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MLB PicksMon 7:10 PM ET
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D. Smyly LHP
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Mets11
K. Senga RHP
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Chicago0010100002
New York Mets30200231—11
MLB · Chicago at New York Mets

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Chicago vs New York Mets Predictions August 7, 2023: D. Smyly vs K. Senga

Game time: August 7, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET

Venue: Citi Field — Queens, New York

Article updated Aug 6, 6:20 PM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Chicago Cubs and New York Mets will face off at Citi Field tonight at 7:10PM EST, with Drew Smyly (ERA: ) starting for the Cubs and Kodai Senga (ERA: 3.25) for the Mets.

Game outlook

The Chicago Cubs and New York Mets will face off at Citi Field tonight at 7:10PM EST, with Drew Smyly (ERA: ) starting for the Cubs and Kodai Senga (ERA: 3.25) for the Mets. The Mets are the betting favorite opening at -132 and the line hasn't moved.

Game Info

When: Monday, 8/7/2023 @ 7:10pm EST

Where: Citi Field Stadium Cubs vs Mets Betting Odds Moneyline: Cubs +121 | Mets -132

Spread: Cubs +1.5 (-175) | Mets -1.5 (+155)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 57%.

Chicago Cubs

Chicago is in contention for the NL Central crown, just 2.0 games behind a Wild Card spot. Their pitching staff is above-average with Justin Steele ranked 5th in the MLB in terms of ERA. Drew Smyly is expected to be the starter for the Cubs and has a record of 8-7 this season with a 4.71 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, and a 104/37 K/BB ratio in 20 starts and 22 total appearances. Opposing batters are hitting .261 against him. Chicago's offense has been great, ranking top 10 in the league in terms of runs, hits, RBIs, walks, and stolen bases. They are also above average in batting average, OBP, SLG, and OPS. This solid all-around play has given them a Power Ranking of 2 and has them at 57-54 this season.

New York Mets Analysis

The New York Mets have been struggling this season, currently fourth in the NL East and having been major sellers at the trade deadline. Their offensive output is middle of the pack , with Pete Alonso leading the team in home runs and ranking top five in home runs in the MLB. Kodai Senga is projected to take the mound for the Mets, having a record of 74-88 with a 3.25 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and a 136/55 K/BB ratio in 20 starts this season. Opposing batters are hitting .214 against Senga. , However, the Mets’ pitching staff has been their biggest letdown , bottom 10 or bottom half of the league in ERA, runs allowed, home runs allowed, walks allowed, strikeouts, WHIP, and batting average against. Their overall power ranking is 18, and their record against Chicago in their last 3 matches is 1-2.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Kodai Senga Brings High Hopes to Mets in Their Upcoming Game Despite Lackluster Pitching Staff

Kodai Senga is expected to take the mound for the Mets in their next game. In his last start, Senga pitched 5.2 innings, allowing 11 hits, two walks, three earned runs, and striking out six batters, resulting in a loss against the Kansas City Royals. This season, the hurler has been impressive, boasting a 7-6 record with a 3.25 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and a 136/55 K/BB ratio in 20 starts. Opposing batters are also hitting .214 against Senga. With Pete Alonso leading the team in homers and ranking in the league&#x2019;s top five, the Mets may still have hope in the offensive department. Unfortunately, their pitching staff has been woeful. They rank among the bottom 10 teams in ERA, runs allowed, home runs allowed, walks allowed, strikeouts, WHIP, and batting average against.

My Prediction: Cubs +1.5 (-175) to cover

Written by Bjenkins Published on 08/06/2023 Category: MLB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Chicago vs Mets archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Chicago+121 → +100Moved
  • Moneyline · New York Mets-132 → -113Moved
  • Spread · Chicago+1.5 (-175) → +1.5 (-193)Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets-1.5 (+155) → -1.5 (+165)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 9 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 9 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Chicago
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-08-06T22:20:43.565Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

New York Mets defeated Chicago 11-2

New York Mets defeated Chicago 11-2 on August 7, 2023, a 9-run decision in the series. New York Mets' strongest period was the 1st inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Chicago +1.5 (-193) spread, New York Mets covered, while the 13 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 9.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DpxsportsMoneyline · New York Mets +121Win
  • DtownsendTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Chicago +121Loss
  • JtmcentireTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnmiznerMoneyline · Chicago +121Loss
  • DawhizMoneyline · Chicago +121Loss
  • IroncladlocksMoneyline · New York Mets +121Win
  • VegaspatMoneyline · New York Mets -132Win
  • HopkinspicksMoneyline · New York Mets -132Win
  • JohnnywalkerMoneyline · New York Mets -132Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • GeorgewMoneyline · New York Mets -111Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Chicago +100Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Chicago +100Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Chicago +102Loss
Amp2224
Runline · Chicago +1.5 (-196)
Loss