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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
Sun 3:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Tampa Bay
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R. Pepiot RHP
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Boston Red Sox logo
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Tampa Bay Rays Set to Face Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park with Pitching Advantage and Betting Favoritism

Game time: September 29, 2024 at 3:05 PM ET

Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts

Article updated Sep 29, 6:01 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Tampa Bay Rays are set to face off against the Boston Red Sox in American League East action at Fenway Park after winning on the road with a score of 7-2. Right-hander

Game outlook

The Tampa Bay Rays are set to face off against the Boston Red Sox in American League East action at Fenway Park after winning on the road with a score of 7-2. Right-hander Ryan Pepiot will be starting for the Rays, with a current ERA of 3.64, while young righty Quinn Priester will be pitching for the Red Sox, with an ERA of 4.84. The Rays are the betting favorite with an opening line of -115, which has since shifted to Tampa Bay -114.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Rays -114 | Red Sox +102

Spread: Rays -1.5 (+145) | Red Sox +1.5 (-165)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Tampa Bay will win straight-up is 53%.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Tampa Bay Rays have faced challenges this season, being eliminated from playoff contention due to struggling offensive performance. With a slash line of .230/.302/.367 and an average of 3.75 runs per game, the team ranks low in offensive statistics, particularly in home runs where they are 28th in MLB. However, first baseman Yandy Diaz has shown promise with a .755 OPS, 14 home runs, 65 RBI, and 55 runs scored. The team has young players who are in need of more experience and improvement. Right-handed pitcher Ryan Pepiot has been a solid performer with an 8-7 record, 3.64 ERA, and a .211 batting average against. The team's power ranking is 11 with a 29th rank in offense, 10th in defense, and a record of 80-81 this season.

MLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox

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Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Boston Red Sox have been eliminated from playoff contention, but their offense has been performing well, ranking seventh in the sport with a .742 team OPS and scoring an average of 4.65 runs per game. Center fielder Jarren Duran has been a standout player with impressive stats. The team has room to improve and build around their good pieces. Young pitcher Quinn Priester, who has struggled in his 10 games, will be on the mound in the upcoming game. The Red Sox have a power ranking of 13, ranking ninth in offense and 23rd in defense. They have an overall record of 80-80 and recently had a successful run against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay Rays favored over Boston Red Sox in upcoming game due to pitching advantage

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox find themselves at a similar standing in the current season. The Rays hold a starting pitching advantage due to Quinn Priester's absence from major league pitching for the past eight weeks, while Ryan Pepoit has maintained a record of 80-79 with a 3.80 ERA and a .229 opposing batting average in 21.1 innings (five starts) throughout September. Additionally, the disparity in bullpen performances between the two teams is notable, with Tampa Bay ranking 10th in MLB with a reliever ERA of 3.74, while Boston falls to 24th with a reliever ERA of 4.42. In light of these factors, it is recommended to support the Tampa Bay Rays as the likely winners of the upcoming game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#TampaBayRays#BostonRedSox

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Rays vs Red Sox archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Rays vs Red Sox matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Tampa Bay Rays-115 → -105Moved
  • Moneyline · Boston Red Sox+100 → -106Moved
  • Spread · Tampa Bay Rays-1.5 (+140) → -1.5 (+150)Moved
  • Spread · Boston Red Sox+1.5 (-170) → +1.5 (-170)Unchanged
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Tampa Bay Rays
80-79 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 1-8-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Boston Red Sox
79-77 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-09-29T22:01:13.505Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-09-28Tampa Bay Rays 7 · Boston Red Sox 2
  • 2024-09-27Tampa Bay Rays 2 · Boston Red Sox 1
  • 2024-09-19Boston Red Sox 0 · Tampa Bay Rays 2
  • 2024-09-18Boston Red Sox 2 · Tampa Bay Rays 1
  • 2024-09-17Boston Red Sox 3 · Tampa Bay Rays 8
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Boston Red Sox defeated Tampa Bay Rays 3-1

Boston Red Sox defeated Tampa Bay Rays 3-1 on September 29, 2024, a 2-run decision in the series. Boston Red Sox's strongest period was the 3rd inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+150) spread, Boston Red Sox covered, while the 4 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoolioMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +102Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +102Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 8 (-110)Loss