Cincinnati Reds vs
Miami MarlinsPredictions & Preview

Reds Favored to Win Final Showdown Against Marlins with Hunter Greene on the Mound

The Reds and Marlins will face off in their final showdown of the season on Thursday night. With Cincinnati's Hunter Greene (8-4, 2.83 ERA) on the mound against Miami's Kyle Tyler (0-2, 5.27 ERA), the Reds are favored to win with a opening line of -195. The game is set to begin at 6:10 EST at loanDepot Park.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Reds -170 | Marlins +153
• Spread: Reds -1.5 (-109) | Marlins +1.5 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Cincinnati will win straight-up is 63%.

Cincinnati vs Miami Stats

Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds have been performing well offensively, scoring a total of 115 runs in their last 22 games, which is the third most in the National League. Shortstop Elly De La Cruz has been a standout player, hitting two home runs and two doubles in a recent game, and stealing his MLB-best 58th base. The Reds' pitching staff has been average, with a team ERA of 3.88, but individual pitchers like Greene have been excelling with a 2.83 ERA. Despite some injuries and absences, the team has a power ranking of 11 and currently ranks 14th in offense and 8th in defense in the league, with a record of 55-59 for the season.

Miami Marlins Analysis

The Miami Marlins have been struggling in recent games, losing in two-game chunks three times in their last nine games. The offense has been struggling since the trade deadline, with six games of scoring three runs or less in the nine-game stretch. In a recent win, outfielder Derek Hill drove in both runs in just his second game with the team. Shortstop Xavier Edwards has been performing well, hitting safely in nine straight games and reaching base safely in 23 straight prior to Wednesday. The pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA, ranking 11th in the National League. The starting pitching has been struggling, with a 5.25 ERA, second worst in the NL. Tyler will be making his seventh start for the Marlins, coming off a rough outing last Saturday. The relievers have been performing better, with a 4.57 ERA and key contributions from LHP Andrew Nardi. RHP Sixto Sanchez continues to work towards a return from right shoulder inflammation. The Marlins have a power ranking of 18 and are ranked 29th for offense and 28th for defense, with an overall record of 43-72. In their last three matchups, Cincinnati went 1-2 against Miami.

Cincinnati Reds Primed for Victory Against Struggling Miami Marlins

The Cincinnati Reds have been dominant in the season series against the Miami Marlins, winning four out of the first five meetings with an average margin of victory of five runs per game. Miami is currently undergoing a period of transition after making significant changes to their roster at the trade deadline. The team has only won two out of their last six games and is in need of stronger offensive performances beyond Edwards. Facing the Reds' top pitcher, Greene, who is in excellent form with a recent impressive 11-strikeout outing and a consistent streak of quality starts, will be a tough challenge for Miami. Greene has excelled on the road this season, boasting a record of 4-1 with a 1.94 ERA in 10 road starts. Given these factors, it appears that the Reds have a clear advantage in this matchup, making them a favorable pick with the run line.

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