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MLB MatchupsThu 3:10 PM ET
Arizona Diamondbacks logo
Arizona
Diamondbacks
E. Rodriguez LHP
versus
Colorado Rockies logo
Colorado
Rockies
T. Gordon RHP
MLB · ARI at COL

Your Picks on Diamondbacks vs Rockies

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Mickeyt

21-18 record · 53.85% wins
Last 30 days · MLB

$500 pick on the moneyline

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Predictions: Eduardo Rodriguez vs Tanner Gordon

Game time: September 24, 2026 at 3:10 PM ET

Venue: Coors Field — Denver, Colorado

Article updated Sep 24, 2:29 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Arizona Diamondbacks will beat the Colorado Rockies, with a projected score of Diamondbacks 6, Rockies 3. Eduardo Rodriguez’s 2.89 ERA against Tanner Gordon’s 6.01 ERA supplies the strongest matchup advantage for the September 24 game at Coors Field. Arizona is the winner pick, but neither the supplied run line nor total offers a strong enough edge for an official wager.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies prediction and best bet

Arizona gets the nod because its advantage starts on the mound and is reinforced by the teams’ season records. The Diamondbacks enter 84-74, while Colorado is 57-101. Rodriguez gives Arizona the stronger pitching foundation, and Gordon’s difficulties extend beyond his overall ERA to his home performance and two recent starts.

The game forecast is Diamondbacks 6, Rockies 3, with medium confidence. The best betting decision is Pass. Arizona -1.5 (-119) requires a victory by at least two runs, and a favorable starting matchup alone is not enough to price that margin confidently. The total of 10 also demands a separate judgment about how much both offenses will contribute.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Arizona at Colorado, MLB, Thursday, September 24, 2026, at 3:10 p.m. EDT.

Venue: Coors Field.

Broadcast: DBACKS.TV and Rockies.TV.

Records: Arizona 84-74; Colorado 57-101.

Probable starters: Eduardo Rodriguez, Arizona left-hander; Tanner Gordon, Colorado right-hander.

SportsJaw moneyline: Arizona -179; Colorado +154. Run line: Arizona -1.5 (-119); Colorado +1.5 (-101). Total: Over 10 (-115); Under 10 (-105). These prices apply to the market evaluations below; the winner forecast is separate from the decision to place a bet.

Arizona Diamondbacks outlook

Rodriguez’s season gives Arizona its clearest advantage. MLB lists him at 15-7 with a 2.89 ERA and 140 strikeouts. Those numbers favor him over Gordon, particularly in run prevention. His win total is useful background, but the ERA comparison carries more weight in this forecast than the difference between the pitchers’ records.

Arizona also has the better team record. That supports choosing the Diamondbacks to win, although it says less about whether they will clear a run line. An 84-74 record supplies broader context for the pitching advantage without promising a particular offensive performance Thursday.

The offensive opportunity comes from Gordon’s vulnerability. His home numbers include 72 hits and 14 home runs allowed in 53 innings, creating a plausible route to multiple scoring chances. Arizona need not be assigned an unsupported strength against right-handed pitching to recognize that opening.

The distinction matters when moving from a winner pick to a wager. Arizona can be the more likely winner without its offense being dependable enough to back a two-run margin at -119. The Diamondbacks’ outlook is favorable, but the projected six runs remain an editorial estimate rather than a measured lineup expectation.

Colorado Rockies outlook

Gordon enters with a 1-5 record, 6.01 ERA and 1.53 WHIP across 100⅓ innings in 2026. His workload spans 23 appearances, including 11 starts, with 84 strikeouts and 18 walks. He has allowed 136 hits and 19 home runs, so limiting contact damage is the central challenge.

His home split makes that challenge more pronounced. Gordon is 0-3 with a 7.47 ERA and 1.57 WHIP across 53 innings at home. He has surrendered 72 hits, 44 earned runs and 14 homers in that sample. Those results make it difficult to project a quiet Arizona afternoon.

The dated September starts add a more immediate concern. Against San Diego on September 17, Gordon allowed 10 hits and seven earned runs in three innings, with two walks and three strikeouts. At Detroit on September 12, he yielded 10 hits and four earned runs in four innings, walking one and striking out five.

Together, those outings produced 11 earned runs and 20 hits in seven innings. Colorado’s route to an upset starts with Gordon improving sharply on those performances. Keeping Arizona close would also give the Rockies a chance to cover +1.5 without needing to win outright.

Key matchup factors

The strongest evidence points in the same direction: Arizona has the better team record and the lower-ERA probable starter, while Gordon’s recent outings reinforce concern about his home results. These are useful reasons to favor Arizona, but Gordon’s season, home split and recent starts overlap rather than representing three independent edges.

SportsJaw’s September 24 snapshot, updated at 00:30:47 UTC, lists Arizona -179 as the community moneyline leader at 50%. Its qualified-handicapper listing also shows Arizona -179 at 50%. A 50% share is no majority endorsement. Those moneyline selections add no persuasive reason to upgrade either the run-line recommendation or the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies spread prediction

Run-line recommendation: Pass on Arizona -1.5 (-119) and Colorado +1.5 (-101). Gordon’s struggles make a multi-run Arizona win plausible, and the projected three-run margin would cover the favorite’s line.

A projected margin is only one outcome, however. The strength of Arizona’s offense and the relief pitching comparison are unresolved parts of that wager. Colorado’s extra 1.5 runs offer protection against a one-run defeat, but Gordon’s profile makes the underdog difficult to endorse. Neither side earns an official run-line play at these prices.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 10 (-115) and Under 10 (-105). Gordon’s contact and home-run problems supply the argument for the Over. Rodriguez’s much lower ERA supplies the counterweight, with the forecast asking Colorado to contribute only three runs.

Diamondbacks 6, Rockies 3 would finish below 10, but that narrow cushion is insufficient for an Under wager. A different outing from either starter could change the calculation quickly. With no supported offensive splits or bullpen comparison to strengthen either position, the total remains a Pass.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies projected score

Game forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks 6, Colorado Rockies 3. Rodriguez’s season-long run prevention and Gordon’s home difficulties make Arizona the selection. The team records reinforce that judgment, while Gordon’s two dated September starts make a sudden improvement a risky assumption.

The strongest counterargument is that a starting-pitcher advantage does not determine the entire game. Gordon could outperform his recent results, and the offensive and relief-pitching comparisons remain incomplete. Confidence is medium in the winner forecast, with less conviction in the precise margin and total. The single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass. Arizona is the projected winner; neither market earns a wager at the supplied prices.

Projected score

ARI6

COL3

ConfidenceMedium confidence
Projected winner Arizona Diamondbacks
Spread

Pass on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-119) and Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-101)

Total

Pass on Over 10 (-115) and Under 10 (-105)

SportsJaw pick

Pass

Sources

  • MLB.comBaseball Probable Pitchers
  • CoversDiamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Picks, Prop Bets For September 24, 2026 - MLB
  • CoversTanner Gordon Projections, Player Props and Stats

SportsJaw Diamondbacks vs Rockies game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Diamondbacks vs Rockies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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