings, Cincinnati's Lyon Richardson has struggled significantly with 9 runs, 10 hits and 11 walks in 12 innings with 9 strikeouts.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-09-05Seattle Mariners 6 · Cincinnati Reds 7
  • 2023-09-04Seattle Mariners 3 · Cincinnati Reds 6
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Seattle Mariners defeated Cincinnati Reds 8-4

Seattle Mariners defeated Cincinnati Reds 8-4 on September 6, 2023, a 4-run decision in the series. Seattle Mariners' strongest period was the 4th inning, when it outscored its opponent 5-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-110) spread, Seattle Mariners covered, while the 12 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 9.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • ThetotalerTotal · Over 10.5 (-110)Win
  • MoneymouthMoneyline · Seattle Mariners -160Win
  • 2387960509Runline · Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-110)Win
  • GeorgewTotal · Over 9.5 (-110)Win
  • MikehuffTotal · Over 9.5 (-110)Win
  • DpxsportsTotal · Under 9.5 (-110)Loss
  • DrpaulMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds +150Loss
  • IrishblueTotal · Under 9.5 (-110)Loss
  • DifferentVibeZzMoneyline · Seattle Mariners -165Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds +150Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 9.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Seattle Mariners -165Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 9.5 (-110)Win