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  1. Home
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  3. New York Mets vs Washington Nationals
Tue 7:05 PM ET
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets11
J. Quintana LHP
versus
Washington Nationals logo
Washington
Nationals5
P. Corbin LHP
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Washington Nationals100000

Mets vs Nationals Final Series Showdown to Determine Winner of Season Series

Game time: September 5, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET

Venue: Nationals Park — Washington, District of Columbia

Article updated Sep 4, 6:15 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The New York Mets (63-74) and Washington Nationals (62-76) face-off in their final two-game set of the season at Nationals Park. Starting pitchers Jose Quintana (ERA: 3.26)

Game outlook

The New York Mets (63-74) and Washington Nationals (62-76) face-off in their final two-game set of the season at Nationals Park. Starting pitchers Jose Quintana (ERA: 3.26) for the Mets and Patrick Corbin (ERA: 4.96) for the Nationals will throw the first pitch at 7:05 p.m. EDT. Even with the Mets being the betting favorites at -132, New York currently holds a 6-5 edge in the series thus far; so, it will be interesting to see who comes out on top in round one.

Game Info

When: Tuesday, 9/5/2023 @ 7:05pm EST

Where: Nationals Park Stadium Mets vs Nationals Betting Odds Moneyline: Mets -132 | Nationals +121

Spread: Mets -1.5 (+117) | Nationals +1.5 (-135)

Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 57%.

New York Mets

The Mets have experienced a tough season, with a 1-7 record for games that Jose Quintana has begun on the road, due in part to the 29th ranked WAR of their reliever group. The team is below-average in offense with a ranking of 20th in runs per game, and they are 24th in a team batting average of .238. However, the team has certain notable strengths; they are top 10 in home run numbers and strikeout rate, 11th in walk rate and boast MLB's best stolen base success rate. With a power ranking of 9, the Mets have an average of 4.35 runs per game and are allowing an average of 4.64 against them. At 63-74 for the season, Pete Alonso stands out for his HR title challenge. RE-PETE! 💣 pic.twitter.com/K119bDCq5Z

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MLB · New York Mets at Washington Nationals

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Washington Nationals Analysis

Washington Nationals enter their series against the Mets on a five-game losing streak with 38 runs allowed in those losses. Patrick Corbin, the Nats' veteran lefty, will need to be the stopper, having already won both of his matchups against the Mets this season. Washington has the MLB's best strikeout rate and ninth-highest batting average against left-handed pitching. However, they rank poorly for walks (27th), homers (29th) and slugging percentage (22nd). Their power ranking is 25 and they have an overall record of 62-76. New York has gone 1-2 in the past 3 matchups against Washington. Washington Nationals enter their series against the Mets on a five-game losing streak. Patrick Corbin will need to be the stopper against the Mets, having won both of his matchups already. Washington has the MLB's best strikeout rate and ninth-highest batting average against left handed pitching. Washington ranks poorly for walks, homers and slugging percentage. Power ranking is 25 and overall record is 62-76. The Mets have gone 1-2 in the past 3 matchups against the Nationals.

Nationals Look to Capitalize on Mets' Road Struggles in Tonight's Matchup

The Washington Nationals will look to capitalize on the Mets' limited road success in tonight's matchup. The Nationals have an edge in offensive performance against left-handed pitcher Jose Quintana, posting a batting average of .272 and an OPS of .759. Meanwhile, Quintana is pitcher worse on the road and has a weaker bullpen backing him. Conversely, starter Patrick Corbin is backed by a similarly struggling 'pen but faces a Mets team that's more susceptible to left-handers (.235/.310/.393). Corbin has already secured two victories against the Mets and is likely to be supported offensively. With both teams carrying deficient bullpens, the outcome of the game relies heavily on the respective offenses. Considering Corbin and the Nationals hold the advantage in this regard, they are likely to come out victorious.

My Prediction: Mets (-132) to win

Written by Bjenkins Published on 09/04/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: Benny Jenkins is the most consistent handicapper across all sports that the industry has to offer. Consistently beating the books for the last 10 years.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewYorkMets#WashingtonNationals

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mets vs Nationals archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mets vs Nationals matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New York Mets-132 → -140Moved
  • Moneyline · Washington Nationals+121 → +123Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets-1.5 (+117) → -1.5 (+122)Moved
  • Spread · Washington Nationals+1.5 (-135) → +1.5 (-140)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

New York Mets
64-72-1 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 2-7-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Washington Nationals
60-76 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-04T22:15:20.964Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

New York Mets defeated Washington Nationals 11-5

New York Mets defeated Washington Nationals 11-5 on September 5, 2023, a 6-run decision in the series. New York Mets' strongest period was the 1st inning, when it outscored its opponent 4-1. Against SportsJaw's recorded New York Mets -1.5 (+122) spread, New York Mets covered, while the 16 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 9.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • BjenkinsMoneyline · New York Mets -132Win
  • VegaspatMoneyline · Washington Nationals +121Loss
  • JtgarciaMoneyline · Washington Nationals +121Loss
  • MackintoshMoneyline · Washington Nationals +121Loss
  • FlyigglesflyMoneyline · Washington Nationals +121Loss
  • 1118240754Moneyline · New York Mets -132Win
  • SimonsaysTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • RainmanTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • MoneymouthMoneyline · New York Mets -139Win
  • 1707662905Moneyline · New York Mets -139Win
  • PremierPicksMoneyline · Washington Nationals +124Loss
  • Roderick806Moneyline · New York Mets +124Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · New York Mets -140Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 9.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · New York Mets -140Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Washington Nationals +122Loss
  • 2387960509Total · Over 9.5 (-110)Win
  • 2387960509
Moneyline · Washington Nationals +123
Loss