SportsJaw
LeaderboardToday's GamesPredictionsBest BetsConsensus PicksMake Picks
Login / Sign In
Today's GamesLatest PredictionsToday’s Best BetsConsensus PicksTeam PredictionsHead-to-Head MatchupsSJ CoinsAbout SportsJawContact UsLogin / Sign In
HomeMatchupsMake PicksLeaders
SportsJaw

The social platform for sports bettors.

Explore SportsJaw

  • Today’s Picks
  • Latest Predictions
  • Best Bets
  • Leaderboard
  • Make Picks
  • Consensus Picks
  • Team Predictions
  • Head-to-Head

Picks by Sport

  • NFL Picks
  • NCAAF Picks
  • NBA Picks
  • NCAAB Picks
  • MLB Picks
  • NHL Picks

About SportsJaw

  • How It Works
  • SJ Coins
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact Us

© 2026 SportsJaw. For entertainment purposes only. SportsJaw does not accept or place wagers.

MLB MatchupsThu 7:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Tampa Bay
Rays
I. Seymour LHP
versus
New York Yankees logo
New York
Yankees
C. Schlittler RHP
MLB · TB at NYY

Your Picks on Rays vs Yankees

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
Runline
Moneyline
Total
Expert picks

Top handicapper on this matchup

Selected from available sellers by MLB bankroll over the last 30 days. Selections unlock after purchase.

Tip to unlock expert picks

Mickeyt

21-18 record · 53.85% wins
Last 30 days · MLB

$1,000 pick on the moneyline

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Predictions: Ian Seymour vs Cam Schlittler

Game time: September 24, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Venue: Yankee Stadium — Bronx, New York

Article updated Sep 24, 2:23 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The New York Yankees will beat the Tampa Bay Rays, Yankees 4, Rays 2, with Cam Schlittler’s superior season and recent run prevention providing the strongest matchup advantage. Tampa Bay’s better record and Ian Seymour’s strikeout ability keep confidence low. Neither the supplied run line nor total offers a persuasive betting edge, so the official SportsJaw wager is Pass.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees prediction and best bet

New York gets the pick because the starting matchup favors Schlittler. His 1.94 season ERA and 234 strikeouts give the Yankees a stronger pitching foundation than Seymour’s 4.38 ERA. The recent contrast is sharper: Schlittler has a 0.83 ERA across his last five starts, compared with Seymour’s 5.33.

Tampa Bay still presents a substantial challenge. The Rays have the better record, recently clinched the AL East and have already seen Seymour strike out 12 Yankees in one outing this season. Expect New York to win, but keep the betting decision separate. The projected two-run margin is too fragile to make Yankees -1.5 (+160) an official play. Best bet: Pass.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees, 2026 MLB season.

First pitch: September 24, 2026, at 7:05 p.m. EDT.

Venue: Yankee Stadium.

Broadcast: YES and Rays.TV.

Records: Rays 96-62, Yankees 91-67. Last 10: Tampa Bay 7-3, New York 6-4. Tampa Bay has clinched the AL East.

Probable starters: Ian Seymour, Rays left-hander; Cam Schlittler, Yankees right-hander, as listed by MLB.com for this game. Both also appear in the current Covers matchup listing.

Tampa Bay Rays outlook

Tampa Bay’s case begins with sustained team success. The Rays clinched the AL East by beating New York 6-1 in the September 22 doubleheader nightcap, with Yandy Díaz driving in four runs. That victory gave them 20 wins in 28 games. Their current 7-3 record over the last 10 adds another reason to take the underdog seriously.

Seymour is 9-7 with a 4.38 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 155 strikeouts over 127⅓ innings. He has allowed 25 home runs, making power prevention a central concern. His last five starts averaged five innings and seven strikeouts, but also 1.8 home runs allowed. On September 18 against Boston, he surrendered four earned runs and two homers over five innings.

His July 7 start against the Yankees illustrates both possibilities: 12 strikeouts and no walks over 5⅓ innings, but three earned runs allowed. Tampa Bay’s bullpen has a 3.43 ERA and 1.09 WHIP across 580⅓ innings, although its last three games brought 10 earned runs in 13⅓ innings. Relievers Tyler Wells and Garrett Cleavinger are on the 15-day injured list with forearm issues. Shane McClanahan is also on that list with left forearm tightness.

New York Yankees outlook

New York enters at 91-67 after winning six of its last 10 games. The September 22 doubleheader produced contrasting results: a 2-0 victory followed by a 6-1 defeat. Cody Bellinger’s two-run homer supplied the opener’s scoring, while Carlos Rodón delivered eight scoreless innings with eight strikeouts. That opener offers a recent example of New York winning this matchup through pitching.

Schlittler brings the more convincing individual record into this game. He is 14-6 with a 1.94 ERA and 234 strikeouts, and his last five starts produced a 4-1 record with a 0.83 ERA. Against the Mets on September 13, he allowed one hit across six scoreless innings, walking two and striking out eight.

His September 19 outing at Arizona needs a distinction between earned and total runs: he allowed three runs, one earned, over six innings. He gave up three hits, walked three and struck out six. New York’s bullpen has a 2.88 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over 481⅓ innings, with four earned runs allowed in its last 8⅔ innings across three games. That season-long run prevention strengthens the Yankees’ forecast without guaranteeing another quiet finish.

Key matchup factors

The biggest question is whether Seymour’s strikeouts can offset his home-run vulnerability. New York’s advantage grows if he again needs relief after roughly five innings, putting more responsibility on a Tampa Bay bullpen coming off a difficult three-game stretch. Those recent relief results deserve attention without outweighing the much larger season sample.

SportsJaw’s September 24, 00:30 UTC consensus lists Tampa Bay +124 as the moneyline leader for both members and qualified handicappers, each at 50%. Neither side has a majority. The member total selection is Over 6.5 (-120) at 100%. These are pick shares, not win probabilities; the consensus moneyline price is separate from the supplied Rays +125.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (-190) and New York Yankees -1.5 (+160). New York’s pitching advantage makes a two-run victory plausible, and the projected score would cover its run line. Tampa Bay’s stronger overall record and Seymour’s strikeout upside leave a one-run finish as a meaningful counterargument.

Taking Tampa Bay’s extra run and a half costs -190. That price requires more conviction about a close result than this matchup warrants. The Yankees’ +160 return is appealing only if their chance of creating separation justifies the risk. Neither side earns that endorsement here.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 6.5 (-120) and Under 6.5 (+100). Schlittler’s season and recent starts favor a restrained scoring forecast, while Seymour’s home-run allowance and Tampa Bay’s recent bullpen results create a credible route above the total.

The projected six runs fall below 6.5, but a single additional run would reverse that outcome. SportsJaw members favor the Over unanimously in the supplied snapshot; that preference alone is not a scoring forecast or a measure of betting value. The Under fits the projected score, but the competing pitching signals keep it off the betting card.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees projected score

Game forecast: New York Yankees 4, Tampa Bay Rays 2. Schlittler’s stronger season, excellent recent outings and the Yankees bullpen’s lower season ERA give New York the edge. Seymour’s recent home-run trouble supplies a plausible path to the four runs projected for the home team.

The strongest counterargument is Tampa Bay’s superior record and recent winning form, reinforced by Seymour’s previous 12-strikeout performance against New York. Those strengths keep confidence low despite the clear choice of winner. A two-run forecast is not a promise of a two-run margin, and six projected runs leave little cushion beneath the total. The single official SportsJaw wager is Pass.

Projected score

TB2

NYY4

ConfidenceSlight lean
Projected winner New York Yankees
Spread

Pass on Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (-190) and New York Yankees -1.5 (+160).

Total

Pass on Over 6.5 (-120) and Under 6.5 (+100).

SportsJaw pick

Pass

Sources

  • CoversRays vs Yankees Game Overview, Stats, Injuries, Records - MLB Game on September 24, 2026
  • MLB.comBaseball Probable Pitchers
  • The Ticket (KTCK-AM)Previous-game context: MLB roundup: Drew Rasmussen helps Rays smother Yankees for AL East title

SportsJaw Rays vs Yankees game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Rays vs Yankees matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Keep browsing

More MLB matchups

Compare predictions, consensus picks and recorded odds for other MLB games on this slate.

View all MLB games
MLBThu 12:35 PM
St. Louis Cardinals+136
Pittsburgh Pirates-159
O/U7
View matchup and picks
MLBThu 2:10 PM
Chicago White Sox-130
Kansas City Royals+108
O/U8.5
Matchup Coming Soon
MLBThu 2:20 PM
Miami Marlins+175
Chicago Cubs-200
O/U7.5
View matchup and picks
MLBThu 2:35 PM
New York Mets+107
Texas Rangers-128
O/U8.5
Matchup Coming Soon
MLBThu 3:10 PM
Arizona Diamondbacks-179
Colorado Rockies+154
O/U10
View matchup and picks
MLBThu 6:05 PM
Milwaukee Brewers+100
Philadelphia Phillies-120
O/U8.5
Matchup Coming Soon
MLBThu 6:45 PM
Cleveland Guardians+115
Boston Red Sox-135
O/U7.5
Matchup Coming Soon
MLBThu 7:15 PM
Cincinnati Reds+180
Atlanta Braves-215
O/U7.5
View matchup and picks
MLBThu 9:40 PM
Los Angeles Angels+165
Seattle Mariners-200
O/U7.5
Matchup Coming Soon
MLBThu 10:10 PM
San Diego Padres+145
Los Angeles Dodgers-170
O/U7.5
View matchup and picks