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  1. Home
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  3. Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins
Wed 6:40 PM ET
Washington Nationals logo
Washington
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M. Gore LHP
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Miami Marlins logo
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V. Bellozo RHP
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Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: September 4, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: loanDepot park — Miami, Florida

Article updated Sep 4, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Washington Nationals are facing the Miami Marlins in the second game of a National League East series at loanDepot Park. The Nationals won the first game 6-2 and are

Game outlook

The Washington Nationals are facing the Miami Marlins in the second game of a National League East series at loanDepot Park. The Nationals won the first game 6-2 and are sending MacKenzie Gore to the mound, while the Marlins have Valente Bellozo as their starting pitcher. The Nationals are fourth in the NL East with a 77-85 record, while the Marlins are fifth with a 51-86 record. Washington is the betting favorite with a current line of -133.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Nationals -133 | Marlins +120

Spread: Nationals -1.5 (+121) | Marlins +1.5 (-140)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Washington will win straight-up is 57%.

Washington Nationals

The Washington Nationals recently secured a 6-2 road win over the Miami Marlins, with notable performances from Joey Gallo and Keibert Ruiz hitting home runs, and CJ Abrams and Dylan Crews stealing a base each. Despite this success, the team struggled with runners in scoring position, going 2-for-10 and leaving seven men on base. Pitcher Patrick Corbin excelled, allowing just two runs in 5.2 innings. Looking ahead, young left-hander MacKenzie Gore will take the mound for the Nationals, boasting a 4.45 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 137.2 innings. The team currently holds a power ranking of 22, with a 21st ranking in offense and 25th in defense, and has a record of 62-76 this season.

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MLB · Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins

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Miami Marlins Analysis

The Miami Marlins are evaluating their roster to determine the players who will be part of their future after a recent loss to the Washington Nationals. Despite a decent performance at the plate, the team struggled with runners in scoring position and left eight men stranded. Pitcher Max Meyer had a tough outing, giving up five runs in 5.2 innings. Rookie Valente Bellozo will be starting the next game and has shown promise in his first eight starts this season. The Marlins currently have a power ranking of 28 and rank 29th in offense, averaging 3.80 runs per game. They are also ranked 28th in defense, allowing 5.15 runs per game. The team has an overall record of 51-87. Previous matchups have seen Washington go 0-3 against Miami.

Washington Nationals Poised to Sweep Series Based on Pitching Disparities and Offensive Stats

The performance of these pitchers throughout the season has demonstrated a notable disparity in their home/road splits. MacKenzie Gore has recorded a 2-6 record with a 4.70 ERA and a .274 batting average against in 59.1 innings pitched (11 starts) on the road, whereas Valente Bellozo has posted a 1-2 record with a 5.87 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP in 15.1 innings pitched (three home starts). Furthermore, the offensive capabilities of the two teams are distinctly different with Washington averaging 4.21 runs per game compared to Miami's 3.78 runs per game. Based on these factors, it is recommended to favor the Washington Nationals to emerge victorious and complete a sweep of this brief series.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#WashingtonNationals#MiamiMarlins

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Nationals vs Marlins archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Nationals vs Marlins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Washington Nationals-134 → -142Moved
  • Moneyline · Miami Marlins+119 → +128Moved
  • Spread · Washington Nationals-1.5 (+125) → -1.5 (+115)Moved
  • Spread · Miami Marlins+1.5 (-145) → +1.5 (-134)Moved
  • Total · Over8.25 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8.25 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Washington Nationals
77-85 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 2-7-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Miami Marlins
80-82 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-4-2 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-09-04T10:35:10.416Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-09-03Washington Nationals 6 · Miami Marlins 2
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Miami Marlins defeated Washington Nationals 4-3

Miami Marlins defeated Washington Nationals 4-3 on September 4, 2024, a 1-run decision in the series. Miami Marlins' strongest period was the 6th inning, when it outscored its opponent 1-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Washington Nationals -1.5 (+115) spread, Miami Marlins covered, while the 7 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversMoneyline · Washington Nationals -136Loss
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Washington Nationals -133Loss