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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies
Mon 6:40 PM ET
Chicago Cubs logo
Chicago
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N. Pearson RHP
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Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: September 23, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Article updated Sep 23, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Monday evening, the Chicago Cubs (79-76, 2nd in NL Central) are set to face the Philadelphia Phillies (92-63, 1st in NL East) at Citizens Bank Park for the first game of

Game outlook

On Monday evening, the Chicago Cubs (79-76, 2nd in NL Central) are set to face the Philadelphia Phillies (92-63, 1st in NL East) at Citizens Bank Park for the first game of their three-game series. Although the starting pitchers have yet to be announced, the Phillies have historically performed well against the Cubs, winning two of three games in their last series earlier this season. The game is scheduled for 6:40 PM Eastern time. Nate Pearson is slated to start for the Cubs with an ERA of 4.71, while Aaron Nola will take the mound for the Phillies with an ERA of 3.58. Philadelphia is currently favored to win with a betting line opening at -176 and the current line at -170.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Cubs +155 | Phillies -170

Spread: Cubs +1.5 (-135) | Phillies -1.5 (+118)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 63%.

Chicago Cubs

The Chicago Cubs have recently struggled, losing three of their last five games including a 5-1 defeat to the Washington Nationals. Starting pitcher Kyle Hendricks took the loss, giving up four earned runs over 5.1 innings. The bullpen allowed an additional run. Designated hitter Pete Wishdom hit his eighth home run of the season. The Washington pitching staff struck out nine Chicago batters. Hendricks reflected on possibly his final home start at Wrigley Field, expressing a desire to improve in the offseason. Third baseman Isaac Paredes is day-to-day with an injury. According to power rankings, Chicago is ranked 13th in offense, 12th in defense, and has a record of 89-73 this season.

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MLB · Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies

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Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies have faced recent setbacks, losing three of their last four games, including a 6-3 defeat to the Mets where starter Ranger Suarez pitched well but reliever Orion Kerkering struggled. Despite the losses, the offense has been strong, scoring six runs or more in two of their last three games. Suarez mentioned making adjustments to increase his fastball velocity. Left fielder Augstin Hays remains on the IL. The Phillies are ranked 12th in power ranking, have the 4th best offense, 9th best defense, and an overall record of 88-74. Chicago won 2 out of 3 matchups against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Phillies Dominate Chicago Cubs in Recent Matchups

The Philadelphia Phillies have demonstrated impressive performance against the Chicago Cubs in their recent matchups, securing victories in seven out of their past eight games, including two consecutive wins at home. Philadelphia's pitching staff has achieved a commendable 6-1 record against Chicago, with a 3.48 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in their previous seven encounters. The Phillies have showcased exceptional strength while playing at home, triumphing in five consecutive series and sweeping the Tampa Bay Rays earlier this month. With a 66.7% winning percentage in front of their home crowd in 2024, the Phillies have established themselves as formidable opponents. On the other hand, the Cubs have faced challenges on the road, losing over half of their games and failing to secure victory in their last two series away from home. The Phillies hold a significant offensive advantage in this matchup, ranking fourth in the league in batting average compared to the Cubs' middle-of-the-pack position. Analyzing the statistics and trends, it is evident that the Philadelphia Phillies are poised for success in the series' first game at home. A prudent decision would be to take the Phillies with the run line.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#ChicagoCubs#PhiladelphiaPhillies

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Cubs vs Phillies archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Cubs vs Phillies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Chicago Cubs+150 → +175Moved
  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies-176 → -199Moved
  • Spread · Chicago Cubs+1.5 (-137) → +1.5 (-120)Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies-1.5 (+118) → -1.5 (+105)Moved
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 8 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 8 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Chicago Cubs
89-73 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Philadelphia Phillies
88-74 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-09-23T10:35:07.736Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Chicago Cubs have recently struggled, losing three of their last five games including a 5-1 defeat to the Washington Nationals. Starting pitcher Kyle Hendricks took the loss, giving up four earned runs over 5.1 innings. The bullpen allowed an additional run. Designated hitter Pete Wishdom hit his eighth home run of the season. The Washington pitching staff struck out nine Chicago batters. Hendricks reflected on possibly his final home start at Wrigley Field, expressing a desire to improve in the offseason. Third baseman Isaac Paredes is day-to-day with an injury. According to power rankings, Chicago is ranked 13th in offense, 12th in defense, and has a record of 89-73 this season.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Chicago Cubs 6-2

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Chicago Cubs 6-2 on September 23, 2024, a 4-run decision in the series. Philadelphia Phillies' strongest period was the 2nd inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Chicago Cubs +1.5 (-120) spread, Philadelphia Phillies covered, while the 8 total pushed.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Fisher49Total · Over 8 (-110)Push
  • Drew_WestcottMoneyline · Chicago Cubs +150Loss
  • IroncladlocksTotal · Over 8 (-110)Push
  • Hustle$Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -176Win
  • 1735203231Total · Under 8 (-110)Push
  • JaredkuntzMoneyline · Chicago Cubs +150Loss
  • Roderick806Total · Under 8 (-110)Push
  • IrishblueMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -176Win
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -170Win