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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres
Mon 9:40 PM ET
Houston Astros logo
Houston
Astros1
S. Arrighetti RHP
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San Diego Padres logo
San Diego
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Y. Darvish RHP
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Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: September 16, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET

Venue: Petco Park — San Diego, California

Article updated Sep 15, 10:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Houston Astros are currently leading the AL West with a record of 81-68 as they prepare to face the San Diego Padres. Rookie right-hander Spencer Arrighetti will be

Game outlook

The Houston Astros are currently leading the AL West with a record of 81-68 as they prepare to face the San Diego Padres. Rookie right-hander Spencer Arrighetti will be starting for the Astros, coming off a recent no-decision against the Oakland Athletics. The Padres, who are in second place in the NL West with an 91-71 record, will have veteran righty Yu Darvish on the mound. Darvish is coming off a victory over the Seattle Mariners in his last outing. The betting favorite for this game is San Diego, opening at -137 and currently sitting at -115.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Astros +104 | Padres -115

Spread: Astros +1.5 (-200) | Padres -1.5 (+170)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego will win straight-up is 53%.

Houston Astros

The Houston Astros have been performing exceptionally well offensively, ranking eighth in the league with a .741 team OPS and 11th with 176 total home runs. Designated hitter Yordan Alvarez has been a standout player with a .961 OPS, 34 home runs, 84 RBI, 83 runs scored, and six steals. On the pitching side, Spencer Arrighetti has struggled this season, ranking poorly in various metrics. He will be making his first start against the Padres. The team is currently dealing with several injuries, with multiple pitchers out due to various ailments. Despite this, Houston is ranked 12th in offense, fifth in defense, and has a season record of 81-81, ranking 10th in power rankings.

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MLB · Houston Astros at San Diego Padres

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San Diego Padres Analysis

The San Diego Padres have been performing strongly in hitting, ranking seventh in Major League Baseball with a .744 team OPS and averaging 4.77 runs per game. However, they need to improve their walk drawing as they are tied for 22nd place in total walks. Left fielder Jurickson Profar has been a standout player with a .837 OPS, 22 homers, 82 RBI, 85 runs scored, and nine stolen bases. On the pitching side, Yu Darvish has been struggling this season based on his metrics, but his sweeper pitch has been effective against hitters. There are some key injuries on the Padres' side, with several players listed as out. Overall, the Padres have a power ranking of 12 and have shown strength in both offense and defense, with a record of 91-71. They will face the Houston Astros in their next matchup, who have recently gone 1-2 against the Padres.

Yu Darvish set to face Houston Astros in 16th career start against team

Yu Darvish has a long history of facing the Houston team, with this upcoming game marking his 16th start against them. Throughout his career, Darvish has accumulated a 5-5 record, maintaining a 3.64 ERA and an impressive total of 123 strikeouts in 94.0 innings against this opponent. Analyzing the offensive capabilities of both teams, it is evident that there is a significant contrast in their performance based on their home/road splits. While Houston ranks 11th in MLB with a .720 OPS and scores an average of 4.41 runs per game on the road, San Diego stands at 11th place with a .734 OPS and averages 4.44 runs per game at Petco Park this season. Considering these factors, it is recommended to support the San Diego Padres in securing a home victory to kick off the series.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#HoustonAstros#SanDiegoPadres

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Astros vs Padres archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Astros vs Padres matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Houston Astros+125 → +104Moved
  • Moneyline · San Diego Padres-137 → -115Moved
  • Spread · Houston Astros+1.5 (-171) → +1.5 (-195)Moved
  • Spread · San Diego Padres-1.5 (+151) → -1.5 (+170)Moved
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Houston Astros
81-81 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Diego Padres
91-71 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-09-16T02:35:31.569Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Houston Astros have been performing exceptionally well offensively, ranking eighth in the league with a .741 team OPS and 11th with 176 total home runs. Designated hitter Yordan Alvarez has been a standout player with a .961 OPS, 34 home runs, 84 RBI, 83 runs scored, and six steals. On the pitching side, Spencer Arrighetti has struggled this season, ranking poorly in various metrics. He will be making his first start against the Padres. The team is currently dealing with several injuries, with multiple pitchers out due to various ailments. Despite this, Houston is ranked 12th in offense, fifth in defense, and has a season record of 81-81, ranking 10th in power rankings.

The San Diego Padres have been performing strongly in hitting, ranking seventh in Major League Baseball with a .744 team OPS and averaging 4.77 runs per game. However, they need to improve their walk drawing as they are tied for 22nd place in total walks. Left fielder Jurickson Profar has been a standout player with a .837 OPS, 22 homers, 82 RBI, 85 runs scored, and nine stolen bases. On the pitching side, Yu Darvish has been struggling this season based on his metrics, but his sweeper pitch has been effective against hitters. There are some key injuries on the Padres' side, with several players listed as out. Overall, the Padres have a power ranking of 12 and have shown strength in both offense and defense, with a record of 91-71. They will face the Houston Astros in their next matchup, who have recently gone 1-2 against the Padres.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

San Diego Padres defeated Houston Astros 3-1

San Diego Padres defeated Houston Astros 3-1 on September 16, 2024, a 2-run decision in the series. San Diego Padres' strongest period was the 1st inning, when it outscored its opponent 1-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Houston Astros +1.5 (-195) spread, San Diego Padres covered, while the 4 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DtownsendTotal · Over 8 (-110)Loss
  • Novacek84Moneyline · San Diego Padres -137Win
  • JwMoneyline · Houston Astros +125Loss
  • JohnnywalkerMoneyline · San Diego Padres -137Win
  • JohnmiznerMoneyline · San Diego Padres +125Win
  • FlyigglesflyTotal · Over 8 (-110)Loss
  • JoeyBergMoneyline · Houston Astros +125Loss
  • Hustle$Moneyline · Houston Astros +125Loss
  • JtgarciaTotal · Under 8 (-110)Win
  • JtgarciaMoneyline · Houston Astros +121Loss
  • MickeytMoneyline · San Diego Padres -133Win
  • KryptonTotal · Under 8 (-110)Win
  • KryptonMoneyline · San Diego Padres -115Win
  • BrycetTotal · Under 8 (-110)Win
  • JohnTharpRunline · Houston Astros +1.5 (-200)Loss