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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins
Wed 7:40 PM ET
Miami Marlins logo
Miami
Marlins3
E. Cabrera RHP
versus
Minnesota Twins logo
Minnesota
Twins8
S. Woods Richardson RHP
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Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: September 25, 2024 at 7:40 PM ET

Venue: Target Field — Minneapolis, Minnesota

Article updated Sep 24, 10:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Miami Marlins, with a record of 80-82, will have Edward Cabrera starting as pitcher with a 5.12 ERA. The Minnesota Twins, at 81-75, will have Simeon Woods Richardson

Game outlook

The Miami Marlins, with a record of 80-82, will have Edward Cabrera starting as pitcher with a 5.12 ERA. The Minnesota Twins, at 81-75, will have Simeon Woods Richardson starting with a 4.00 ERA. Minnesota is the favorite with a current betting line of -186.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Marlins +164 | Twins -186

Spread: Marlins +1.5 (-130) | Twins -1.5 (+110)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Minnesota will win straight-up is 65%.

Miami Marlins

The Miami Marlins have struggled offensively this season, ranking 29th in the major leagues with a .671 team OPS and averaging 3.82 runs per game. One bright spot has been their ability to steal bases, ranking 13th in the league with 121 stolen bases. First baseman Jake Burger has been a standout performer with a .758 OPS and 28 home runs. On the pitching side, Edward Cabrera has had a tough season, ranking poorly in various metrics according to Baseball Savant. The team has also been plagued by injuries, with several key players sidelined. Despite these challenges, Miami has a power ranking of 24 and a record of 80-82.

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Minnesota Twins have been performing well offensively this season, ranking 11th in the league with a .730 team OPS and averaging 4.62 runs per game. They have hit 178 total home runs, placing them 13th in MLB. First baseman Carlos Santana has been a standout player with 22 homers, 65 RBI, and a .736 OPS. Pitcher Simeon Woods Richardson has struggled, particularly with his changeup pitch, entering his first start against the Miami Marlins. The Twins have several players on the injury report, including pitcher Kody Funderburk and right fielder Max Kepler. Despite their power ranking of 28, the Twins have shown strong offensive capabilities and have had success against the Miami Marlins in recent matchups.

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MLB · Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins

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Contrasting Pitching Performance at Home vs. Away Favors Minnesota Twins for Run Line Coverage

Upon closer examination of the road/home splits of the starting pitchers, it is evident that there is a significant contrast in performance this season. Cabrera has a record of 3-5 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 41.0 innings across nine road starts. On the other hand, Woods Simeon boasts a 1-2 record with a 3.90 ERA and .207 batting average against in 62.1 innings from 12 home starts. Throughout the month of September, Miami has a team ERA of 5.61 in 20 games, ranking 29th, while Minnesota ranks 24th with a 4.53 team ERA over 21 games. Based on this analysis, it is recommended to select the Minnesota Twins to cover the run line in this particular instance.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MiamiMarlins#MinnesotaTwins

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Marlins vs Twins archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Marlins vs Twins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Miami Marlins+163 → +170Moved
  • Moneyline · Minnesota Twins-178 → -190Moved
  • Spread · Miami Marlins+1.5 (-125) → +1.5 (-125)Unchanged
  • Spread · Minnesota Twins-1.5 (+104) → -1.5 (+109)Moved
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Miami Marlins
80-82 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Minnesota Twins
77-85 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-09-25T02:35:30.013Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Miami Marlins have struggled offensively this season, ranking 29th in the major leagues with a .671 team OPS and averaging 3.82 runs per game. One bright spot has been their ability to steal bases, ranking 13th in the league with 121 stolen bases. First baseman Jake Burger has been a standout performer with a .758 OPS and 28 home runs. On the pitching side, Edward Cabrera has had a tough season, ranking poorly in various metrics according to Baseball Savant. The team has also been plagued by injuries, with several key players sidelined. Despite these challenges, Miami has a power ranking of 24 and a record of 80-82.

The Minnesota Twins have been performing well offensively this season, ranking 11th in the league with a .730 team OPS and averaging 4.62 runs per game. They have hit 178 total home runs, placing them 13th in MLB. First baseman Carlos Santana has been a standout player with 22 homers, 65 RBI, and a .736 OPS. Pitcher Simeon Woods Richardson has struggled, particularly with his changeup pitch, entering his first start against the Miami Marlins. The Twins have several players on the injury report, including pitcher Kody Funderburk and right fielder Max Kepler. Despite their power ranking of 28, the Twins have shown strong offensive capabilities and have had success against the Miami Marlins in recent matchups.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-09-24Miami Marlins 4 · Minnesota Twins 1
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Minnesota Twins defeated Miami Marlins 8-3

Minnesota Twins defeated Miami Marlins 8-3 on September 25, 2024, a 5-run decision in the series. Minnesota Twins' strongest period was the 7th inning, when it outscored its opponent 5-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Miami Marlins +1.5 (-125) spread, Minnesota Twins covered, while the 11 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • PeytoncMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -178Win
  • IrishblueTotal · Under 8 (-110)Loss
  • MauriceJonesMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -185Win
  • Steve512Moneyline · Miami Marlins +170Loss
  • JohnmiznerMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -190Win
  • EmcMoneyline · Miami Marlins +170Loss
  • KryptonMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -186Win