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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians
Tue 6:10 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds logo
Cincinnati
Reds11
H. Greene RHP · 4–6, 4.24 ERA
versus
Cleveland Guardians logo
Cleveland
Guardians7
L. Giolito RHP · 8–14, 4.70 ERA
Final
Team123456789T
Cincinnati Reds00413100211
Cleveland Guardians033

Ohio Cup on the Line as Cincinnati Reds Face Cleveland Guardians in Two-Game Series

Game time: September 26, 2023 at 6:10 PM ET

Venue: Progressive Field — Cleveland, Ohio

Article updated Sep 25, 6:15 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In the 2023 season's final week, the Ohio Cup is at stake as the Cincinnati Reds (80-77) face the Cleveland Guardians (74-83) in a two-game series beginning Tuesday at 6:10

Game outlook

In the 2023 season's final week, the Ohio Cup is at stake as the Cincinnati Reds (80-77) face the Cleveland Guardians (74-83) in a two-game series beginning Tuesday at 6:10 p.m. at Progressive Field. Hunter Greene (ERA: 4.24) starts for the Reds and Lucas Giolito (ERA: 4.7) for the Guardians, with Cincinnati favored to win (-107). Tune in to see if the Reds can pick up the wins they need to secure the Ohio Cup.

Game Info

When: Tuesday, 9/26/2023 @ 6:10pm EST

Where: Progressive Field Stadium Reds vs Guardians Betting Odds Moneyline: Reds -107 | Guardians -103

Spread: Reds -1.5 (+157) | Guardians +1.5 (-175)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Cincinnati will win straight-up is 52%.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have 5 games remaining in the regular season, which is fewer than the Marlins, Cubs and Diamondbacks Tiebreak advantage over the Cubs and Diamondbacks could be beneficial for the Reds Cincinnati's starting pitcher, Hunter Greene, has a 3.68 ERA in away games and has won the last four of his five away starts Reds have the fourth-best bullpen (War) Offensively, the Reds rank 12th in runs per game and average 4.82 runs per game on the road Cincinnati holds MLB's highest stolen base total, 181 with an 80% success rate Rank 10th in walks but 23rd in strikeouts and 27th in hard-hit rate Power Ranking of 24; 80-77 this season

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MLB · Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians

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21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Cleveland Guardians Analysis

Cleveland Guardians has a power ranking of 14 and a 74-83 overall record The offense is ranked 27th and averages 4.11 points per game The defense is ranked 7th and averages 4.23 points per game Cincinnati went 1-2 in their last 3 matchups against Cleveland Lucas Giolito is 1-3 with a 5.64 ERA after four starts with the Guardians The Guardians have 143 steals (6th) to help manufacture runs The bullpen is 9th in ERA, but have been struggling in September

Cincinnati Reds Poised for Victory in Upcoming Matchup With the Cleveland Indians

Hunter Greene has been in good form in his past four starts with an ERA of 1.50, and has been stronger on the road with a 3.68 ERA and a Reds record of 4-1 in their last five away games. Currently facing a Cleveland offense that is 27th in runs per game, and was limited to one run in their last two contests, Greene is expected to perform well. Similarly, Cincinnati's offense is likely to handle Guardian's Lucas Giolito, who has posted a 6.52 ERA since August, managed only 4 runs in his last start against the Reds and should not pose any significant issues. With Cincinnati needing the win, they are likely to emerge victorious in a comfortable manner.

Written by Mikehuff Published on 09/25/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: My Philosophy of "picking our battles and not the board" is what consistently gives me profit year over year. Join me this season for NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB hoops.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#CincinnatiReds#ClevelandGuardians

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Reds vs Guardians archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Reds vs Guardians matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Cincinnati Reds-107 → -105Moved
  • Moneyline · Cleveland Guardians-103 → -110Moved
  • Spread · Cincinnati Reds-1.5 (+157) → +1.5 (-208)Moved
  • Spread · Cleveland Guardians+1.5 (-175) → -1.5 (+177)Moved
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Cincinnati Reds
80-77 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cleveland Guardians
74-79-1 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-25T22:15:23.373Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Cincinnati Reds defeated Cleveland Guardians 11-7

Cincinnati Reds defeated Cleveland Guardians 11-7 on September 26, 2023, a 4-run decision in the series. Cincinnati Reds' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (-208) spread, Cincinnati Reds covered, while the 18 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • EmcMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians -103Loss
  • 5583642507Runline · Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+150)Win
  • 1735203231Total · Under 8 (-110)Loss
  • HopkinspicksMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -109Win
  • NutinbutlocksMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -109Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -108Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -107Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -107Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • PeytoncMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -107Win
  • DerekFisherMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -107Win
  • GeorgewTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • DoclocksMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians -107Loss