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  1. Home
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  3. Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays
Wed 6:40 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
Phillies8
T. Walker RHP
versus
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Tampa Bay
Rays4
Z. Littell RHP
Final
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Philadelphia Phillies0210212008
Tampa Bay Rays2110000

Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Predictions and Picks

Game time: July 5, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: Tropicana Field — St. Petersburg, Florida

Article updated Jul 5, 2:16 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On July 4, the Philadelphia Phillies (44-39) and Tampa Bay Rays (57-30) will go head-to-head in a three-game series at Tropicana Field. It will be an encore between the 2019

Game outlook

On July 4, the Philadelphia Phillies (44-39) and Tampa Bay Rays (57-30) will go head-to-head in a three-game series at Tropicana Field. It will be an encore between the 2019 National League and 2023 American League favorites, both of whom are vying for a spot in the postseason. Taijuan Walker (ERA: 3.93) will be the starting pitcher for the Phillies, and Zack Littell (ERA: 5.28) will be starting for the Rays. The Rays are the betting favorites opening at -130, with the line remaining unchanged. Game two is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT and the stadium will welcome all fans for the match.

Tampa Bay Rays' Home Record and Unique Team Dynamic Contribute to a Successful Season

The Tampa Bay Rays have had a remarkable season at home, maintaining a 34-10 record in Tropicana Field. The Rays offence thrives in a park typically undesirable to hitters, having the second highest number of home runs, second highest slugging percentage, third highest on-base percentage and third highest batting average. Additionally, this season has seen the Rays swipe more bases than any other team, which has resulted in the franchise accumulating the third highest number of runs per game. The two American League All-Stars in the lineup contribute to the daily struggles opposing pitchers experience. On the flip side, the Rays pitching rotation has the second lowest collective earned run average. Their starter for this game, Yonny Chirinos, stands at a 5.59 ERA in home games. Chirinos' previous start in St. Petersburg saw him surrendering eight runs to the Royals. Despite these numbers, he has put up respectable numbers this season, although he requires an opener present to be at his peak. The Phillies may hope the Rays stick to this plan, but if things change before the start of the game then Chirinos will take to the mound from the off.

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MLB · Philadelphia Phillies at Tampa Bay Rays

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Philadelphia Phillies Highlights

The Philadelphia Phillies currently sit one game out of an NL Wild Card spot and have the potential to return to the postseason this year. Strengthening their chances of success rests largely on their pitching staff and it is Taijuan Walker who is propelling them to victory right now. Over his last five starts, Walker has an impressive 0.84 ERA, 32 strikeouts and has secured five wins for the Phillies. That being said, Walker’s road performance has been shaky throughout this season (5.26 ERA away from home). The hope is that his strong form will continue. The Phillies’ offense is also performing well, despite the significant absences of Rhys Hoskins and Bryce Harper. Philadelphia are currently ranked #15 in runs, scoring an average of 4.54 runs per game, and their slugging percentage is ninth amongst MLB teams. Furthermore, their 45-39 record this season and 2 power ranking displays their overall resiliency. Even so, it is expected that the Phillies will begin to hit home runs with more regularity in the future.

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are having a strong season, with a record of 57-31 and a 34-10 home record in Tropicana Field. The Rays are known for their offensive success, ranking second for homers, slugging, on-base percentage (OBP) and batting average, and third for runs per game. With two of the American League's starting All-Stars, they offer great challenges to opposing pitchers. The strength of the Rays extends to their defense, with the second-lowest collective ERA in the MLB. Despite the success, Yonny Chirinos brings a 5.59 home ERA into his start and gave up eight runs to the lowly Royals the last time he started in St. Petersburg. He works better with an opener in front of him, so the Phillies may be hoping for that. Tampa Bay Rays record: 57-31, 34-10 home Offense ranking: #3 Average runs per game: 5.61 Defense ranking: #2 Average points allowed per game: 3.8 Phillies record vs Tampa Bay: 2-1 last 3 matchups

Phillies vs Rays Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Rays to win tonight's game by 3 points and the total to go under 9 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Philadelphia 2 to Tampa Bay 5

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

More Picks for Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay

56% of SportsJaw players predict Tampa Bay Rays to win.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Tampa Bay will win straight-up is 57%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the Tampa Bay Rays to win and the total score to be 9.

OddsShark has not made a prediction yet.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Published on 07-05-2,023 Categorized as MLB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PhiladelphiaPhillies#TampaBayRays

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Phillies vs Rays archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Phillies vs Rays matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies+115 → +110Moved
  • Moneyline · Tampa Bay Rays-130 → -120Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies+1.5 (-180) → +1.5 (-180)Unchanged
  • Spread · Tampa Bay Rays-1.5 (+160) → -1.5 (+160)Unchanged
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Philadelphia Phillies
45-39 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-6-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Tampa Bay Rays
57-31 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-07-05T06:16:21.513Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-07-04Philadelphia Phillies 3 · Tampa Bay Rays 1
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Tampa Bay Rays 8-4

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Tampa Bay Rays 8-4 on July 5, 2023, a 4-run decision in the series. Philadelphia Phillies' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-180) spread, Philadelphia Phillies covered, while the 12 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 9.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DpxsportsTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • RcMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +115Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -130Loss
  • BtMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -115Loss
  • JaredkuntzMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -125Loss
  • 2387960509Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +115Win
  • DouwannaMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +108Win
  • Amp2224Moneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -121Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -121Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Tampa Bay Rays -121Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • Kushncookie2020Runline · Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-183)Win