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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays
Tue 7:07 PM ET
Boston Red Sox logo
Boston
Red Sox6
B. Bello RHP
versus
Toronto Blue Jays logo
Toronto
Blue Jays5
B. Francis RHP
Final/10
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Boston Red Sox00000021036
Toronto Blue Jays002010

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: September 24, 2024 at 7:07 PM ET

Venue: Rogers Centre — Toronto, Ontario

Article updated Sep 23, 10:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Boston Red Sox (79-78) are set to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (73-84) in an American League East matchup at the Rogers Centre. The Red Sox took the first game

Game outlook

The Boston Red Sox (79-78) are set to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (73-84) in an American League East matchup at the Rogers Centre. The Red Sox took the first game of the series with a 4-1 victory. Brayan Bello will take the mound for the Red Sox, with a 4.49 ERA, while Bowden Francis will start for the Blue Jays with a 3.47 ERA. Toronto is favored to win, opening at -126 and currently sitting at Toronto -122.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Red Sox +112 | Blue Jays -122

Spread: Red Sox +1.5 (-192) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+165)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Toronto will win straight-up is 55%.

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox have been recently eliminated from playoff contention but have shown improvement in their performance, winning their last three games. Their offense has been strong, ranking seventh in the league with a .747 team OPS and scoring an average of 4.7 runs per game. The team has also been hitting home runs effectively, tying for seventh in the league with 193 homers. Center fielder Jarren Duran has been a standout performer with a .286/.344/.498 slash line, 21 home runs, 75 RBI, 107 runs scored, and 34 steals. The team is looking to finish the season on a positive note. Young right-hander Brayan Bello will be starting the upcoming matchup, with a 14-8 record, 4.49 ERA, and 1.37 WHIP in 29 starts. Despite coming off a loss in his last outing, Bello has shown good command with 149 strikeouts against 62 walks this year. The Red Sox are ranked 17th in power rankings, with a ninth-place offense (4.73 runs per game), 23rd in defense (allowing 4.65 runs per game), and a season record of 87-75.

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MLB · Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

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Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Toronto Blue Jays have been struggling recently with four consecutive losses and are not likely to make the playoffs. Offensively, the team has a .242/.313/.391 slash line and averages 4.16 runs per game. However, the Blue Jays have had difficulty stealing bases, ranking 27th in MLB with 70 total steals. Right fielder George Springer has been struggling at the plate. Righty Bowden Francis will be pitching for the Blue Jays, with an 79-83 record, 3.47 ERA, and a .197 batting average against this season. The team has a power ranking of 9 and is ranked #20 for offense and defense, with an overall record of 72-84. Boston recently went 1-2 against Toronto in their last three matchups. The Blue Jays need to improve their performance to secure victory.

Red Sox Favored Over Blue Jays in Upcoming Game Based on Season Record and Starting Pitcher Analysis

The Boston Red Sox have a winning record of 6-4 against the Toronto Blue Jays this season, suggesting a favorable outcome for them in the upcoming game. Analysis of the starting pitchers reveals minimal differences in performance, with Brayan Bello boasting an 8-4 record, 4.19 ERA, and 1.29 WHIP in 81.2 innings (15 road starts), while Bowden Francis has a 3-1 record, 3.80 ERA, and .201 batting average against in 42.2 innings (14 games, eight home starts). Post-All-Star break statistics show the Red Sox ranking sixth in baseball with a .748 team OPS, compared to the Blue Jays' 11th place with a .733 team OPS. Considering these factors, betting on the Red Sox as a slight underdog is recommended for a more promising outcome.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#BostonRedSox#TorontoBlueJays

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Red Sox vs Blue Jays archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Red Sox vs Blue Jays matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Boston Red Sox+115 → +115Unchanged
  • Moneyline · Toronto Blue Jays-126 → -125Moved
  • Spread · Boston Red Sox+1.5 (-191) → +1.5 (-192)Moved
  • Spread · Toronto Blue Jays-1.5 (+165) → -1.5 (+165)Unchanged
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Boston Red Sox
87-75 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-6-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Toronto Blue Jays
79-83 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-09-24T02:35:19.307Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-09-23Boston Red Sox 4 · Toronto Blue Jays 1
  • 2024-08-29Toronto Blue Jays 2 · Boston Red Sox 0
  • 2024-08-28Toronto Blue Jays 0 · Boston Red Sox 3
  • 2024-08-27Toronto Blue Jays 3 · Boston Red Sox 6
  • 2024-08-26Toronto Blue Jays 7 · Boston Red Sox 3
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Boston Red Sox defeated Toronto Blue Jays 6-5

Boston Red Sox defeated Toronto Blue Jays 6-5 on September 24, 2024, a 1-run decision in the series. Boston Red Sox's strongest period was the 7th inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-192) spread, Boston Red Sox covered, while the 11 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +115Win
  • JohnnywalkerMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +112Win