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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
Sun 12:05 PM ET
Miami Marlins logo
Miami
Marlins3
V. Bellozo RHP · 2–1, 2.45 ERA
versus
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets2
P. Blackburn RHP · 5–3, 4.19 ERA
Final
Team123456789T
Miami Marlins0010001103
New York Mets000011

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: August 18, 2024 at 12:05 PM ET

Venue: Citi Field — Queens, New York

Article updated Aug 17, 10:21 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets will conclude their three-game series at Citi Field on Sunday afternoon. Valente Bellozo will pitch for the Marlins, while Paul Blackburn

Game outlook

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets will conclude their three-game series at Citi Field on Sunday afternoon. Valente Bellozo will pitch for the Marlins, while Paul Blackburn will be on the mound for the Mets. The game is set to start at 12:05 PM ET, with New York opening as the home favorite with a -185 betting odds. Bellozo has an ERA of 2.28, while Blackburn has an ERA of 4.43. No movement has been seen in the betting line so far.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Marlins +169 | Mets -185

Spread: Marlins +1.5 (-125) | Mets -1.5 (+106)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 65%.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins have decided to start Valente Bellozo, a right-hander, in the upcoming game. Bellozo has been performing well, winning back-to-back starts and delivering 12.2 scoreless innings. Despite not having overpowering stuff, he has shown an ability to limit hard contact early in his MLB career. According to yahoo.com, Bellozo induced just six whiffs on 45 swings and allowed six hard-hit baseballs in his recent game against the Phillies but still kept them off the scoreboard. He has only allowed two earned runs in his last three starts against strong lineups. The 24-year-old pitcher has a 2.28 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over 27 big-league frames. The Marlins, currently ranked 29th in offense and 28th in defense, are struggling this season with a 45-77 record and are buried in last place in the National League East.

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MLB · Miami Marlins at New York Mets

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New York Mets Analysis

Paul Blackburn will be making his thirteenth appearance of the season in the upcoming finale of a three-game series. Despite a recent loss, he has shown potential with two quality starts since joining the Mets. Blackburn will have the opportunity to bounce back in his next start against the Marlins, who are struggling this season. The Mets, currently ranked 17th in power rankings, hope to make up ground in the National League East. The upcoming game presents an opportunity for Blackburn to prove his abilities on the mound.

Paul Blackburn looks to bounce back against Marlins in final game of series

Paul Blackburn will be taking the mound on Sunday afternoon in the final game of the three-game series. Despite two strong starts since joining the Mets from Oakland, Blackburn struggled against his former team, especially giving up a pivotal three-run homer in the third inning. One key to his success against the Marlins will be containing in-form player Jake Burger. The Marlins have the second-lowest OPS in the league, providing an opportunity for Blackburn to bounce back. Miami has struggled against the Mets recently, only winning three out of their last nine matchups. With the Marlins in a rebuilding phase and the Mets in contention for a playoff spot, a victory for New York by two runs is predicted.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MiamiMarlins#NewYorkMets

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Marlins vs Mets archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Marlins vs Mets matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Miami Marlins+169 → +167Moved
  • Moneyline · New York Mets-185 → -188Moved
  • Spread · Miami Marlins+1.5 (-125) → +1.5 (-126)Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets-1.5 (+106) → -1.5 (+106)Unchanged
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Miami Marlins
80-82 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 7-2-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-08-18T02:21:00.218Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-08-17Miami Marlins 0 · New York Mets 4
  • 2024-08-16Miami Marlins 3 · New York Mets 7
  • 2024-07-22New York Mets 6 · Miami Marlins 4
  • 2024-07-21New York Mets 2 · Miami Marlins 4
  • 2024-07-20New York Mets 1 · Miami Marlins 0
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Miami Marlins defeated New York Mets 3-2

Miami Marlins defeated New York Mets 3-2 on August 18, 2024, a 1-run decision in the series. Miami Marlins' strongest period was the 3rd inning, when it outscored its opponent 1-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Miami Marlins +1.5 (-126) spread, Miami Marlins covered, while the 5 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • OddssharkTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • DrfeelgoodMoneyline · Miami Marlins +169Win
  • TgodfreyMoneyline · New York Mets -185Loss
  • 1707662905Moneyline · New York Mets -185Loss
  • Altuve27Moneyline · Miami Marlins -185Win
  • Altuve27Total · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • RcMoneyline · Miami Marlins +169Win
  • BadmanMoneyline · Miami Marlins +168Win
  • CoversMoneyline · New York Mets -189Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Win