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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox
Wed 4:10 PM ET
Houston Astros logo
Houston
Astros7
F. Valdez LHP
versus
Boston Red Sox logo
Boston
Red Sox4
K. Crawford RHP
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Boston Red Sox0000040004

Head-to-Head: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox in Hotly Contested AL Showdown

Game time: August 30, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET

Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts

Article updated Aug 29, 6:17 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Houston Astros (75-58) and the Boston Red Sox (69-63) are both having great seasons in the American League. The Astros have solidified their standing in the American

Game outlook

The Houston Astros (75-58) and the Boston Red Sox (69-63) are both having great seasons in the American League. The Astros have solidified their standing in the American League West Division, with a 25-17 record since the All-Star break, while the Red Sox are only a few games back of a wild card spot. For their final game of the series, the Astros have Framber Valdez (ERA: 3.4) as their starting pitcher, who follows up a seven-scoreless inning outing. Meanwhile, the Red Sox will counter with Kutter Crawford (ERA: 3.65) who has allowed only three runs in his last two starts. Houston is the betting favorite opening at -131 and the line remains unchanged.

Game Info

When: Wednesday, 8/30/2023 @ 4:10pm EST

Where: Fenway Park Stadium Astros vs Red Sox Betting Odds Moneyline: Astros -131 | Red Sox +121

Spread: Astros -1.5 (+110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-130)

Total: Over/Under 10 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Houston will win straight-up is 57%.

Houston Astros

The Houston Astros have had an impressive season and are looking for a third division title in a row. Although Framber Valdez has had a difficult year with 67 runs allowed in 161.2 innings pitched and a .248 opponent Batting Average, .403 Slugging Percentage, and 4.19 ERA, it has not stopped the lineup from performing. Yordan Alvarez is slashing .288/.394/.560 and has 22 home runs and 173 total bases. Jose Altuve is also having a great season with a .322 batting percentage, 10 home runs and 128 total bases. Kyle Tucker, Alex Bregman and Chas McCormick have added 40 home runs and 260 total bases to an lineup that averages 5.04 runs a game. With a power ranking of 5, Houston is ranked 7th in offense, 12th in defense and have a 76-56 record.

MLB · Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox

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Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are having a great season as they fight for a wild card spot in the final weeks. Starting game will be Kutter Crawford, who has allowed 42 runs in 101 innings pitched, while striking out 101. His stats show an impressive .212 expected opponent Battting Average, 6.1 Walk Rate, and 3.43 expected ERA, making it hard for opponents to create runs. The lineup has excelled this year, with Adam Duvall slashing .272/.335/.582, Justin Turner .290/.361/.495, Rafael Devers .269/.345/.512 along with Triston Casas and Alex Verdugo adding 33 home runs and 386 total bases. The Red Sox are #6 for offense, #19 for defense, 69-63 overall and 2-1 in the last 3 matchups against the Astros.

Red Sox Provide Great Return Rate as Home Underdogs in Upcoming Astros Matchup

The American League matchup between the Astros and Red Sox will be a highly anticipated game. With the Astros seeking the final win, and the Red Sox striving to take control at home, this should be a highly competitive game. The Red Sox offense, averaging 4.99 runs per game, sports strong hitters such as Adam Duvall and Justin Turner. Meanwhile, Kutter Crawford will be key in limiting the Astros, pitching multiple essential innings before the bullpen closes the game. Despite the odds, the Red Sox should be the favored team, providing a great return rate as home Underdogs. Thus, betting on the Red Sox money line may be a wise decision.

My Prediction: Astros (-131) to win

Written by Jtpham Published on 08/29/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: I apply several statistical and situational models to find the best probable winners with the highest percentage odds of winning and that offers the best chance of making a profit.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#HoustonAstros#BostonRedSox

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Astros vs Red Sox archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Astros vs Red Sox matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Houston Astros-131 → -130Moved
  • Moneyline · Boston Red Sox+121 → +119Moved
  • Spread · Houston Astros-1.5 (+110) → -1.5 (+118)Moved
  • Spread · Boston Red Sox+1.5 (-130) → +1.5 (-140)Moved
  • Total · Over10 (-110) → 10 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under10 (-110) → 10 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Houston Astros
76-56 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Boston Red Sox
69-61 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 9-1-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-08-29T22:17:04.082Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-08-29Houston Astros 6 · Boston Red Sox 2
  • 2023-08-28Houston Astros 13 · Boston Red Sox 5
  • 2023-08-24Boston Red Sox 17 · Houston Astros 1
  • 2023-08-23Boston Red Sox 7 · Houston Astros 5
  • 2023-08-22Boston Red Sox 3 · Houston Astros 7
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Houston Astros defeated Boston Red Sox 7-4

Houston Astros defeated Boston Red Sox 7-4 on August 30, 2023, a 3-run decision in the series. Houston Astros' strongest period was the 2nd inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Houston Astros -1.5 (+118) spread, Houston Astros covered, while the 11 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 10.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JtphamMoneyline · Houston Astros -131Win
  • BrycetTotal · Over 10 (-110)Win
  • PurplebloodTotal · Over 10 (-110)Win
  • DrfeelgoodTotal · Under 10 (-110)Loss
  • BadmanMoneyline · Houston Astros -137Win
  • DemarcusBryantMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +116Loss
  • 1707662905Moneyline · Boston Red Sox +116Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Houston Astros -137Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 10 (-110)Loss
  • JtmcentireTotal · Over 10 (-110)Win
  • RainmanMoneyline · Houston Astros -137Win
  • DawhizMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +120Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +123Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Houston Astros -135Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 10 (-110)Win
  • KT24Runline · Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-130)Loss
KT24
Moneyline · Boston Red Sox +123
Loss
  • CovergirlMoneyline · Houston Astros +125Win
  • Altuve27Moneyline · Houston Astros -136Win