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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers
Tue 6:40 PM ET
Washington Nationals logo
Washington
Nationals3
R. Cornelio RHP
versus
Detroit Tigers logo
Detroit
Tigers1
D. Anderson RHP
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Detroit Tigers00000

Nationals vs. Tigers: Anderson Leads the Pitching Comparison, but Detroit -152 Is a Pass

Game time: September 22, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: Comerica Park — Detroit, Michigan

Article updated Sep 22, 12:08 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Drew Anderson gives Detroit the stronger starting-pitching case. Uncertainty about the offenses and available relief keeps the betting recommendation at Pass.

Matchup overview

The pitching comparison favors Detroit when Washington visits Comerica Park on September 22, 2026. Drew Anderson brings better season and recent ERA figures than Jackson Kent, and Detroit also has the stronger overall staff numbers. Those advantages provide a reasonable explanation for the Tigers’ favorite status.

They do not establish that Detroit is worth a moneyline bet at -152. The teams are separated by just one win in the standings, and the offensive and relief information leaves important questions unanswered. This MLB matchup offers a clearer pitching preference than a betting opportunity.

At a glance

Game: Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers, Tuesday, September 22, 2026, at 6:40 p.m. EDT.

Venue: Comerica Park.

Broadcast: Nationals.TV and Detroit SportsNet.

Records: Washington 73-84, including 36-43 away; Detroit 74-83, including 40-36 at home. Detroit leads the 2026 season series 1-0.

Probable starters: Washington left-hander Jackson Kent; Detroit right-hander Drew Anderson. Assignments remain subject to change.

SportsJaw moneyline: Washington +136; Detroit -152. Run line: Washington +1.5 (-163); Detroit -1.5 (+135). Total: over 8 (-120); under 8 (+100).

Washington Nationals outlook

Washington’s pitching creates the most visible concern. The Nationals have a 4.71 team ERA and 1.38 WHIP, with opponents batting .254 and reaching base at a .332 rate. Their staff averages 3.6 walks allowed per game. Those figures describe a season-long challenge in preventing baserunners, although they cannot identify which relievers will be available for this game.

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Kent is listed at 1-4 with a 6.40 ERA and 27 strikeouts. Across seven starts and 32⅓ innings, he has allowed 34 hits, 23 earned runs and 23 walks, with a 1.76 WHIP. The walks are an obvious concern: he has nearly as many walks as strikeouts. His two home runs allowed offer a more favorable part of the profile, but avoiding homers has not translated into a low ERA.

His last five starts carry a 5.47 ERA. On September 15 against Philadelphia, Kent allowed three earned runs over five innings, with four hits, three walks and four strikeouts. His September 9 appearance at San Diego was shorter and more damaging: eight hits and five earned runs in three innings, with one walk and two strikeouts.

Washington is 2-5 in Kent’s starts, and he has not previously faced Detroit. There is no verified Washington offensive split against right-handed pitching to establish how its hitters compare with Anderson. That leaves command as the central issue in Kent’s outlook, without enough offensive detail to judge whether the Nationals can compensate for another difficult start.

Detroit Tigers outlook

Detroit’s pitching advantage extends beyond its probable starter. The Tigers have a 3.65 team ERA and 1.22 WHIP, while opponents have hit .232 with a .305 on-base percentage. Their staff allows 1.0 home runs and 3.1 walks per game, compared with Washington’s 1.3 and 3.6. That is a broader foundation for favoring Detroit’s run prevention than Anderson’s recent results alone.

Anderson is listed at 5-6 with a 3.62 ERA. Over 102 innings, he has allowed 89 hits, 41 earned runs and 14 home runs. His 109 strikeouts against 42 walks and 1.28 WHIP compare favorably with Kent’s numbers, and his workload provides a larger season sample.

Anderson’s last five starts have produced a 2.45 ERA and an average of five innings. At Toronto on September 15, he delivered five scoreless innings, allowing two hits and three walks while striking out four. Against Minnesota on September 8, he allowed three earned runs in five and one-third innings. His September 2 start against Minnesota brought one earned run over five and two-thirds innings, with four hits, two walks and five strikeouts.

There are limits to that case. Detroit is 4-6 in Anderson’s starts, and he has not previously faced Washington. Eduardo Valencia supplied a recent offensive bright spot, going 3-for-4 in Sunday’s 8-1 loss to the White Sox and batting .406 across nine September games. That small sample cannot establish the lineup’s overall strength. Without a verified Detroit offensive split against left-handers, Kent’s struggles alone do not support projecting a large Tigers run total.

Key matchup factors

The injury lists complicate any assessment of the supporting personnel. Detroit lists Kyle Finnegan on the 15-day injured list with left-groin inflammation, Kerry Carpenter on the 10-day list with a heel injury, Matt Vierling on the 60-day list with a left adductor strain and Jack Flaherty on the 15-day list with right-flexor inflammation.

Washington lists Orlando Ribalta on the 15-day injured list with right forearm inflammation, Matt Waldron on the 60-day list with chest inflammation and Connelly Early on the 60-day list with left-elbow inflammation. These absences do not establish the workload or readiness of the pitchers who remain available.

Confirmed batting orders, recent bullpen usage and a verified weather forecast are unavailable. That prevents a firm assessment of late-inning support or scoring conditions. The listed odds also provide no basis for claims about line movement or betting sentiment. Favorite status describes the price; it does not independently demonstrate value.

Prediction

Pass. Detroit has the stronger pitching case, with Anderson’s season performance and recent starts supported by better team run-prevention figures. The strongest argument against passing is straightforward: those advantages span more than one outing and give the Tigers a credible foundation for winning.

The unresolved issue is whether that advantage is large enough for Detroit moneyline -145. Neither the offensive matchup nor the available relief is clear enough to answer confidently. Washington moneyline +131 offers a larger return, but the information does not establish a compensating Nationals advantage. Their underdog status alone is not a reason to back them.

The same restraint applies to Detroit -1.5 (+135), Washington +1.5 (-163), over 8 (-120) and under 8 (+100). Choosing among those wagers requires a firmer view of scoring and the likely margin than is available. No winner or score is projected. The pitching preference remains Detroit, but it does not become a betting recommendation at the supplied prices.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass

Sources

  • MLB.comBaseball Probable Pitchers
  • CoversWashington vs Detroit Matchups, Results & Stats
  • SportsLineWashington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers Odds, Betting Lines, Expert Picks, Game Projections, DFS Projections and Player Prop Projections
#WashingtonNationals#DetroitTigers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Nationals vs Tigers game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Nationals vs Tigers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Washington Nationals+138 → +131Moved
  • Moneyline · Detroit Tigers-164 → -145Moved
  • Spread · Washington Nationals+1.5 (-165) → +1.5 (-160)Moved
  • Spread · Detroit Tigers-1.5 (+135) → -1.5 (+140)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-105) → 8 (-120)Moved
  • Total · Under8.5 (-115) → 8 (+100)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Washington Nationals
64-73 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Detroit Tigers
63-71 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-3-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-09-22T04:08:14.832Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The injury lists complicate any assessment of the supporting personnel. Detroit lists Kyle Finnegan on the 15-day injured list with left-groin inflammation, Kerry Carpenter on the 10-day list with a heel injury, Matt Vierling on the 60-day list with a left adductor strain and Jack Flaherty on the 15-day list with right-flexor inflammation.

Washington lists Orlando Ribalta on the 15-day injured list with right forearm inflammation, Matt Waldron on the 60-day list with chest inflammation and Connelly Early on the 60-day list with left-elbow inflammation. These absences do not establish the workload or readiness of the pitchers who remain available.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2026-09-21Washington Nationals 2 · Detroit Tigers 9
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Washington Nationals defeated Detroit Tigers 3-1

Washington Nationals defeated Detroit Tigers 3-1 on September 22, 2026, a 2-run decision in the series. Washington Nationals' strongest period was the 7th inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Washington Nationals +1.5 (-160) spread, Washington Nationals covered, while the 4 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 8.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable
  • SpreadPassPass
  • TotalPassPass

Tipster picks

  • MiamimikeMoneyline · Detroit Tigers -164Loss
  • PurplebloodTotal · Under 8.5 (-105)Win
  • PurplebloodMoneyline · Detroit Tigers -164Loss
  • TphamMoneyline · Detroit Tigers -164Loss
  • MrpinkMoneyline · Detroit Tigers -164Loss
  • JaredkuntzMoneyline · Washington Nationals +138Win
  • Drew_WestcottMoneyline · Washington Nationals -164Win
  • JwMoneyline · Detroit Tigers -164Loss
  • JamescashiolaMoneyline · Washington Nationals -164Win
  • Kentc_Moneyline · Detroit Tigers -164Loss
  • FlyigglesflyMoneyline · Washington Nationals +138Win
  • UncledavidMoneyline · Washington Nationals +138Win
  • MtgoldsteinTotal · Over 8.5 (-105)Loss
  • ThehitmanTotal · Under 8.5 (-115)Win
  • JackCohen
Moneyline · Washington Nationals +138
Win
  • JtphamMoneyline · Detroit Tigers -164Loss
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Detroit Tigers -164Loss
  • EljefeMoneyline · Washington Nationals +138Win
  • Josh720Moneyline · Detroit Tigers -164Loss
  • RoycejacobsMoneyline · Washington Nationals +138Win
  • MoneymouthMoneyline · Washington Nationals +138Win
  • BadmanMoneyline · Detroit Tigers -164Loss
  • BadmanTotal · Over 8.5 (-105)Loss
  • Steve512Total · Under 8.5 (-122)Win
  • Sarah_MillerMoneyline · Washington Nationals +136Win
  • 1489684734Moneyline · Detroit Tigers -152Loss