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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins
Tue 6:40 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Tampa Bay
Rays11
A. Civale RHP · 6–3, 2.59 ERA
versus
Miami Marlins logo
Miami
Marlins2
S. Alcantara RHP · 6–11, 4.21 ERA
Final
Team123456789T
Tampa Bay Rays01000340311
Miami Marlins101000

Citrus Series Heats Up As Buccaneers Take On Marlins Tuesday Night

Game time: August 29, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: loanDepot park — Miami, Florida

Article updated Aug 28, 6:15 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The game is scheduled for Tuesday at 6.40 p.m. ET at loanDepot Park and total runs are set at 7.5. The Tampa Bay Rays and Miami Marlins are set to face off in the Citrus

Game outlook

The game is scheduled for Tuesday at 6.40 p.m. ET at loanDepot Park and total runs are set at 7.5. The Tampa Bay Rays and Miami Marlins are set to face off in the Citrus Series on Tuesday at loanDepot Park with first pitch scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The Rays will start right-hander Aaron Civale (6-3, 2.59 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 97.1 IP) and the Marlins will start righty Sandy Alcantara (6-11, 4.16 ERA, 1.19 WHIP). Miami is the -120 moneyline favorite and the game total is set at 7.5 runs.

Game Info

When: Tuesday, 8/29/2023 @ 6:40pm EST

Where: loanDepot park Stadium Rays vs Marlins Betting Odds Moneyline: Rays -103 | Marlins -107

Spread: Rays +1.5 (-207) | Marlins -1.5 (+178)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Miami will win straight-up is 52%.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Tampa Bay Rays have been consistent this year, with an 80-52 record and staying close to division leader Baltimore after their impressive 8-2 streak in their last 10 games. Their Offense is rated 4th in the MLB, averaging 5.33 runs and .260 batting average with a .778 OPS and 191 home runs. Defensively, they rank 2nd with a 3.87 ERA and 1.19 WHIP with 43 quality starts. Their power ranking is 6. In the upcoming Citrus Series, the starting pitcher will be Civale who has not had an outing with more than 4 runs given up in the year and has held the last 10 opponents he's faced to three or fewer runs. Tampa Bay has 8-2 record in last 10 games and has a 80-52 record Ranks 4th in offense with an average of 5.33 runs and .260 batting average with a .778 OPS and 191 home runs. 2nd in defense with a 3.87 ERA and 1.19 WHIP with 43 quality starts. Power ranking is 6 Civale is expected to start in the Citrus Series; has held last 10 opponents to 3 or fewer runs. Giving our guys more motivation is... a choice. pic.twitter.com/CxV5XtCcBd

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MLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins

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Miami Marlins Analysis

Tuesday's game will feature Sandy Alcantara, with a 2-2 record and 2.90 ERA, against Tampa Bay. The Miami Marlins recently dropped two of three to the Washington Nationals and are now three games out of the NL Wild Card spot. With the final month of the season approaching, they will look to gain momentum against their in-state rival Tampa Bay Rays. The Marlins have a power ranking of 22 and are: #26 for offense , scoring an average of 4.03 runs per game and having a .714 OPS with 126 homers and 66 stolen bases #15 for defense posting a 4.17 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and 43 quality starts The Rays have gone 1-2 in their last 3 matchups against Miami and Tuesday's game will feature Sandy Alcantara, who is 2-2 with a 2.90 ERA, against the Tampa Bay Rays. Miami runs on Soler Power. (☀️: @ADT ) pic.twitter.com/Dk3T6kDhvW

Rays Have the Edge as Alcantara and Civale Match Up

In his last ten outings, Alcantara has allowed seven or more baserunners in seven outings, with 15 home runs. Meanwhile, Civale has been a consistent pitcher since joining the Rays, fanning 20 batters and only allowing two walks over his last 34.1 innings, with nine strikeouts in his last start against the Rockies. The Marlins have only scored 15 total runs in their last eight games, with a .311 OBP in night games and a .309 OBP against right-handed pitchers. The Rays have the impressive statistics in terms of OBP and long-balls, and given the nearly even odds, a wager of four units on the Rays is a reasonable suggestion.

My Prediction: Rays +1.5 (-207) to cover

Written by Mtgoldstein Published on 08/28/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: Retired sports writer with the Houston Chronicle, now have turned my passion into sports betting and handicapping NBA, NFL, and most major sports. Join me this season for insider picks you can't get anywhere else.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#TampaBayRays#MiamiMarlins

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Rays vs Marlins archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Rays vs Marlins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Tampa Bay Rays-103 → +108Moved
  • Moneyline · Miami Marlins-107 → -120Moved
  • Spread · Tampa Bay Rays+1.5 (-207) → +1.5 (-190)Moved
  • Spread · Miami Marlins-1.5 (+178) → -1.5 (+165)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Tampa Bay Rays
79-52-1 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Miami Marlins
65-64 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-08-28T22:15:47.997Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-07-26Miami Marlins 7 · Tampa Bay Rays 1
  • 2023-07-25Miami Marlins 1 · Tampa Bay Rays 4
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Tampa Bay Rays defeated Miami Marlins 11-2

Tampa Bay Rays defeated Miami Marlins 11-2 on August 29, 2023, a 9-run decision in the series. Tampa Bay Rays' strongest period was the 7th inning, when it outscored its opponent 4-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (-190) spread, Tampa Bay Rays covered, while the 13 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DpxsportsMoneyline · Miami Marlins -107Loss
  • DtownsendTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • Fisher49Moneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -107Win
  • MoneymouthMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -103Win
  • 1118240754Moneyline · Miami Marlins -107Loss
  • Roderick806Moneyline · Miami Marlins -107Loss
  • 1707662905Moneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -103Win
  • VfernandezMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -102Win
  • PeytoncMoneyline · Miami Marlins -115Loss
  • DemarcusBryantTotal · Under 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • GustavosintoMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -102Win
  • JoeyBergMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -102Win
  • Hustle$Moneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -102Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -102Win
  • Lockpicker69Total · Under 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • CorMoneyline · Miami Marlins -118Loss
  • FreePickCapperMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays +105Win
  • FreePickCapper
Runline · Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (-199)
Win
  • KT24Moneyline · Tampa Bay Rays +105Win
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays +105Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays +104Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays +104Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win