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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. New York Mets vs San Diego Padres
Thu 9:40 PM ET
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets8
L. Severino RHP
versus
San Diego Padres logo
San Diego
Padres3
D. Cease RHP
Final
Team123456789T
New York Mets1002000058
San Diego Padres000010002

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: August 22, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET

Venue: Petco Park — San Diego, California

Article updated Aug 22, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Two National League wild-card contenders, the New York Mets and the San Diego Padres, will face off in a crucial series this weekend. The Mets, with a record of 74-88, will

Game outlook

Two National League wild-card contenders, the New York Mets and the San Diego Padres, will face off in a crucial series this weekend. The Mets, with a record of 74-88, will send Luis Severino to the mound to square off against the Padres' Dylan Cease, who boasts an impressive 3.46 ERA. The first game of the series is set to begin at 9:40 ET at Petco Park in San Diego, CA. The Padres are the favorites, with the current betting line at -150 in their favor. This matchup promises to be a thrilling showdown between two talented teams vying for a spot in the playoffs.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets +136 | Padres -150

Spread: Mets +1.5 (-160) | Padres -1.5 (+140)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego will win straight-up is 60%.

New York Mets

The New York Mets have surged in the second half of the season, putting them in playoff contention and just 2.0 games behind Atlanta's final wild card spot. Following a successful midweek series against the Orioles, where they won two out of three games, the Mets are now priced at +380 to make the postseason. Standout performances from players like Jesse Winker and Edwin Diaz have contributed to their recent success. Heading into Thursday's game, pitcher Luis Severino is coming off a dominant shutout performance in his last start. With an offense ranked 10th in the league and a defense ranked 21st, the Mets hold a 66-61 record this season and are poised to make a push for the playoffs.

3
MLB · New York Mets at San Diego Padres

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San Diego Padres Analysis

The San Diego Padres have been on a hot streak in the second half of the season, winning 22 of their last 28 games. They have climbed to the top wild card spot with a 3.0-game cushion over Atlanta, but are still trailing the first-place Dodgers by 3.5 games in the division. Despite a recent loss to the Twins where pitcher Matt Waldron struggled, the Padres have had strong offensive performances from players like Donovan Solano and Jackson Merrill. Dylan Cease will be starting their next game, with impressive stats for the season including a 12-9 record and 3.46 ERA. The Padres currently have a power ranking of 3 and are ranked 9th for offense, scoring an average of 4.78 runs per game. In their recent matchups, New York went 0-3 against San Diego.

Mets Look to Capitalize on Pitching Matchup in Crucial Series Against Padres

The upcoming four-game series holds significant importance as it pertains to playoff implications. Considering the pitching matchup, there is an opportunity to consider the Mets as underdogs with favorable odds. While the Padres have been discussed for their recent success, a significant defeat on Wednesday has brought their recent record to a modest 3-3 in the last six games. Dylan Cease, their starting pitcher, has shown consistency but has demonstrated vulnerability in his previous two starts. New York has historically performed well against Cease, maintaining a respectable .259/.355/.519 batting average. Anticipating a low-scoring game, the Mets are well-positioned to exploit offensive opportunities and potentially secure a victory.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewYorkMets#SanDiegoPadres

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mets vs Padres archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mets vs Padres matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New York Mets+130 → +139Moved
  • Moneyline · San Diego Padres-148 → -156Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets+1.5 (-175) → +1.5 (-156)Moved
  • Spread · San Diego Padres-1.5 (+150) → -1.5 (+136)Moved
  • Total · Over7 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under7 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Diego Padres
91-71 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-08-22T10:35:16.560Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

New York Mets defeated San Diego Padres 8-3

New York Mets defeated San Diego Padres 8-3 on August 22, 2024, a 5-run decision in the series. New York Mets' strongest period was the 9th inning, when it outscored its opponent 5-2. Against SportsJaw's recorded New York Mets +1.5 (-156) spread, New York Mets covered, while the 11 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CovergirlTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • StevehMoneyline · New York Mets +132Win
  • Mr_BiggsMoneyline · San Diego Padres -151Loss
  • KryptonMoneyline · San Diego Padres -151Loss