New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Predictions Today: Sean Manaea vs DJ Herz
The New York Mets will beat the Washington Nationals, with a projected score of Mets 5, Nationals 4. New York's stronger season bullpen numbers and Sean Manaea's recent control give it a slight pitching advantage against DJ Herz. Washington's better scoring average and New York's recent relief workload keep confidence low. The supplied prices offer no compelling wager; the official recommendation is Pass.
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals prediction and best bet
New York is the pick because its pitching offers the more convincing route through nine innings. Manaea struck out 19 and walked two across his three dated September starts, while the Mets' bullpen has a 3.76 ERA against Washington's 5.03. Herz enters with only four innings of major league work this season, leaving considerable uncertainty around Washington's starting assignment.
That advantage is narrow. The Nationals average 5.06 runs per game, and Manaea's longer recent stretch has been uneven. New York's relievers also worked 15⅔ innings over their last three games. Forecast a Mets victory, but pass on the supplied run lines and total rather than stretch a fragile edge into a bet.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: MLB, Sunday, September 27, 2026, at 1:05 p.m. EDT.
Venue: Nationals Park.
Broadcast: SNY and Nationals.TV.
Probable starters: Left-handers Sean Manaea for New York and DJ Herz for Washington.
Records: Mets 74-87; Nationals 76-85. New York won September 26 by 7-1; Washington won September 25 by 7-6.
SportsJaw moneylines: Mets -113; Nationals -107. Run lines: Mets -1.5 (+150); Nationals +1.5 (-179). Total: Over 8.5 (+100); Under 8.5 (-120).