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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians
Mon 6:10 PM ET
Minnesota Twins logo
Minnesota
Twins20
P. Lopez RHP
versus
Cleveland Guardians logo
Cleveland
Guardians6
L. Giolito RHP
Final
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Minnesota Twins15300450220
Cleveland Guardians0010002

AL Central Rivals to Battle for Sutherland Cup: Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Final Series Preview

Game time: September 4, 2023 at 6:10 PM ET

Venue: Progressive Field — Cleveland, Ohio

Article updated Sep 3, 6:23 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The final series of the season between the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians, two teams vying to win the AL Central, holds a critical weight and begins on Monday at

Game outlook

The final series of the season between the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians, two teams vying to win the AL Central, holds a critical weight and begins on Monday at 6:10 PM EDT in Progressive Field. Pablo Lopez and Lucas Giolito will take the mound for the Twins and Guardians respectively, with the Twins being the betting favorite at -135. Game one will give us insight into who will be the victor of this Sutherland Cup rivalry.

Game Info

When: Monday, 9/4/2023 @ 6:10pm EST

Where: Progressive Field Stadium Twins vs Guardians Betting Odds Moneyline: Twins -135 | Guardians +115

Spread: Twins -1.5 (+125) | Guardians +1.5 (-145)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Minnesota will win straight-up is 57%.

Minnesota Twins

The Minnesota Twins are currently five games ahead of the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Central lead and face off for a series conclusion on Sunday. The Twin's consistent pitching staff, lead by offseason trade acquisition Pablo Lopez, will be their driving force. Lopez will look to redeem his previous outings against the Guardians and possesses a strong 2.87 road ERA. Their offense also needs to perform better than usual, as they have only scored more than three runs twice out of their 10 games against the Guardians while batting .201 and averaging 3.00 runs per game.  Overall, the Twins are ranked 12 in power, 15 in offense (averaging 4.54 runs/game), 7 in defense (allowing 4.15 points/game) and have a record of 71-66 this season. Bringing ‘em around in the 10th. #MNTwins pic.twitter.com/S0L1x42mm5

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MLB · Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians

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21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Cleveland Guardians Analysis

The Cleveland Guardians bring a four-game win streak into a game with a new face, Lucas Giolito, who holds a 4.45 ERA, 4.94 FIP, and 1.275 WHIP. Cleveland has a power ranking of 20, and is #26 for offense, #6 for defense, and 66-67-1 overall. Minnesota has gone two out of three in their recent matchups against Cleveland. The Guardiac Kids will do things like this. #ForTheLand pic.twitter.com/3XbvXsLLZJ

Guardians Ready to Take Series Victory Against Twins with Strengths in Roster, Home Record, & Bullpen

The Guardians are poised for victory in their final series against the Twins, boasting a record of 6-4 for the season. With an impressive home record of 35-33, they hold an advantage over Minnesota - sub-500 at away games - as well as the new pick-up to their roster, Lucas Giolito, who holds a 1.00 ERA in 18.0 innings against the Twins. Minnesota will be challenged to score against the Guardians, having earned 30 runs in 10 games, while Pablo Lopez has not fared well against Cleveland, contributing nine runs in 11.2 innings. With the added benefit of a stronger bullpen, prospects are good for the Guardians.

My Prediction: Twins (-135) to win

Written by Brycet Published on 09/04/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: Real deal Holyfield - I spend countless hours each day and night handicapping the games to find a select few that will put the odds in your favor. College Hoops has always been my jam, so follow me this season for NCAAB weekly winners. #LFG

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MinnesotaTwins#ClevelandGuardians

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Twins vs Guardians archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Twins vs Guardians matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Minnesota Twins-130 → -105Moved
  • Moneyline · Cleveland Guardians+120 → -107Moved
  • Spread · Minnesota Twins-1.5 (+125) → -1.5 (+153)Moved
  • Spread · Cleveland Guardians+1.5 (-145) → +1.5 (-175)Moved
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 8 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 8 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Minnesota Twins
68-63-1 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cleveland Guardians
66-67-1 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-03T22:23:02.400Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-08-30Cleveland Guardians 5 · Minnesota Twins 2
  • 2023-08-29Cleveland Guardians 4 · Minnesota Twins 2
  • 2023-08-28Cleveland Guardians 6 · Minnesota Twins 10
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Minnesota Twins defeated Cleveland Guardians 20-6

Minnesota Twins defeated Cleveland Guardians 20-6 on September 4, 2023, a 14-run decision in the series. Minnesota Twins' strongest period was the 2nd inning, when it outscored its opponent 5-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+153) spread, Minnesota Twins covered, while the 26 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DpxsportsMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -130Win
  • BrycetTotal · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • JtmcentireMoneyline · Minnesota Twins +120Win
  • Novacek84Moneyline · Minnesota Twins -130Win
  • BadmanMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -130Win
  • BadmanTotal · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • JaredkuntzMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +120Loss
  • HopkinspicksTotal · Under 8 (-110)Loss
  • PeytoncMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -130Win
  • RcollinsMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +120Loss
  • JamescashiolaMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -130Win
  • NutinbutlocksMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -130Win
  • 1707662905Total · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • RainmanTotal · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • DoclocksTotal · Under 8 (-110)Loss
  • Altuve27Total · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • BrycetMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -135Win
  • MiamimikeMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -135Win
  • MaddogMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -135Win
  • DerekFisherMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +115Loss
  • JtphamMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +115Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -135Win
  • 2387960509Total · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +122Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -135Win
  • Mr_BiggsMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +122Loss
  • EmcMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +115Loss