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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
Sat 4:10 PM ET
Miami Marlins logo
Miami
Marlins0
M. Meyer RHP
versus
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets4
L. Severino RHP
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New York Mets11110000—4

New York Mets to Face Miami Marlins in NL East Showdown at Citi Field: Mets Favored, but Marlins Show Signs of Improvement

Game time: August 17, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET

Venue: Citi Field — Queens, New York

Article updated Aug 16, 10:22 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The New York Mets will face off against the Miami Marlins in an NL East showdown at Citi Field on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. EST. The Marlins currently sit at the bottom of the

Game outlook

The New York Mets will face off against the Miami Marlins in an NL East showdown at Citi Field on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. EST. The Marlins currently sit at the bottom of the division with a 45-77 record, but have shown some signs of improvement by winning four of their last ten games. On the other hand, the Mets hold the third spot in the division with a 62-59 record and are only two games out of a playoff spot. The Mets are heavily favored with a -182 money line, with the total set at 8.5 runs. Max Meyer will start on the mound for the Marlins, while Luis Severino will take the hill for the Mets. As of now, the Mets remain the betting favorite with -177 odds.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Marlins +162 | Mets -177

Spread: Marlins -1.5 (-128) | Mets -1.5 (+116)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 64%.

Miami Marlins

In their latest outing, the Miami Marlins fell to the Phillies by a score of 9-5. Jonah Bride led the offense with a homer and four RBI, while Jesus Sanchez added one RBI. Despite four players having multiple hits, the Marlins could not overcome the Phillies. Pitcher Edward Cabrera struggled, giving up six runs in only four innings pitched. Miami's playoff hopes are distant, leading to a series of trades in July to rebuild their farm system. Several key players were sent away, leaving Jake Burger as a standout on offense and Ryan Weathers leading the pitching staff. Max Meyer will be starting in hopes of solidifying a spot in the rotation for the future. With a power ranking of 19, the Marlins are struggling offensively, defensively, and have a record of 45-77 this season.

MLB · Miami Marlins at New York Mets

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New York Mets Analysis

The New York Mets recently fell to the Oakland Athletics in a close game, with Mark Vientos standing out with two homers and three RBI. Despite some struggles in the trade market during the month of July, the team remains focused on potentially securing a playoff spot. Key players like Starling Marte, J.D. Martinez, and Mark Vientos are leading the team in offensive statistics, while Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are making significant contributions as well. On the pitching side, David Peterson, Luis Severino, and Sean Manaea have been notable performers. Luis Severino will be taking the mound in the upcoming games in hopes of helping the Mets secure a spot in the playoffs. The Mets currently have a power ranking of 17 and a 62-59 overall record. Despite a recent series loss to Miami, the team's offense is ranked #9 in the league, scoring an average of 4.78 runs per game.

Miami Marlins present value bet opportunity against New York Mets with -188 money line uncertainty

The New York Mets currently have a -182 money line, which may not be appealing due to the limited potential profit. Additionally, there is uncertainty surrounding the Mets' ability to win by more than one run if they do secure a victory. In contrast, the Miami Marlins present a value bet opportunity considering their recent performance in series games, including splitting the last two games with the Phillies. With Severino's recent struggles and the Mets potentially dropping games to Oakland and Miami, the Marlins offer a promising chance for an upset. In the past ten games, betting on the Marlins has proven to be more profitable compared to the Mets, who have resulted in a loss of three units. Despite both teams having a 4-6 record in their last ten games, favoring the Marlins for a potential upset could be a sensible choice for interested bettors.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MiamiMarlins#NewYorkMets

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Marlins vs Mets archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Marlins vs Mets matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Miami Marlins+162 → +166Moved
  • Moneyline · New York Mets-177 → -182Moved
  • Spread · Miami Marlins-1.5 (-128) → +1.5 (-130)Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets-1.5 (+116) → -1.5 (+110)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Miami Marlins
45-77 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 8-1-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New York Mets
62-59 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-08-17T02:22:22.873Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-08-16Miami Marlins 3 · New York Mets 7
  • 2024-07-22New York Mets 6 · Miami Marlins 4
  • 2024-07-21New York Mets 2 · Miami Marlins 4
  • 2024-07-20New York Mets 1 · Miami Marlins 0
  • 2024-07-19New York Mets 4 · Miami Marlins 6
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New York Mets defeated Miami Marlins 4-0

New York Mets defeated Miami Marlins 4-0 on August 17, 2024, a 4-run decision in the series. New York Mets' strongest period was the 1st inning, when it outscored its opponent 1-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Miami Marlins +1.5 (-130) spread, New York Mets covered, while the 4 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • OddssharkTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • MaddogMoneyline · Miami Marlins +162Loss
  • Novacek84Moneyline · Miami Marlins +162Loss
  • JaredkuntzMoneyline · New York Mets -177Win
  • Mickey619Total · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • MikeVargasMoneyline · Miami Marlins +162Loss
  • GeorgewTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • Teddy718Moneyline · New York Mets -177Win
  • MookiebetsTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • IrishblueMoneyline · New York Mets -177Win
  • Altuve27Moneyline · New York Mets -177Win
  • HopkinspicksMoneyline · Miami Marlins +164Loss
  • HitmanhartMoneyline · Miami Marlins +164Loss
  • DengWinsTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • DengWinsMoneyline · Miami Marlins +164Loss
  • JohnnywalkerMoneyline · New York Mets -184Win
  • Lockpicker69Total · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • ThehitmanMoneyline · Miami Marlins +164Loss
  • MikehuffTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • BluedevilMoneyline · New York Mets -184Win
  • CoversMoneyline · New York Mets -184Win
  • Philly267Moneyline · Miami Marlins +164Loss
  • Tbone91Total · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • JeffjacksonMoneyline · Miami Marlins +164Loss
  • FlyigglesflyTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • GustavosintoMoneyline · New York Mets -183Win
  • EmcTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · New York Mets -184Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · New York Mets -184Win