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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays
Fri 7:07 PM ET
Boston Red Sox logo
Boston
Red Sox0
B. Bello RHP
versus
Toronto Blue Jays logo
Toronto
Blue Jays3
J. Berrios RHP
Final
Team123456789T
Boston Red Sox0000000000
Toronto Blue Jays00300000—

Red Sox and Blue Jays Neck-and-Neck in Final Weeks of Season as Pitching Duel Looms

Game time: September 15, 2023 at 7:07 PM ET

Venue: Rogers Centre — Toronto, Ontario

Article updated Sep 14, 6:15 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Red Sox are in last place in the AL East, but have managed an above .500 record (73-72) so far this season. The Blue Jays, however, have lost ground in the Wild Card

Game outlook

The Red Sox are in last place in the AL East, but have managed an above .500 record (73-72) so far this season. The Blue Jays, however, have lost ground in the Wild Card race, falling to 80-66 and out of the top-two positions following a 5-game slide. Both teams are struggling to close out the season and the game likely to be defined by the pitching match-up of Bello & Berrios, both of whom have allowed 9 runs in their previous series of starts.

Game Info

When: Friday, 9/15/2023 @ 7:07pm EST

Where: Rogers Centre Stadium Red Sox vs Blue Jays Betting Odds Moneyline: Red Sox +115 | Blue Jays -125

Spread: Red Sox +1.5 (-192) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+160)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Toronto will win straight-up is 56%.

Boston Red Sox

• Boston Red Sox poised outside of wildcard position • Brayon Bello has had a rough season, allowing 61 runs in 142 innings, • Expected Opponent Slugging Percentage of .411, Hard-Hit Rate of 43.7%, and Expected ERA of 4.14 • Triston Casas slashing .265/.366/.494 with 24 home runs and 209 total bases • Adam Duvall slashing .256/.317/.549 with 19 home runs and 152 total bases • Rafael Devers slashing .271/.344/.507 with 30 home runs and 267 total bases • Justin Turner and Masataka Yoshida combine for 38 home runs and 462 total bases • Power Ranking of 22, 8th in offense, 22nd in defense, and 73-72 record this season

3
MLB · Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

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21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

- The Blue Jays are having a great season and are hoping a recent skid doesn't derail their chances of making the postseason - Jose Berrios is expected to be the starter for the next game however he has had a difficult season so far, allowing 74 runs in 171 innings pitched - Opposing batters are making contact and powering the ball easily giving Berrios an expected opponent Batting Average of .260 and an expected opponent Slugging Percentage of .438 - The team is also facing struggles with their lineup, scoring an average of 4.57 runs per game but have only scored seven runs in their last four games - Toronto's power ranking is 11; they are #15 for offense, #3 on defense and have an overall record of 80-66 - The Boston Red Sox have a 3-0 record in their last three matchups against the Blue Jays

Blue Jays Expected to Take Control of Game at Home, Favored Money Line Picks

The Blue Jays have recently experienced difficulties, but look to take control of the game at home from the beginning. With reliable performances from Bo Bichette, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the other members of the lineup, the Blue Jays should easily score. Jose Berrios is expected to pitch effectively for multiple innings, allowing the bullpen to take over with a lead. The Blue Jays' home field advantage should lead to a victory, making them favored money line picks.

Written by Jtpham Published on 09/14/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: I apply several statistical and situational models to find the best probable winners with the highest percentage odds of winning and that offers the best chance of making a profit.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#BostonRedSox#TorontoBlueJays

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Red Sox vs Blue Jays archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Red Sox vs Blue Jays matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Boston Red Sox+115 → +128Moved
  • Moneyline · Toronto Blue Jays-125 → -145Moved
  • Spread · Boston Red Sox+1.5 (-192) → +1.5 (-160)Moved
  • Spread · Toronto Blue Jays-1.5 (+160) → -1.5 (+138)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Boston Red Sox
74-69 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Toronto Blue Jays
75-63-1 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 6-3-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-14T22:15:56.299Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Toronto Blue Jays defeated Boston Red Sox 3-0

Toronto Blue Jays defeated Boston Red Sox 3-0 on September 15, 2023, a 3-run decision in the series. Toronto Blue Jays' strongest period was the 3rd inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-160) spread, Toronto Blue Jays covered, while the 3 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • 1735203231Total · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • Fisher49Total · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnnywalkerMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -125Win
  • BjenkinsTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • BjenkinsMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -125Win
  • StevedMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -125Win
  • IrishblueMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +115Loss
  • Sammy52Moneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -131Win
  • DtownsendMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +115Loss
  • PurplebloodMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +115Loss
  • ThetotalerMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -131Win
  • StevehMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays +115Win
  • Roderick806Moneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -131Win
  • Hustle$Moneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -131Win
  • Altuve27Total · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • Tbone91Moneyline · Boston Red Sox +115Loss
  • PeytoncTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • RainmanMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +115
Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +128Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +128Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -140Win