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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians
Tue 6:40 PM ET
Minnesota Twins logo
Minnesota
Twins4
Z. Matthews RHP
versus
Cleveland Guardians logo
Cleveland
Guardians1
G. Williams RHP
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Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: September 17, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: Progressive Field — Cleveland, Ohio

Article updated Sep 16, 10:20 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Cleveland Guardians will face off against the Minnesota Twins in a pivotal AL Central battle on Tuesday at Progressive Field. The Guardians currently lead the division

Game outlook

The Cleveland Guardians will face off against the Minnesota Twins in a pivotal AL Central battle on Tuesday at Progressive Field. The Guardians currently lead the division but are being closely pursued by the Royals. With the Yankees just one game ahead in the race for the best record in the AL, Cleveland will look to secure a win against the Twins. Meanwhile, Minnesota is fighting to hold onto the final wild card spot, with the Tigers and Mariners not far behind. This series is crucial for both teams as they vie for postseason contention. Zebby Matthews will start for the Twins, while Gavin Williams will take the mound for the Guardians. Cleveland is favored in the matchup with a -135 money line, and the total runs is set at 8.5. The betting line has not moved since opening at -118.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Twins +108 | Guardians -118

Spread: Twins 0 (-14) | Guardians 0 (-14)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Cleveland will win straight-up is 54%.

Minnesota Twins

The Minnesota Twins recently defeated the Cincinnati Reds with a score of 9-2, supported by standout performances from Carlos Santana and Brooks Lee. Although starting pitcher David Festa had a mediocre outing, the bullpen held it down to secure the win. The team made a minor trade before the deadline, acquiring Trevor Richards from the Blue Jays. Key players like Carlos Correa, Ryan Jeffers, and Willi Castro are leading in various statistical categories, while pitchers like Pablo Lopez and Joe Ryan have been performing well. Rookie Zebby Matthews faces a tough challenge in an upcoming game against the Guardians, as he looks to improve on his recent performances. Overall, the Twins have a power ranking of 26 and are 78-70 this season, with a strong offense but middling defense.

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MLB · Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians

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Cleveland Guardians Analysis

In their latest game, the Cleveland Guardians shut out the Tampa Bay Rays, winning 2-0. Brayan Rocchio drove in the lone RBI, Jose Ramirez and Angel Martinez each had two hits, and Ben Lively pitched five strong innings with no runs allowed. The Guardians made some trades in July but didn't make many moves at the deadline. Steven Kwan leads in batting average, while Ramirez leads in homers and RBIs. Ramirez also leads in stolen bases. On the pitching side, Lively leads in wins and quality starts, and Tanner Bibee leads in strikeouts and innings pitched. Gavin Williams needs to improve his performance to help the team's record. The Guardians have a power ranking of 16, are 14th in offense and 4th in defense, and have an overall record of 85-77. Minnesota recently won 2 out of 3 matchups against Cleveland.

Guardians have the edge over struggling Twins with bullpen strength and recent success

Due to Matthews' inconsistent recent performances, it may be more beneficial to place trust in Williams, who has shown more reliable quality starts. Taking into account the Cleveland Guardians' current success against the Minnesota Twins, winning eight of their last ten games and holding a 5-2 record in their last seven matchups, the Guardians appear to have a slight advantage. On the other hand, the Twins have struggled with a 3-6 record in their last nine games and have been unprofitable to bet on both in recent weeks and throughout the season. Additionally, Cleveland holds a significant advantage in bullpen strength, ranking among the top in the MLB while Minnesota sits in the middle of the pack. If the game remains close into the later innings, it is likely the Guardians will capitalize on their bullpen strength and secure a victory.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MinnesotaTwins#ClevelandGuardians

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Twins vs Guardians archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Twins vs Guardians matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Minnesota Twins+108 → +121Moved
  • Moneyline · Cleveland Guardians-118 → -135Moved
  • Spread · Minnesota Twins0 (-14) → +1.5 (-175)Moved
  • Spread · Cleveland Guardians0 (-14) → -1.5 (+154)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Minnesota Twins
77-85 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 5-3-2 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cleveland Guardians
85-77 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 1-7-2 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-09-17T02:20:54.440Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-09-16Minnesota Twins 3 · Cleveland Guardians 4
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Minnesota Twins defeated Cleveland Guardians 4-1

Minnesota Twins defeated Cleveland Guardians 4-1 on September 17, 2024, a 3-run decision in the series. Minnesota Twins' strongest period was the 8th inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Minnesota Twins +1.5 (-175) spread, Minnesota Twins covered, while the 5 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 8.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MackintoshMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians -118Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians -125Loss
  • Steve512Moneyline · Minnesota Twins +112Win
  • JohnmiznerTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • MickeytMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians -125Loss
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Cleveland Guardians -125Loss
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians -122Loss