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MLB MatchupsThu 2:10 PM ET
Chicago White Sox logo
Chicago
White Sox
D. Sandlin RHP
versus
Kansas City Royals logo
Kansas City
Royals
R. Dobnak RHP
MLB · CHW at KC

Your Picks on White Sox vs Royals

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
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Moneyline
Total

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Predictions: David Sandlin vs Randy Dobnak

Game time: September 24, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET

Venue: Kauffman Stadium — Kansas City, Missouri

Article updated Sep 24, 3:29 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Chicago White Sox are projected to beat the Kansas City Royals 5-4 on September 24. Chicago’s stronger scoring average and better relief numbers give it the narrow edge, although Randy Dobnak’s season ERA favors Kansas City in the starting matchup. Neither the supplied run lines nor the 8.5 total offers a convincing betting edge. The official recommendation is Pass.

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals prediction and best bet

Chicago gets the pick because its advantages extend beyond the starting pitcher. The White Sox score more runs per game, allow fewer and bring the stronger relief profile. Those factors narrowly outweigh Kansas City’s advantage in season ERA between the probable starters. Expect a close game, with Chicago winning 5-4.

The best betting decision is Pass. Chicago’s -1.5 (+128) run line requires a larger winning margin than the forecast, while Kansas City +1.5 (-154) carries a substantial price. Nine projected runs put the score above 8.5, but that small cushion is insufficient to recommend Over 8.5 (-130). Confidence in the winner is low.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals, MLB, September 24, 2026, at 2:10 p.m. EDT.

Venue: Kauffman Stadium.

Broadcast: Chicago Sports Network and Royals.TV.

Records: Chicago 81-77; Kansas City 68-90. The Royals ended a five-game losing streak September 23.

Probable starters: Right-handers David Sandlin for Chicago and Randy Dobnak for Kansas City.

SportsJaw moneylines: Chicago -130; Kansas City +108. Run lines: Chicago -1.5 (+128); Kansas City +1.5 (-154). Total: Over 8.5 (-130); Under 8.5 (+110).

Chicago White Sox outlook

Chicago’s season scoring average of 4.75 runs gives the White Sox the stronger offensive baseline. They allow 4.47 runs per game, and their relievers are listed with a 3.71 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Those numbers favor Chicago in a game that remains close after the starters leave, although they offer no guarantee about an individual afternoon.

Sandlin creates the biggest uncertainty. His 2026 record is 2-2, with a 6.29 ERA and 33 strikeouts. Against Detroit on September 18, he surrendered five earned runs and seven hits in four innings, striking out four and walking one. Another outing like that would put considerable pressure on Chicago’s offense.

His other listed starts show a less discouraging possibility. Sandlin allowed three runs, none earned, over 5⅔ innings against St. Louis on September 13. On June 26 against Kansas City, he yielded one run over six innings with six strikeouts. That earlier meeting is encouraging, but too limited to outweigh his season ERA.

Braden Montgomery supplied three singles in the September 23 loss. Kyle Teel’s two-run single helped Chicago’s five-hit third inning, with Miguel Vargas and Munetaka Murakami also driving in runs. That production offers recent encouragement heading into the matchup with Dobnak.

Kansas City Royals outlook

Kansas City’s strongest argument is Dobnak’s season performance. The right-hander enters at 3-4 with a 3.08 ERA and 48 strikeouts, a considerably better ERA than Sandlin’s. If he pitches near that season level, the Royals could neutralize Chicago’s offensive advantage and put the White Sox in chase mode.

His recent results make that scenario less secure. Dobnak’s last five listed starts carry a 5.60 ERA. At Pittsburgh on September 18, he allowed four earned runs and seven hits in 3⅔ innings, with two walks and one strikeout. Earlier, on September 12 at Boston, he gave up three earned runs in 5⅔ innings. His September 6 outing against Toronto was better: one earned run over six innings.

Kansas City averages 4.25 runs scored and 4.91 allowed per game. Its relievers are listed at a 5.02 ERA and 1.49 WHIP, making the transition from Dobnak a concern even if he delivers a useful start.

The Royals nevertheless received timely contributions in their September 23 victory. Maikel Garcia had three hits and three RBIs, including the seventh-inning double that put Kansas City ahead. Carter Jensen added three singles. Connor Thomas worked two scoreless innings, and Steven Cruz recorded his eighth save. Those performances helped end the five-game skid.

Key matchup factors

The central question is how much weight to give Dobnak’s season ERA against Chicago’s broader team advantages. His recent outings reduce the appeal of treating the starting matchup as a decisive Kansas City edge. Chicago has the better scoring average and relief numbers, giving the White Sox more than one route to a narrow victory.

The previous game also adds a workload consideration: Chicago used five pitchers on September 23. That makes a longer Sandlin outing desirable, without proving which relievers will be available. Kansas City’s 5-4 win illustrates the competitive matchup, but one result should carry less weight than the season profiles when choosing today’s winner.

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+128) and Kansas City Royals +1.5 (-154). A projected one-run Chicago win would cash Kansas City’s run line, but a single score forecast is too narrow a foundation for paying -154.

Chicago’s stronger offense and relief profile support the outright pick without making a multiple-run victory persuasive. Sandlin’s uneven results leave room for an early deficit, while Dobnak’s season performance offers Kansas City a credible way to stay close. Neither spread price supplies enough incentive to turn this fragile forecast into a wager.

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 8.5 (-130) and Under 8.5 (+110). The projected nine runs suggest a slight Over tendency. Both starters allowed at least four earned runs in their September 18 outings, and Kansas City’s relief numbers add to the scoring concern.

There are meaningful counterweights. Dobnak owns a 3.08 season ERA, Chicago has the stronger relief profile, and Sandlin previously limited Kansas City to one run over six innings. The Over price asks for more conviction than this mixed pitching picture warrants. The Under’s positive return alone is no reason to select it.

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals projected score

Game forecast: Chicago White Sox 5, Kansas City Royals 4. Chicago’s scoring average and relief advantage provide the strongest combined case for the winner. The forecast assumes the White Sox remain within reach through Sandlin’s outing and produce enough against Dobnak and the Kansas City bullpen to finish ahead.

The strongest counterargument is Dobnak’s much better season ERA. A strong start from him, paired with another difficult outing for Sandlin, could reverse the result. That possibility keeps confidence low. Chicago is the projected winner, both run lines are passes, and the total is a pass. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

Projected score

CHW5

KC4

ConfidenceSlight lean
Projected winner Chicago White Sox
Spread

Pass on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+128) and Kansas City Royals +1.5 (-154)

Total

Pass on Over 8.5 (-130) and Under 8.5 (+110)

SportsJaw pick

Pass

Sources

  • MLB.comBaseball Probable Pitchers
  • CoversWhite Sox vs Royals Game Overview, Stats, Injuries, Records - MLB Game on September 24, 2026
  • FOX Sports / Associated PressPrevious-game context: Royals snap a 5-game skid with a 5-4 win over White Sox, delaying Chicago's bid for a playoff berth

SportsJaw White Sox vs Royals game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past White Sox vs Royals matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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