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MLB PicksSun 3:10 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals logo
St. Louis
Cardinals
A. Pallante RHP
versus
Milwaukee Brewers logo
Milwaukee
Brewers
J. Misiorowski RHP
MLB · STL at MIL

Your Picks on Cardinals vs Brewers

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
Runline
Moneyline
Total

St. Louis vs Milwaukee consensus picks

STL31%
69%MIL

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Predictions Today: Andre Pallante vs Jacob Misiorowski

Game time: September 27, 2026 at 3:10 PM ET

Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Article updated Sep 27, 8:30 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Milwaukee Brewers will beat the St. Louis Cardinals, with a projected score of Brewers 5, Cardinals 2. Jacob Misiorowski's 1.86 ERA and strong results against St. Louis give Milwaukee its strongest advantage. Brewers -1.5 (+100) is an actionable run-line wager at medium confidence, although Milwaukee's recent bullpen workload presents a risk. The total of 7 is a pass.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction and best bet

Milwaukee -1.5 (+100) is the best bet for this September 27 matchup. Misiorowski brings the stronger season performance and has held St. Louis to four runs across two seven-inning starts in 2026. Milwaukee also averages 5.13 runs per game against the Cardinals' 4.45, giving the Brewers a stronger offensive foundation for a multiple-run victory.

Andre Pallante makes this more competitive than the moneyline alone might suggest. He owns a 3.61 ERA and allowed one run in six innings in his latest dated outing. Still, Milwaukee's success against him and Misiorowski's strikeout advantage favor the Brewers. The run-line selection carries medium confidence, with bullpen workload the biggest concern.

Odds, game time and how to watch

First pitch: Sunday, September 27, 2026, at 3:10 p.m. EDT.

Venue: American Family Field.

Broadcast: Brewers.TV and Cardinals.TV.

Records: Cardinals 77-84, including 39-41 away; Brewers 102-59, including 54-26 at home.

Probable starters: Right-handers Andre Pallante for St. Louis and Jacob Misiorowski for Milwaukee.

SportsJaw moneylines: Cardinals +208; Brewers -235. Run lines: Cardinals +1.5 (-120); Brewers -1.5 (+100). Total: Over 7 (+100); Under 7 (-120).

St. Louis Cardinals outlook

Pallante gives St. Louis a credible chance to stay close. His season snapshot is 12-8 with a 3.61 ERA and 106 strikeouts. On September 22 at Pittsburgh, he allowed three hits, one earned run and two walks in six innings, with two strikeouts and no home runs allowed. Repeating that performance would put pressure on Milwaukee to win a tighter game.

His September 15 start against San Francisco illustrates the risk: eight hits, eight runs, six earned, and one homer in five innings, with two walks and two strikeouts. Pallante is 1-4 with a 4.33 ERA over his last five starts. Milwaukee also scored six earned runs against him over five innings on July 9.

The Cardinals' offense faces an imposing assignment. Their current roster has a .147 average and .214 wOBA against Misiorowski across 80 career plate appearances, with a 35.0% strikeout rate. That is a limited historical matchup sample, not a team split against all right-handed pitching.

St. Louis averages 4.45 runs scored and 4.61 allowed. Its relievers have a 4.48 ERA and 1.37 WHIP, and surrendered 10 runs, six earned, across eight innings over the last three games.

Milwaukee Brewers outlook

Misiorowski anchors Milwaukee's advantage. He is 15-5 with a 1.86 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 247 strikeouts. Across 29 games and 169 1/3 innings, he has allowed 94 hits, 43 runs, 35 earned runs, 14 homers and 42 walks. Those numbers make sustained Cardinals rallies a difficult proposition.

His dated September starts show effective pitching at different workloads. On September 20 at Baltimore, he allowed one hit and no runs or walks in three innings, striking out four. On September 15 against Pittsburgh, he allowed five hits and one walk over five scoreless innings with seven strikeouts. On September 8 at Chicago, he allowed four hits, one earned run and two walks in 6 1/3 innings, striking out nine.

Milwaukee's current hitters have a .333 average and .392 wOBA against Pallante across 124 career plate appearances. The corresponding .335 expected wOBA is a meaningful caution against assuming that production will continue unchanged.

The Brewers average 5.13 runs scored and 3.81 allowed. Their bullpen owns a 3.36 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, but Covers reports 25 1/3 relief innings over the last three games. That workload tempers the advantage, despite only five runs allowed during that stretch.

Key matchup factors

The central question is whether Milwaukee can turn its starting-pitching advantage into enough separation before relief pitching becomes decisive. Misiorowski's shorter September outings make another seven-inning performance something to hope for, rather than assume. A heavier bullpen role would increase the importance of Milwaukee's recent workload.

Pallante's latest strong start is the clearest counterargument to the run line. His modest two-strikeout total that day also makes it difficult to expect him to match Misiorowski's bat-missing ability.

SportsJaw members and qualified handicappers each favor Milwaukee -235 at 67%. Those are separate groups, and neither percentage is a win probability. Their preference agrees with the winner forecast without settling the question of a two-run margin.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers spread prediction

Take Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+100) on the run line. The even-money return is attractive alongside Misiorowski's run prevention, Milwaukee's stronger scoring average and Pallante's difficult July meeting with the Brewers. Together, those factors support expecting Milwaukee to create more than a one-run cushion.

The risk is a strong Pallante outing followed by a close bullpen finish. Milwaukee's heavy relief workload makes that concern material. This is a medium-confidence selection based on the combined matchup advantages, not simply because the projected score clears the spread.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers total prediction

Pass on Over 7 (+100) and Under 7 (-120). The projection totals seven runs, but the scoring case also pulls in both directions: Milwaukee has a favorable offensive matchup, while Misiorowski can sharply limit St. Louis.

SportsJaw's blended total consensus favors Under 7 at 58%; members and qualified handicappers each favor Over 7 at 67%. That split is not a scoring forecast. Pallante's variability and Milwaukee's bullpen workload add uncertainty, leaving neither total price attractive enough for an official wager.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers projected score

Game forecast: Milwaukee Brewers 5, St. Louis Cardinals 2. Misiorowski's season performance and success against St. Louis give Milwaukee the stronger starting point. The Brewers' scoring average and results against Pallante supply the offensive case for a comfortable margin.

The strongest counterargument is Pallante repeating his six-inning, one-run performance from September 22 while Milwaukee needs substantial work from its bullpen. That combination could produce a much narrower finish. Even with that risk, Milwaukee's advantages across starting pitching, offense and season relief performance justify medium confidence. The single official SportsJaw wager is Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+100) on the run line. The total remains a pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

STL2

MIL5

Projected winner Milwaukee BrewersConfidenceSlight Lean — Milwaukee Brewers
Pick on the Spread

Slight Lean — Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

Editorial pick at publication: Run line: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+100)

Pick on the Total

No Lean

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Over 7 (+100) and Under 7 (-120)

Sources

  • MLB.comBaseball Probable Pitchers
  • CoversCardinals vs Brewers Game Overview, Stats, Injuries, Records - MLB Game on September 27, 2026
  • Baseball SavantBaseball Savant Probable Pitchers

SportsJaw Cardinals vs Brewers game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Cardinals vs Brewers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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