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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Thu 12:35 PM ET
Milwaukee Brewers logo
Milwaukee
Brewers5
A. Civale RHP
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Pittsburgh
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M. Keller RHP
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: September 26, 2024 at 12:35 PM ET

Venue: PNC Park — Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Article updated Sep 25, 10:21 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to conclude their home series against the Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday, with a 6:40 PM Eastern first pitch. The teams have split the last four

Game outlook

The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to conclude their home series against the Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday, with a 6:40 PM Eastern first pitch. The teams have split the last four games with two wins each. Aaron Civale will take the mound for the Brewers, with a 4.65 ERA, while Mitch Keller will start for the Pirates, carrying a 4.21 ERA. Milwaukee is the favorite with a -116 opening line, which has remained unchanged.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Brewers -116 | Pirates +104

Spread: Brewers -1.5 (+134) | Pirates +1.5 (-162)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Milwaukee will win straight-up is 54%.

Milwaukee Brewers

In the upcoming series finale, RHP Aaron Civale will take the mound for Cleveland against the Pirates. Civale has had success against the Pirates in two of his last three starts, most recently allowing one run on six hits over 6.1 innings while striking out six. However, Civale has struggled on the road, with a higher ERA and opponents hitting better than .275 against him. He has also been vulnerable under the lights, allowing 21 homers in 20 night starts. Milwaukee, entering the contest with a power ranking of 19, is currently ranked 5th in offense, averaging 4.81 runs per game. They are also 5th in defense, allowing 4.01 runs per game, and have a 90-67 record for the season. However, the Brewers have seen a decline in their offensive production in September, hitting under .220 at the plate and struggling to drive home runners in scoring position. Despite this, Milwaukee remains in the top 10 in hits per game and extra-base hits on the road.

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MLB · Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates

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Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis

On Thursday, RHP Mitch Keller will be starting for the Pittsburgh Pirates against the Brewers. Keller has had a mixed performance in his recent outings, with a 11-11 record and a 4.21 ERA for the season. He has been more effective at home, with a lower ERA and holding opponents to under .240 at the plate. However, September has been a challenging month for him, with his ERA jumping to 6.97 and opponents hitting nearly .300. The Pirates as a team have struggled with consistency at the plate, ranking 23rd in the league for offense and batting average. They have seen a decline in home runs and extra-base hits, particularly in night games and in September. This lack of offensive production has resulted in Pittsburgh leaving runners on base regularly. The team's power ranking stands at 23, with a 73-84 record for the season. In their last three matchups, the Brewers went 1-2 against the Pirates.

Milwaukee Brewers Struggling at Plate, Pittsburgh Pirates Poised for Moneyline Bet Success

The Milwaukee Brewers' performance at the plate this month has been subpar, and they have displayed a slightly lackadaisical attitude since securing the division title. Conversely, the Pittsburgh Pirates may not have postseason prospects, but they should be able to leverage the high home run rate of opposing pitcher Civale. Additionally, Pittsburgh's pitcher Keller showcased an impressive performance in his last outing against the Brewers, achieving seven strikeouts and preventing any runs from being scored. Considering these factors, Pittsburgh is a favorable choice for a moneyline bet in this matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MilwaukeeBrewers#PittsburghPirates

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Brewers vs Pirates archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Brewers vs Pirates matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Milwaukee Brewers-116 → -116Unchanged
  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates+104 → +102Moved
  • Spread · Milwaukee Brewers-1.5 (+134) → -1.5 (+143)Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates+1.5 (-162) → +1.5 (-163)Moved
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Milwaukee Brewers
103-59 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-09-26T02:21:09.888Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-09-25Milwaukee Brewers 1 · Pittsburgh Pirates 2
  • 2024-09-24Milwaukee Brewers 7 · Pittsburgh Pirates 2
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Milwaukee Brewers defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 5-2

Milwaukee Brewers defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 5-2 on September 26, 2024, a 3-run decision in the series. Milwaukee Brewers' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+143) spread, Milwaukee Brewers covered, while the 7 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JohnnywalkerMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +104Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +104Loss