MLB Matchups
Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

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CIN
PHI
Open
Side
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+122)
-1.5
Moneyline
+149
-168
-176
Total
O 8.5
U 8.5
8.5

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Cincinnati Reds vs
Philadelphia PhilliesPredictions & Preview

Philadelphia Phillies Favored to Defeat Cincinnati Reds in Second Game of Series at Citizens Bank Park

The Cincinnati Reds will be facing the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in the second game of their three-game series. The Reds will be looking to avoid their third consecutive road series loss as they take on the Phillies, who have a record of 51-36. Nick Lodolo with a 5-5 record and a 3.52 ERA will be starting for the Reds, while Ranger Suarez with a 7-2 record and a 2.00 ERA will be starting for the Phillies. Cincinnati and Philadelphia have split their last 10 meetings. Philadelphia is the betting favorite with the current line at Philadelphia -169. Stay tuned to find out which team comes out on top in this Reds vs. Phillies matchup. (Please note that this preview was written before Friday's game was played.)

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Reds +150 | Phillies -169
  • Spread: Reds +1.5 (-140) | Phillies -1.5 (+120)
  • Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 63%.

Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Stats

Reds vs Phillies prediction infographic
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Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds ended their two-game losing streak with a victory over the Red Sox in the final game of their series. Currently fourth in the NL Central standings, the Reds are 2.5 games out of third place and will look to gain ground with a win on Saturday. They average 4.64 runs per game, ranking ninth in the league, with a .247 batting average and .319 on-base percentage, both at 15th in the league. TJ Friedl leads the team with a .281 batting average, while Elly De La Cruz leads in home runs and RBI. Defensively, the Reds are giving up 4.24 runs per game, ranking 16th in the league, with opponents batting .235 against them, ranked seventh. In their last game, Lodolo gave up one run in 5.1 innings, helping secure a 3-2 win over San Diego. The Reds have a power ranking of 21, ranking ninth in offense, 17th in defense, and hold a season record of 45-42.

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies have bounced back from a series loss to Houston with series wins over Atlanta and San Diego. They are currently leading the NL East standings by 1.5 games ahead of the Mets and will look to increase their division lead with a win on Saturday.

Philadelphia has a strong offense, averaging 4.59 runs per game which ranks 11th in the league. Their .256 batting average is sixth in the league, with a .330 on-base percentage ranking fourth, and a .404 slugging percentage ranking 18th. Trea Turner leads the team with a .297 batting average, while Kyle Schwarber leads with 26 home runs and 58 RBI.

Defensively, the Phillies are giving up 3.99 runs per game which also ranks 11th in the league. Opponents have a .245 batting average against them, ranking 17th, with a 3.71 ERA ranking ninth and a 1.26 WHIP ranking 15th.

In their last matchup, Suarez led the Phillies to a 2-1 win over Atlanta by giving up four hits and one run in seven innings. Suarez has a 2-0 record with a 2.17 ERA in 10 games against Cincinnati. Overall, the Philadelphia Phillies have a power ranking of 1 and a record of 51-36. Cincinnati went 1-2 in their last three matchups against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Phillies Poised for Victory Against Struggling Cincinnati Reds

The Philadelphia Phillies have been on a hot streak, winning eight of their last 10 home games, while the Cincinnati Reds have struggled, losing four of their last six road games. Philadelphia holds the advantage in this matchup due to their success batting against left-handed pitchers, particularly against Lodolo who has had difficulties on the road, allowing seven runs in his last three away games. Furthermore, Cincinnati's bullpen has also faced challenges on the road, which will make it tough for them to contain the Phillies' offense.

On the other hand, Cincinnati's offensive performance may suffer as they have had difficulty facing left-handed pitchers, and Suarez has been exceptionally strong on the mound, only giving up three runs in his last four starts. Given his impressive record, he is likely to limit Cincinnati's scoring opportunities. Considering these factors, it is advisable to bet on the Philadelphia Phillies to win.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]

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