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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Fri 6:40 PM ET
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets2
L. Severino RHP
versus
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Pittsburgh
Pirates14
P. Skenes RHP
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New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: July 5, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: PNC Park — Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Article updated Jul 4, 10:20 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The New York Mets will be facing off against the Pittsburgh Pirates in a three-game series starting on Friday night. The Mets, currently 3rd in the NL East with a record of

Game outlook

The New York Mets will be facing off against the Pittsburgh Pirates in a three-game series starting on Friday night. The Mets, currently 3rd in the NL East with a record of 74-88, will have RHP Luis Severino (6-2, 3.42 ERA) as their starting pitcher. The Pirates, also 3rd in their division with a record of 82-80, will counter with RHP Paul Skenes (4-0, 2.06 ERA). The game will take place at PNC Park with the first pitch scheduled for 6:40 EST. The early betting odds favor Pittsburgh at -121.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets +111 | Pirates -121

Spread: Mets +1.5 (-205) | Pirates -1.5 (+175)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Pittsburgh will win straight-up is 55%.

New York Mets

The New York Mets have been performing well recently, earning at least a split in their four-game series with the Nationals and winning 6 out of their 8 games leading up to Thursday. Their offense has been strong, ranking sixth overall in runs per game with 4.93 and their batters have a slash line of .249/.321/.419. Brandon Nimmo has been a standout player, leading the team in RBIs and runs scored. On the pitching side, the Mets have a team ERA of 4.17, with the starting staff having a 4.38 ERA and the bullpen recording 20 saves. Severino has been performing well, with a 2-0 record in June and an impressive lifetime record against the Pirates. Overall, the Mets are ranked 6th in offense, 25th in defense, and have a record of 74-88 this season.

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MLB · New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates

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Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis

The Pittsburgh Pirates recently claimed a win over the Cardinals in extra innings, continuing their 4-3 record in their last seven games. The team's offense has scored an average of 4.02 runs per game, ranking 23rd overall. Pirates batters have hit .228/.296/.360 with 209 extra-base hits and 46 stolen bases. Rowdy Tellez stood out in the recent win with a 3-for-4 performance, hitting his fifth home run of the season. The pitching staff has a 3.98 team ERA over 85 games, ranking seventh in the National League. Skenes has been a standout performer in the rotation, with a strong showing in June. Overall, the Pirates have a power ranking of 27 and are currently 41-45, with a #23 ranking for offense and #19 ranking for defense. The New York team has recently struggled against Pittsburgh, going 0-3 in their last three matchups.

New York Mets Primed for Victory Against Pittsburgh Pirates in Pitching Duel

The New York Mets demonstrated their superiority over the Pittsburgh Pirates in a three-game series at home in mid-April, securing victories in each game by a margin of at least two runs. It is worth noting that the Mets did not have to contend with the talented young pitcher, Skenes, during that series. The upcoming matchup between these two teams promises to be an interesting one, with a particular focus on the pitching duel between Severino and Skenes. Severino's performance in the previous encounter with the Pirates was commendable, as he only allowed a single unearned run in six innings. Furthermore, Severino's recent improvement in controlling walks suggests that he has made adjustments in that aspect of his game. On the other hand, Skenes has displayed an uneven performance record, with a strong ERA at home but a weaker one on the road. While it is uncertain whether Skenes will secure a victory in this game, the Mets appear to have a favorable position based on their recent performance against Pittsburgh. Considering these factors, a wise decision would be to support the Mets in this matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewYorkMets#PittsburghPirates

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mets vs Pirates archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mets vs Pirates matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New York Mets+111 → +125Moved
  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates-121 → -138Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets+1.5 (-205) → +1.5 (-169)Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates-1.5 (+175) → -1.5 (+148)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-2-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-07-05T02:20:30.058Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated New York Mets 14-2

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated New York Mets 14-2 on July 5, 2024, a 12-run decision in the series. Pittsburgh Pirates' strongest period was the 8th inning, when it outscored its opponent 6-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded New York Mets +1.5 (-169) spread, Pittsburgh Pirates covered, while the 16 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AliencreationMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -127Win
  • MrpinkMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -121Win
  • WarbuczMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +111Win
  • Tbone91Moneyline · New York Mets +111Loss
  • JtgarciaTotal · Under 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • PeytoncMoneyline · New York Mets +111Loss
  • DengWinsTotal · Under 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Under 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • RcollinsMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -121Win
  • MoneymouthTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -121Win
  • MookiebetsMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -121Win
  • AdrianMariucciMoneyline · New York Mets +111Loss
  • DoclocksMoneyline · New York Mets +111Loss
  • Drew_WestcottMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -127Win
  • MackintoshMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -127Win
  • ThetotalerTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • MikeVargas
Total · Under 7.5 (-110)
Loss
  • GeorgewMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -127Win
  • RainmanMoneyline · New York Mets +115Loss
  • RoycejacobsMoneyline · New York Mets +115Loss
  • RcMoneyline · New York Mets +115Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · New York Mets +115Loss
  • MtgoldsteinTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • DrpaulMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -126Win
  • ThinkmakegrowMoneyline · New York Mets +116Loss
  • 8600926017Moneyline · New York Mets +115Loss