New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Game outlook

The New York Mets, currently second in the NL East with an 74-88 record, will face off against the top-ranked Philadelphia Phillies with an 88-74 record. Luis Severino will start on the mound for the Mets, coming off a strong performance in his last game. Kolby Allard will pitch for the Phillies after a recent win. The Phillies are the slight betting favorite in this matchup.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets -101 | Phillies -113

Spread: Mets -1.5 (+158) | Phillies +1.5 (-178)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 50%.

New York Mets

The New York Mets have been excelling on offense this season, ranking 10th in the majors with a .734 team OPS and 7th in total home runs with 184. Shortstop Francisco Lindor has been particularly impressive with a .832 OPS, 31 homers, 85 RBIs, 102 runs scored, and 27 steals. However, pitcher Luis Severino has been struggling, ranking low in several key metrics. The team is currently ranked 9th overall in power rankings, 9th in offense, 16th in defense, and has a record of 81-66. Several key players are currently out due to various injuries.

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies have been performing exceptionally well offensively this season, tied for fourth in baseball with a .754 team OPS and averaging 4.89 runs per game. They have shown strength in base stealing, ranking sixth with 132 stolen bases. Bryce Harper has been a standout player with impressive stats. On the pitching side, Kolby Allard's performance has been less than ideal with various metrics reflecting this. The team is facing some injuries, with players like Schwarber, Realmuto, Sosa, Bohm, and others dealing with various health issues. Despite this, the Phillies have a strong power ranking of 8 and rank 5th in offense. In their last three matchups, the Phillies have had the upper hand against the New York team.