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  3. Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sun 7:00 PM ET
Atlanta Braves logo
Atlanta
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Philadelphia Phillies

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: September 1, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Article updated Sep 1, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Atlanta Braves are currently in third place in the NL Wild Card race, but are six games back of the first-place Phillies in the NL East. They are coming off a series

Game outlook

The Atlanta Braves are currently in third place in the NL Wild Card race, but are six games back of the first-place Phillies in the NL East. They are coming off a series where they lost two out of three games after winning three in a row. The Phillies, on the other hand, have won two out of three games in their series and are tied for the second-most wins in the Majors. In the upcoming series finale, Spencer Schwellenbach will be the starting pitcher for the Braves, while Aaron Nola will start for the Phillies. Philadelphia is the betting favorite with the current line at Philadelphia -132.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Braves +119 | Phillies -132

Spread: Braves +1.5 (-178) | Phillies -1.5 (+156)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 57%.

Atlanta Braves

In Game 3 of the series, the Braves were shut out by the Phillies, losing 3-0 despite six hits and leaving six men on base. Atlanta ranks second in the Majors in team ERA and 17th in runs scored. Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson are key players, with Ozuna ranking third in baseball in RBI and Olson second on the club in HR and RBI. Spencer Schwellenbach will start the big finale, with a record of 5-6 and a 3.72 ERA. Atlanta has a power ranking of 9 and ranks 16th in offense and second in defense, with an average of 4.35 points scored and 3.87 points allowed per game. The Braves are currently 74-62 this season.

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MLB · Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies

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Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies have maintained first place in the NL East since May 3, showcasing strong performances both offensively and defensively. Trea Turner and Edmundo Sosa contributed to a recent 3-0 win over the Braves, with Alec Brohm leading the team in RBI despite missing the last two games due to a hand injury. Bryce Harper has struggled to produce RBI in the last five games, while Aaron Nola has been a standout pitcher in recent outings. The Phillies have a strong road record of 46-25 and currently hold a power ranking of 5, with impressive rankings of #8 for offense and #5 for defense in the league. Despite a recent 2-1 series loss to Atlanta, the Phillies maintain an overall record of 80-56.

Atlanta Braves Expected to Secure Series Split Against Philadelphia Phillies Despite Injuries and Strong Pitching

The Atlanta Braves have emerged victorious in seven out of 12 games against the Philadelphia Phillies thus far this season, despite dropping two out of the three games in the current series. The Braves' roster has faced numerous challenges due to injuries, most notably the loss of reigning MVP Ronald Acuna Jr. Both starting pitchers for Game 4 have recently delivered strong performances without allowing any runs. Atlanta's bullpen has outperformed Philadelphia's throughout the season, which will be a significant factor in determining the outcome of this game. While both starters are expected to perform well, the Braves are predicted to secure a win by delivering timely hits late in the game, resulting in a series split. Betting on the Braves with a +120 line is recommended.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#AtlantaBraves#PhiladelphiaPhillies

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Braves vs Phillies archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Braves vs Phillies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Atlanta Braves+120 → +112Moved
  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies-142 → -126Moved
  • Spread · Atlanta Braves+1.5 (-175) → +1.5 (-183)Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies-1.5 (+150) → -1.5 (+163)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Atlanta Braves
94-68 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Philadelphia Phillies
88-74 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-09-01T10:35:16.906Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Philadelphia Phillies have maintained first place in the NL East since May 3, showcasing strong performances both offensively and defensively. Trea Turner and Edmundo Sosa contributed to a recent 3-0 win over the Braves, with Alec Brohm leading the team in RBI despite missing the last two games due to a hand injury. Bryce Harper has struggled to produce RBI in the last five games, while Aaron Nola has been a standout pitcher in recent outings. The Phillies have a strong road record of 46-25 and currently hold a power ranking of 5, with impressive rankings of #8 for offense and #5 for defense in the league. Despite a recent 2-1 series loss to Atlanta, the Phillies maintain an overall record of 80-56.

The Atlanta Braves have emerged victorious in seven out of 12 games against the Philadelphia Phillies thus far this season, despite dropping two out of the three games in the current series. The Braves' roster has faced numerous challenges due to injuries, most notably the loss of reigning MVP Ronald Acuna Jr. Both starting pitchers for Game 4 have recently delivered strong performances without allowing any runs. Atlanta's bullpen has outperformed Philadelphia's throughout the season, which will be a significant factor in determining the outcome of this game. While both starters are expected to perform well, the Braves are predicted to secure a win by delivering timely hits late in the game, resulting in a series split. Betting on the Braves with a +120 line is recommended.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-08-31Atlanta Braves 0 · Philadelphia Phillies 3
  • 2024-08-30Atlanta Braves 7 · Philadelphia Phillies 2
  • 2024-08-29Atlanta Braves 4 · Philadelphia Phillies 5
  • 2024-08-22Philadelphia Phillies 2 · Atlanta Braves 3
  • 2024-08-21Philadelphia Phillies 3 · Atlanta Braves 2
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Atlanta Braves 3-2

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Atlanta Braves 3-2 on September 1, 2024, a 1-run decision in the series. Philadelphia Phillies' strongest period was the 6th inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-183) spread, Atlanta Braves covered, while the 5 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 8.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Lockpicker69Moneyline · Atlanta Braves +122Loss
  • DawhizTotal · Over 8 (-110)Loss
  • MauriceJonesMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +122Loss
  • AliencreationMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -139Win
  • Altuve27Total · Over 8 (-110)Loss
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -136Win
  • JtgarciaMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +118Loss