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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Mon 4:10 PM ET
Colorado Rockies logo
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P. Lambert RHP
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Diamondbacks Aim to Take Advantage of Pitcher and Seasonal Stats Against Rockies in Home Series Opener

Game time: September 4, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET

Venue: Chase Field — Phoenix, Arizona

Article updated Sep 3, 6:20 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Arizona Diamondbacks, the betting favorite opening at -255, open their three game home series against the Colorado Rockies on Monday at 4:10 PM. Merrill Kelly (ERA: 3.44)

Game outlook

The Arizona Diamondbacks, the betting favorite opening at -255, open their three game home series against the Colorado Rockies on Monday at 4:10 PM. Merrill Kelly (ERA: 3.44) will be starting for the Diamondbacks, while the Rockies will have Peter Lambert (ERA: 4.95) on de mound. Both teams are aiming to win their respective series prior to Sunday's action. Let's dive in.

Game Info

When: Monday, 9/4/2023 @ 4:10pm EST

Where: Chase Field Stadium Rockies vs Diamondbacks Betting Odds Moneyline: Rockies +217 | Diamondbacks -255

Spread: Rockies +1.5 (+100) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (-120)

Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Arizona will win straight-up is 72%.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies had to rally back in game two after being down four runs at the start of the game. Charlie Blackmon finished 3-4 and batted in three runners while Ty Blach logged six innings striking out two and giving up five runs. RHP Peter Lambert will take the mound for his 6th road start this season; his 3.60 ERA, 0.5 homers allowed per game, and .182 opposing batting average prove his success on the road. Colorado's -200 run differential puts them at 29th in the league and their batting average has dropped to .231 on the road. They rank in the bottom five in home runs per game, walks received, and strikeouts per game, which has cost their scoring capability. This month, their lowest monthly batting average and runs per game average have been posted. The Rockies’ overall power ranking is at 25, ranking #19 for offense (scoring an average of 4.39 per game) and #30 for defense (allowing an average of 5.89 points to be scored against them per game). Their record stands at 50-85. After dropping game one, the Rockies rallied back in game two after being down four runs. RHP Peter Lambert is set to take the mound for his 6th road start this season; ER, homers allowed, and opposing batting average show his road success. With a -200 run differential, the Rockies are at 29th in the league and an opposing batting average of .231 on the road. Offensively, the team ranks in the bottom five in home runs per game, walks received, and strikeouts per game, as well as having relatively low batting averages in August. Overall, the Rockies’ power ranking is 25, #19 for offense and #30 for defense, and record at 50-84-1.

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MLB · Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks

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Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

The Diamondbacks were limited to just three runs on five hits in Saturday's matchup. RHP Merrill Kelly (10-6, 3.31 ERA) is slated to start against the Rockies and has posted a 2.96ERA and .187 batting average when pitching at Chase Field. Arizona's overall batting average is in the top half of the league and they have done well to limit strikeouts, but are bottom 10 in their ability to drive runs home. The Diamondbacks have an overall power ranking of 13 as their offense averages 4.67 points per game, defense is 4.81 points per game, and overall record is 72-63. Colorado has gone 2-1 against Arizona in the past three matchups.

Diamondbacks Look to Capitalize on Pitching and Seasonal Stats in Matchup Against Rockies

Kelly on the mound should favour the Diamondbacks in this matchup as he has only allowed 3 runs over 12 innings against the Rockies this season. Furthermore, Colorado has insufficiently hit during day games this season, and concluded August with a low batting average. Kelly has higher strikeouts than innings pitched at home, and on the other hand, Blach has been easily hit on the road, as he has allowed a home run in 4 of his last 5 starts. With all this being considered, it seems likely that the Diamondbacks will prevail in this game. Arizona -1.5.

Prediction on the total: UNDER 9

Written by Steved Published on 09/03/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: I apply a behind the scenes mix of technical analyze of stats, real-time news, and fundamental analysis that helps spot advantages to give me and my clients the edge.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#ColoradoRockies#ArizonaDiamondbacks

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Rockies vs Diamondbacks archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Rockies vs Diamondbacks matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Colorado Rockies+217 → +206Moved
  • Moneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks-255 → -245Moved
  • Spread · Colorado Rockies+1.5 (+100) → +1.5 (+100)Unchanged
  • Spread · Arizona Diamondbacks-1.5 (-120) → -1.5 (-120)Unchanged
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Colorado Rockies
50-84-1 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Arizona Diamondbacks
72-63 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-03T22:20:26.501Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-08-16Arizona Diamondbacks 9 · Colorado Rockies 7
  • 2023-08-15Arizona Diamondbacks 8 · Colorado Rockies 5
  • 2023-08-14Arizona Diamondbacks 4 · Colorado Rockies 6
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Arizona Diamondbacks defeated Colorado Rockies 4-2

Arizona Diamondbacks defeated Colorado Rockies 4-2 on September 4, 2023, a 2-run decision in the series. Arizona Diamondbacks' strongest period was the 4th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Colorado Rockies +1.5 (+100) spread, Arizona Diamondbacks covered, while the 6 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 8.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • StevedTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • 1735203231Moneyline · Colorado Rockies +217Loss
  • 1735203231Total · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • DtownsendMoneyline · Colorado Rockies +217Loss
  • JaredkuntzMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks -255Win
  • PeytoncMoneyline · Colorado Rockies +217Loss
  • JohnmiznerTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • DemarcusBryantTotal · Over 9 (-110)Loss
  • DemarcusBryantMoneyline · Colorado Rockies +217Loss
  • ThetotalerTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • Lockpicker69Total · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • JackCohenTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • BluedevilTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • PremierPicksMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks -251Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks -251Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • GustavosintoMoneyline · Colorado Rockies +220Loss
  • 2387960509Runline · Colorado Rockies +1.5 (+100)Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks -252Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks -252Win
  • IroncladlocksMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks -250Win