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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres
Wed 9:40 PM ET
Arizona Diamondbacks logo
Arizona
Diamondbacks8
B. Pfaadt RHP
versus
San Diego Padres logo
San Diego
Padres2
D. Cease RHP
Final
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Arizona Diamondbacks0011400118
San Diego Padres0000101

San Diego Padres Favored Against Arizona Diamondbacks in NL West Showdown at Petco Park

Game time: July 9, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Venue: Petco Park — San Diego, California

Article updated Jul 9, 7:47 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On July 9th, the Arizona Diamondbacks will face off against the San Diego Padres in a NL West showdown at Petco Park in San Diego, CA. The Diamondbacks won the first game of

Game outlook

On July 9th, the Arizona Diamondbacks will face off against the San Diego Padres in a NL West showdown at Petco Park in San Diego, CA. The Diamondbacks won the first game of the series, and previous matchups have shown Arizona performing well against San Diego. The Padres are currently favored to win, with Brandon Pfaadt and Dylan Cease as the starting pitchers. The game is set to start at 9:40 PM ET, with a total of 7.5 runs expected. Stay tuned for more updates and predictions on this exciting matchup.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Diamondbacks +130 | Padres -145

Spread: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-170) | Padres -1.5 (+148)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego will win straight-up is 59%.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been struggling recently, losing eight of their last 12 games and going winless in three straight series. They are currently 4.5 games behind the bottom wild card spot in the National League. The team's offense has been hitting .229/.300/.416 with 15 doubles, three triples, and 20 home runs in the last couple of weeks. The bullpen has posted a 4.17 ERA in 45.1 innings during that span. Brandon Pfaadt will be starting on Wednesday night with a record of 8-6 and a 5.42 ERA in 2025. The Diamondbacks are ranked 4 in offense, #27 in defense, and have a season record of 45-47, placing them at number 12 in the power rankings.

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San Diego Padres Analysis

The San Diego Padres have had mixed results in their recent series, winning one out of three. They are currently 4-6 in their last 10 games and are one game behind the final wild-card spot in the National League. The team's hitting has been lackluster in the last two weeks, with a .225 average and limited extra-base hits. However, the bullpen has performed well with a 2.79 ERA. Dylan Cease will be starting on Wednesday night with a record of 3-8 this season. He has had success against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the past. The Padres have a power ranking of 21 and are ranked #23 for offense and #9 for defense, with a 48-42 overall record. Arizona recently went 1-2 in their last three matchups against San Diego.

Struggles for Pfaadt and Cease Could Pose Challenges for Starting Duo

Recently, both Brandon Pfaadt and Dylan Cease have encountered challenges in their performance. Pfaadt has yielded a total of 11 runs (10 earned) on 17 hits and four walks in the last three starts encompassing 16 innings. Similarly, Cease has conceded 15 runs (14 earned) on 24 hits and seven walks in his last four starts covering 21.2 innings. Consequently, it may be difficult to have confidence in the capabilities of this starting duo. While Cease has shown some success against the Diamondbacks, the Padres, who have a strong track record against Pfaadt, appear to be the favorable choice. Moreover, the Padres' bullpen has the potential to have a significant impact on the outcome of the game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#ArizonaDiamondbacks#SanDiegoPadres

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Diamondbacks vs Padres archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Diamondbacks vs Padres matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks+120 → +140Moved
  • Moneyline · San Diego Padres-135 → -160Moved
  • Spread · Arizona Diamondbacks+1.5 (-184) → +1.5 (-163)Moved
  • Spread · San Diego Padres-1.5 (+152) → -1.5 (+140)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Arizona Diamondbacks
45-47 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Diego Padres
49-42 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-07-09T23:47:13.053Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-07-08Arizona Diamondbacks 0 · San Diego Padres 1
  • 2025-07-07Arizona Diamondbacks 6 · San Diego Padres 3
  • 2025-06-15San Diego Padres 8 · Arizona Diamondbacks 2
  • 2025-06-14San Diego Padres 7 · Arizona Diamondbacks 8
  • 2025-06-13San Diego Padres 1 · Arizona Diamondbacks 5
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Arizona Diamondbacks defeated San Diego Padres 8-2

Arizona Diamondbacks defeated San Diego Padres 8-2 on July 9, 2025, a 6-run decision in the series. Arizona Diamondbacks' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 4-1. Against SportsJaw's recorded Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-163) spread, Arizona Diamondbacks covered, while the 10 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • HitmanhartMoneyline · San Diego Padres -135Loss
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks +120Win
  • SimonsaysMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks +120Win
  • sportsdocMoneyline · San Diego Padres -139Loss
  • JtmcentireMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks +120Win
  • JtmcentireTotal · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • Steve512Total · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • HopkinspicksMoneyline · San Diego Padres -140Loss
  • DerekFisherMoneyline · San Diego Padres -140Loss
  • JohnnywalkerMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks +120Win
  • MoneymouthMoneyline · San Diego Padres -140Loss
  • BtMoneyline · San Diego Padres -140Loss
  • MaddogTotal · Under 8 (-110)Loss
  • JohnmiznerMoneyline · San Diego Padres -140Loss
  • MookiebetsTotal · Under 8 (-110)Loss
  • DoclocksMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks +124
Win
  • EXCELent Sports PicksTotal · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • BOOTYTotal · Under 8 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks +127Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks +127Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • Randy54Total · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • Barry713Moneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks +129Win
  • RainmanMoneyline · San Diego Padres -142Loss
  • BadmanTotal · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • BadmanMoneyline · San Diego Padres -142Loss