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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays
Tue 6:50 PM ET
Boston Red Sox logo
Boston
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N. Pivetta RHP
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Tampa Bay Rays logo
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S. Baz RHP
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Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: September 17, 2024 at 6:50 PM ET

Venue: Tropicana Field — St. Petersburg, Florida

Article updated Sep 16, 10:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Boston Red Sox, currently third in the AL East with a 87-75 record, will face off against the struggling Tampa Bay Rays, who are fourth in the division with a 73-77

Game outlook

The Boston Red Sox, currently third in the AL East with a 87-75 record, will face off against the struggling Tampa Bay Rays, who are fourth in the division with a 73-77 record. Righty Nick Pivetta will be starting for the Red Sox, coming off a solid performance against the Orioles. Meanwhile, young right-hander Shane Baz will take the mound for the Rays after a recent no-decision against the Phillies. Pivetta has an ERA of 4.31, while Baz boasts a 3.28 ERA. The current betting line favors Boston, opening at -110 and currently sitting at Boston -127.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Red Sox -127 | Rays +115

Spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+135) | Rays +1.5 (-154)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Boston will win straight-up is 56%.

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox have been performing well offensively, tied for fourth in the sport with a .751 team OPS and ranking eighth with 186 total home runs. Center fielder Jarren Duran has been a standout player with impressive stats. Pitcher Nick Pivetta has also been a strong contributor, excelling in various pitching metrics and utilizing a five-pitch arsenal effectively. Despite ranking 24th in power rankings, the team has a strong offense averaging 4.76 runs per game but is ranked lower in defense, allowing 4.73 runs per game. Overall, the Red Sox have a record of 87-75 this season.

MLB · Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

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Tampa Bay Rays Analysis

The Tampa Bay Rays have struggled at the plate this season, ranking 27th in baseball with a .672 team OPS and averaging 3.8 runs per game. Despite their offensive struggles, the team has been aggressive on the bases, ranking fourth in the sport with 172 steals. First baseman Yandy Diaz has been a bright spot, posting a .757 OPS with 14 home runs and 65 RBI. Pitcher Shane Baz has been struggling, ranking poorly in several key metrics according to Baseball Savant. His changeup has been his most effective pitch, with hitters batting .105 against it. Baz will be making his first start against the Boston Red Sox, making for an interesting matchup. The Rays currently have a power ranking of 19 and a record of 98-64. They have had success against the Red Sox in their last three matchups.

Pitching Matchup Favors Red Sox in Series Opener Against Rays

Both pitchers, Nick Pivetta and Shane Baz, have each made two starts in September. Pivetta boasts a 0-0 record with a 1.50 ERA and a .205 batting average against in 12.0 innings pitched. In contrast, Baz holds a 0-1 record with a 2.38 ERA and a 0.79 WHIP over 11.1 innings during this time period. Since the All-Star break, these teams have shown stark differences in offensive performance. The Red Sox rank fifth in the majors with a .761 team OPS and score an average of 4.87 runs per game, whereas the Rays rank 28th with a .654 team OPS and average only 3.59 runs per game. In summary, based on these statistics, it is recommended to place your bet on the Boston Red Sox to emerge victorious in the opening game of this series.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#BostonRedSox#TampaBayRays

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Red Sox vs Rays archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Red Sox vs Rays matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Boston Red Sox-110 → -130Moved
  • Moneyline · Tampa Bay Rays+100 → +114Moved
  • Spread · Boston Red Sox-1.5 (+158) → -1.5 (+132)Moved
  • Spread · Tampa Bay Rays+1.5 (-192) → +1.5 (-152)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Boston Red Sox
87-75 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 2-7-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Tampa Bay Rays
98-64 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-09-17T02:35:22.932Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Tampa Bay Rays defeated Boston Red Sox 8-3

Tampa Bay Rays defeated Boston Red Sox 8-3 on September 17, 2024, a 5-run decision in the series. Tampa Bay Rays' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 4-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+132) spread, Tampa Bay Rays covered, while the 11 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JtgarciaTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • MikeVargasTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Boston Red Sox -110Loss